Monday, September 21, 2015

Citi Field

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Shelby Miller (5-15) vs. Jon Niese (8-10)

The New York Mets host the Atlanta Braves at Citi Field on Monday. The probable starters are Shelby Miller for the Braves and Jon Niese for the Mets. The opening line for this matchup has Atlanta at +183 and New York at -194. The over/under was set at 7.5. The Braves have a 76-65 over/under record and a 68-82 run line mark, meaning they cover 45% of the time. The Mets are 78-69 against the run line and have a 76-66 over/under record. They cover the spread 53% of the time.

The Braves come into this game with a 60-90 record, and they are 23-52 away from home. Shelby Miller has a 5-15 record on the season, an earned run average of 3.00 and a 1.24 WHIP. In his starts, the Braves are 10-20 over his 186 innings pitched this season while giving up 166 hits during those innings. The Braves are also 11-18 against the over/under in his starts. His teammates are averaging 2.5 runs a game when he pitches. The bullpen has given up 463 hits on the season and have an earned run average of 4.73. Teams are hitting .260 against the bullpen while being struck out 405 times and walking 203 times this season. As a team, Atlanta has allowed 9.32 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.3 batters per nine. They are 27th in the league in team earned run average at 4.55.

Atlanta ranks 20th in the league in team batting average at .250 while hitting .252 on the road. The Braves on-base percentage sits at .313, which puts them at 17th in the league and they have a team slugging percentage of .357. They rank 23rd in baseball with 8.41 hits per game and Nick Markakis leads the team with 171.

With a 84-64 overall record, New York will come into this game 47-27 at home. Jon Niese has a record of 8-10 while sporting an earned run average of 4.31 on the year with a 1.41 WHIP. In his starts, the Mets are 13-15 and he has allowed 183 hits over 167 innings pitched this season. The Mets are also 17-9 against the over/under in his starts. His teammates score an average of 4.5 runs a game when he pitches. The bullpen has given up 352 hits on the season and have a team earned run average of 3.30. Teams are hitting .225 against the Mets bullpen while being struck out 397 times and walking 153 times this season. As a team, New York has allowed 8.27 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.08 batters per nine. They are 4th in the league in team earned run average at 3.44.

They rank 27th in the league in team batting average with a .245 average while hitting .237 at home. The Mets on-base percentage sits at .313, which puts them at 19th in the league and they have a team slugging percentage of .399. They rank 26th in baseball with 8.37 hits per game and Curtis Granderson leads the team with 138.

In terms of team defense, the Braves have a fielding percentage of .985 with 80 total errors, 1,464 assists and 3,937 put outs. For the home team, they hold a .986 team fielding percentage while committing 80 errors, accumulating 1,484 assists and compiling 4,019 put outs.

Atlanta Braves Betting Trends

The Atlanta Braves are 76-65 against the over/under so far this season

The Atlanta Braves are 68-82 against the run line so far this season

New York Mets Betting Trends

The New York Mets are 76-66 against the over/under so far this season

The New York Mets are 78-69 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Atlanta Braves

09/18/15 P Manny Banuelos Elbow out for season
08/05/15 P Jason Frasor Shoulder Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (8/2)
07/11/15 P Jason Grilli Achilles Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (7/17); out for season
06/02/15 P Paco Rodriguez Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (5/30)
04/07/15 P Josh Outman Shoulder Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/6)
04/04/15 P Mike Minor Shoulder Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/27); out for season
04/04/15 P Shae Simmons Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (2/20), out for season
04/04/15 P Chris Withrow Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (2/21)

New York Mets

09/18/15 P Jacob deGrom Rest is downgraded to expected to miss Tuesday vs Atlanta Braves
08/05/15 P Rafael Montero Rotator Cuff Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (4/30)
07/29/15 P Jenrry Mejia Suspension out for season
06/04/15 RF Cesar Puello Back Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/6)
05/14/15 P Buddy Carlyle Back Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (5/12)
04/06/15 P Joshua Edgin Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/27), out for season
04/06/15 P Zack Wheeler Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/27), out for season

Tony's Pick: Take the Mets

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