Saturday, September 26, 2015

Marlins Park

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Julio Teheran (10-7) vs. Justin Nicolino (3-4)

The Atlanta Braves head to Marlins Park on Saturday to take on the Miami Marlins. The probable starters are Julio Teheran for the Braves and Justin Nicolino for the Marlins. The opening line for this matchup has Atlanta at -114 and Miami at +104. The over/under was set at 7. The Braves have a 78-66 over/under record and a 70-83 run line mark, meaning they cover 46% of the time. The Marlins are 75-78 against the run line and have a 71-74 over/under record. They cover the spread 49% of the time.

The Braves come into this game with a 62-91 record, and they are 25-53 away from home. Julio Teheran has an earned run average of 4.20 and is 10-7 so far on the season while having a 1.30 WHIP. In his starts, the Braves are 18-13 over his 188.2 innings pitched this season while giving up 178 hits during those innings. The Braves are also 18-11 against the over/under in his starts. He is getting 4.5 runs from the team when he takes the mound. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.72 and they have given up 470 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .260 against the bullpen while being struck out 414 times and walking 207 times this season. As a team, Atlanta has allowed 9.29 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.31 batters per nine. They are 27th in the league in team earned run average at 4.50.

As a team, Atlanta is batting .250, good for 22nd in the league while putting together a .252 average away from home. The Braves hold a .357 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .313 which is good for 18th in baseball. They rank 24th in baseball with 8.39 hits per game and Nick Markakis leads the team with 173.

With a 66-87 overall record, Miami will come into this game 38-40 at home. Justin Nicolino is starting this game 3-4 for the season with an earned run average of 4.50 and a WHIP of 1.35. In his starts, the Marlins are 4-6 and he has allowed 64 hits over 60 innings pitched this season. The Marlins are also 4-4 against the over/under in his starts. He is getting 3.4 runs from the team when he takes the mound. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.53 and they have given up 431 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .232 against the Marlins bullpen while being struck out 473 times and walking 200 times this season. As a team, Miami has allowed 8.56 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.3 batters per nine. They are 15th in the league in team earned run average at 3.97.

As a team, they are batting .257, good for 9th in the league while putting together a .255 average at home. The Marlins hold a .380 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .308 which is good for 24th in baseball. They rank 12th in baseball with 8.67 hits per game and Dee Gordon leads the team with 190.

Atlanta has a team fielding percentage of .985 after having committed 82 errors with 1,492 assists and 4,042 put outs for the season. For the home team, they hold a .987 team fielding percentage while committing 72 errors, accumulating 1,505 assists and compiling 4,050 put outs.

Atlanta Braves Betting Trends

The Atlanta Braves are 78-66 against the over/under so far this season

The Atlanta Braves are 70-83 against the run line so far this season

Miami Marlins Betting Trends

The Miami Marlins are 71-74 against the over/under so far this season

The Miami Marlins are 75-78 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Atlanta Braves

09/24/15 1B Freddie Freeman Wrist probable Friday vs. Miami Marlins
09/22/15 C Christian Bethancourt Thumb out indefinitely
09/22/15 P Mike Foltynewicz Ribs out for season
09/18/15 P Manny Banuelos Elbow out for season
08/05/15 P Jason Frasor Shoulder Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (8/2)
07/11/15 P Jason Grilli Achilles Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (7/17); out for season
06/02/15 P Paco Rodriguez Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (5/30)
04/07/15 P Josh Outman Shoulder Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/6)
04/04/15 P Mike Minor Shoulder Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/27); out for season
04/04/15 P Shae Simmons Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (2/20), out for season
04/04/15 P Chris Withrow Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (2/21)

Miami Marlins

09/25/15 P Jarred Cosart Forearm left last start, probable for next start
09/24/15 SS Adeiny Hechavarria Hamstring "?" Friday vs. Atlanta Braves
09/23/15 3B Martin Prado Wrist out indefinitely
08/26/15 P Kendry Flores Shoulder Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (8/22)
08/17/15 P David Phelps Elbow Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (8/16)
08/04/15 P Carter Capps Elbow Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (8/3)
07/10/15 2B Jeff Baker Side Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (7/8)
07/01/15 RF Giancarlo Stanton Hand Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (6/21)
06/04/15 P Henderson Alvarez Shoulder Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (5/22); out for season
04/14/15 3B Don Kelly Finger Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/13), out for season
04/08/15 P Aaron Crow Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/29); out for season

Tony's Pick: Take the Marlins

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