Saturday, June 13, 2015

Citi Field

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Shelby Miller (5-2) vs. Jacob deGrom (7-4)

The New York Mets welcome the Atlanta Braves to Citi Field on Saturday. The Braves send Shelby Miller to the mound to face Jacob deGrom of the Mets. The opening line for this matchup has Atlanta at +125 and New York at -135. The over/under was set at 6.5. The Braves, with a 34-26 run line record, cover the spread 57% of the time. They also have a 37-20 over/under record. The Mets have a 31-25 over/under record and a 29-32 run line mark, which means they are covering the spread 48% of the time.

The Braves head into this matchup with a 29-31 record, including 14-17 on the road. Starting pitcher Shelby Miller holds a 5-2 record with an earned run average of 1.84 and a WHIP of 0.98. In his starts, the Braves are 8-4 over his 78.1 innings pitched this season while giving up 52 hits during those innings. Their record against the over/under when he starts is 4-8. The team is averaging 3.8 runs when he starts. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.75 and they have given up 163 base hits on the year. Opposing teams are hitting .241 against the Braves bullpen while walking 82 times and striking out 157 times. Atlanta is averaging 7.27 strikeouts per game while getting 8.68 hits per nine innings as a team. They rank 24th in baseball in team earned run average at 4.19.

Atlanta is batting .257 as a team, which is good for 10th in the league and hitting .254 away from home. The Braves hold a .374 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .321 which is good for 8th in baseball. Freddie Freeman leads the team in hits with 70 while the team ranks 11th in baseball with 8.68 hits per game.

With a 22-10 home record, New York will hope to improve on their 32-29 overall mark. With an earned run average of 2.42, Jacob deGrom will come into this game holding a 7-4 record and a 1.00 WHIP. In his starts, the Mets are 8-4 and he has allowed 62 hits over 78 innings pitched this season. Their record against the over/under when he starts is 6-5. The team is averaging 4.7 runs when he takes the field. The bullpen has an earned run average of 2.67 and they have given up 122 base hits on the year. Opposing teams are hitting .209 against the Mets bullpen while walking 53 times and striking out 153 times. New York is averaging 8.17 strikeouts per game while getting 8.46 hits per nine innings as a team. They rank 6th in the league in team earned run average at 3.47.

They are batting .242 as a team, which is good for 25th in the league and hitting .244 at home. The Mets hold a .371 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .306 which is good for 21st in baseball. Juan Lagares leads the team in hits with 60 while the team ranks 27th in baseball with 7.95 hits a game.

Atlanta has a team fielding percentage of .986 after having committed 31 errors with 609 assists and 1,593 put outs for the season. The Mets have committed 39 errors on the season with 600 assists and 1,609 put outs leading to a team fielding percentage of .983 on the year.

Atlanta Braves Betting Trends

The Atlanta Braves are 37-20 against the over/under so far this season

The Atlanta Braves are 34-26 against the run line so far this season

New York Mets Betting Trends

The New York Mets are 31-25 against the over/under so far this season

The New York Mets are 29-32 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Atlanta Braves

06/04/15 P Daniel Winkler Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/5)
05/19/15 2B Philip Gosselin Thumb Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/18)
04/07/15 P Josh Outman Shoulder Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/6)
04/04/15 P Mike Minor Shoulder Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/27); out for season
04/04/15 P Shae Simmons Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (2/20), out for season
04/04/15 P Chris Withrow Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (2/21)

New York Mets

06/11/15 P Dillon Gee Personal placed on bereavement list; out indefinitely
06/11/15 3B Ruben Tejada Personal placed on paternity leave
06/05/15 2B Daniel Murphy Quad Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (6/4)
06/04/15 RF Cesar Puello Back Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/6)
05/14/15 P Buddy Carlyle Back Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/12)
04/16/15 3B David Wright Hamstring Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (4/15)
04/08/15 P Jenrry Mejia Suspension expected to miss 80 games
04/06/15 P Joshua Edgin Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/27), out for season
04/06/15 P Zack Wheeler Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/27), out for season

Guy's Pick: Take the Mets

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