Sunday, September 27, 2015

Marlins Park

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Shelby Miller (5-16) vs. Tom Koehler (10-14)

The Miami Marlins host the Atlanta Braves at Marlins Park on Sunday. The Braves send Shelby Miller to the mound to face Tom Koehler of the Marlins. The opening line for this matchup has Atlanta at +122 and Miami at -132. The over/under was set at 7.5. The Braves, with a 71-83 run line record, cover the spread 46% of the time. They also have a 79-66 over/under record. The Marlins are 75-79 against the run line and have a 72-74 over/under record. They cover the spread 49% of the time.

The Braves show up with a 62-92 record, including 25-54 on the road. Starting pitcher Shelby Miller holds a 5-16 record with an earned run average of 3.00 and a WHIP of 1.26. The Braves are 10-21 over his 192 innings pitched and he's also given up 173 hits over that time period. The Braves are also 11-19 against the over/under in his starts. He is getting 2.5 runs from the team when he takes the mound. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.75 and they have given up 481 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .262 against the bullpen while being struck out 416 times and walking 208 times this season. As a team, Atlanta has allowed 9.37 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.28 batters per nine. They are 27th in the league in team earned run average at 4.55.

As a team, Atlanta is batting .251, good for 17th in the league while putting together a .254 average away from home. The Braves hold a .359 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .314 which is good for 18th in baseball. They rank 23rd in baseball with 8.44 hits per game and Nick Markakis leads the team with 174.

Miami is 39-40 at home while holding a 67-87 overall record on the season. With an earned run average of 3.94, Tom Koehler will come into this game holding a 10-14 record and a 1.33 WHIP. The Marlins have a record of 13-16 over the 175.2 innings he's pitched during which he's given up 165 hits. The Marlins are also 13-14 against the over/under in his starts. He is getting 3.8 runs from the team when he takes the mound. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.59 and they have given up 438 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .234 against the Marlins bullpen while being struck out 476 times and walking 203 times this season. As a team, Miami has allowed 8.61 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.28 batters per nine. They are 16th in the league in team earned run average at 4.01.

As a team, they are batting .259, good for 9th in the league while putting together a .259 average at home. The Marlins hold a .383 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .309 which is good for 24th in baseball. They rank 10th in baseball with 8.74 hits per game and Dee Gordon leads the team with 193.

Atlanta has a team fielding percentage of .985 after having committed 83 errors with 1,509 assists and 4,066 put outs for the season. For the home team, they hold a .987 team fielding percentage while committing 72 errors, accumulating 1,515 assists and compiling 4,077 put outs.

Atlanta Braves Betting Trends

The Atlanta Braves are 79-66 against the over/under so far this season

The Atlanta Braves are 71-83 against the run line so far this season

Miami Marlins Betting Trends

The Miami Marlins are 72-74 against the over/under so far this season

The Miami Marlins are 75-79 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Atlanta Braves

09/26/15 C A.J. Pierzynski Shoulder expected to miss Saturday vs. Miami Marlins
09/22/15 C Christian Bethancourt Thumb out indefinitely
09/22/15 P Mike Foltynewicz Ribs out for season
09/18/15 P Manny Banuelos Elbow out for season
08/05/15 P Jason Frasor Shoulder Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (8/2)
07/11/15 P Jason Grilli Achilles Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (7/17); out for season
06/02/15 P Paco Rodriguez Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (5/30)
04/07/15 P Josh Outman Shoulder Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/6)
04/04/15 P Mike Minor Shoulder Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/27); out for season
04/04/15 P Shae Simmons Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (2/20), out for season
04/04/15 P Chris Withrow Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (2/21)

Miami Marlins

09/25/15 SS Adeiny Hechavarria Hamstring "?" Saturday vs. Atlanta Braves
09/25/15 P Jarred Cosart Forearm left last start, probable for next start
09/23/15 3B Martin Prado Wrist out indefinitely
08/26/15 P Kendry Flores Shoulder Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (8/22)
08/17/15 P David Phelps Elbow Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (8/16)
08/04/15 P Carter Capps Elbow Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (8/3); out for season
07/10/15 2B Jeff Baker Side Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (7/8)
07/01/15 RF Giancarlo Stanton Hand Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (6/21)
06/04/15 P Henderson Alvarez Shoulder Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (5/22); out for season
04/14/15 3B Don Kelly Finger Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/13), out for season
04/08/15 P Aaron Crow Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/29); out for season

Tony's Pick: Take the Marlins

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