Thursday, July 30, 2015

Citizens Bank Park

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Shelby Miller (5-7) vs. Aaron Harang (4-11)

The Atlanta Braves head to Citizens Bank Park on Thursday to take on the Philadelphia Phillies. The probable starters are Shelby Miller for the Braves and Aaron Harang for the Phillies. The opening line for this matchup has Atlanta at -118 and Philadelphia at +125. The over/under was set at 7. The Braves have a 49-46 over/under record and a 56-44 run line mark, meaning they cover 56% of the time. The Phillies are 50-51 against the run line and have a 52-41 over/under record. They cover the spread 50% of the time.

The Braves head into this matchup with a 46-54 record, including 20-34 on the road. Shelby Miller has a 5-7 record on the season, an earned run average of 2.27 and a 1.13 WHIP. In his starts, the Braves are 9-11 over his 127 innings pitched this season while giving up 102 hits during those innings. The Braves are also 6-13 against the over/under in his starts. His teammates are averaging 2.9 runs a game when he pitches. The bullpen's earned run average is currently 4.12 and they've given up 291 hits on the season. Teams are hitting .255 against the bullpen while being struck out 268 times and walking 121 times this season. As a team, Atlanta has allowed 8.96 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.45 batters per nine. They are 19th in the league in team earned run average at 3.92.

Atlanta ranks 18th in the league in team batting average at .251 while hitting .255 on the road. Ranked at 15th in the league in on-base percentage, the Braves sit at .314 and they hold a .361 team slugging percentage. They rank 18th in baseball with 8.46 hits per game and Nick Markakis leads the team with 110.

With a 23-26 home record, Philadelphia will hope to improve on their 38-63 overall mark. Aaron Harang has a record of 4-11 while sporting an earned run average of 4.08 on the year with a 1.24 WHIP. In his starts, the Phillies are 4-12 and he has allowed 104 hits over 106 innings pitched this season. The Phillies are also 8-9 against the over/under in his starts. His teammates score an average of 4.1 runs a game when he pitches. The bullpen's earned run average is currently at 3.55 and they have given up 330 hits on the season. Teams are hitting .255 against the Phillies bullpen while being struck out 325 times and walking 144 times this season. As a team, Philadelphia has allowed 9.91 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.38 batters per nine. They are 29th in the league in team earned run average at 4.61.

They rank 22nd in the league in team batting average with a .249 average while hitting .244 at home. Ranked at 29th in the league in on-base percentage, the Phillies sit at .300 and they hold a .372 team slugging percentage. They rank 16th in baseball with 8.5 hits per game and Ben Revere leads the team with 107.

The Braves have committed 57 errors and have combined for 988 assists and 2,650 put outs leading to a .985 team fielding percentage. For the home team, they hold a .981 team fielding percentage while committing 69 errors, accumulating 981 assists and compiling 2,670 put outs.

Atlanta Braves Betting Trends

The Atlanta Braves are 49-46 against the over/under so far this season

The Atlanta Braves are 56-44 against the run line so far this season

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends

The Philadelphia Phillies are 52-41 against the over/under so far this season

The Philadelphia Phillies are 50-51 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Atlanta Braves

07/29/15 P Manny Banuelos Elbow Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (7/25)
07/11/15 P Jason Grilli Achilles Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (7/17); out for season
06/27/15 P Williams Perez Foot Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (6/27)
06/04/15 P Daniel Winkler Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/5)
05/19/15 2B Philip Gosselin Thumb Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/18)
04/07/15 P Josh Outman Shoulder Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/6)
04/06/15 P Bronson Arroyo Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/6)
04/04/15 P Mike Minor Shoulder Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/27); out for season
04/04/15 P Shae Simmons Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (2/20), out for season
04/04/15 P Chris Withrow Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (2/21)

Philadelphia Phillies

07/29/15 P Aaron Harang Foot Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (7/2); expected to start Thursday vs Atlanta Braves
07/21/15 P Chad Billingsley Elbow Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (7/19)
06/23/15 2B Chase Utley Ankle Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (6/22)
04/06/15 P Jonathan Pettibone Shoulder Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/27)
04/06/15 P Mario Hollands Arch Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/6)
04/04/15 P Cliff Lee Arm Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/16)

Tony's Pick: Take the Braves

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