Friday, September 25, 2015

Marlins Park

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Ryan Weber (0-1) vs. Jose Fernandez (5-0)

The Atlanta Braves head to Marlins Park on Friday to take on the Miami Marlins. The probable starters are Ryan Weber for the Braves and Jose Fernandez for the Marlins. The opening line for this matchup has Atlanta at +207 and Miami at -225. The over/under was set at 6.5. The Braves, with a 70-83 run line record, cover the spread 46% of the time. They also have a 78-66 over/under record. The Marlins are 75-77 against the run line and have a 71-73 over/under record. They cover the spread 49% of the time.

The Braves come into this game with a 62-91 record, and they are 25-53 away from home. Ryan Weber has a 0-1 record on the season, an earned run average of 3.26 and a 0.83 WHIP. In his starts, the Braves are 1-2 over his 19.1 innings pitched this season while giving up 11 hits during those innings. Against the over/under, the Braves are 1-2 in his starts. The team is averaging 3 runs when he starts. The bullpen has given up 470 hits on the season and have an earned run average of 4.72. The bullpen has struck out 414 and walked 207 batters this season while opposing teams hit .260 against them. Atlanta has a team average of 9.29 hits allowed per game and are averaging 7.31 strikeouts per nine innings. With a team earned run average of 4.50, they are 27th in the league.

Atlanta is batting .250 as a team, which is good for 21st in the league and hitting .252 away from home. The Braves on-base percentage sits at .313, which puts them at 18th in the league and they have a team slugging percentage of .357. With 173 hits, Nick Markakis leads the team while his team ranks 24th in hits per game with 8.39.

With a 65-87 overall record, Miami will come into this game 37-40 at home. Jose Fernandez has a record of 5-0 while sporting an earned run average of 2.18 on the year with a 1.01 WHIP. In his starts, the Marlins are 6-3 and he has allowed 41 hits over 53.2 innings pitched this season. Against the over/under, the Marlins are 6-3 when he starts. The team is averaging 3.7 runs when he takes the field. The bullpen has given up 430 hits on the season and have a team earned run average of 3.56. The Marlins bullpen has struck out 470 batters and walked 200 this season while opposing teams have hit .234 against them. Miami has a team average of 8.58 hits per game and are averaging 7.32 strikeouts per nine innings. With a team earned run average of 3.99, they are 15th in the league.

They are batting .258 as a team, which is good for 9th in the league and hitting .256 at home. The Marlins on-base percentage sits at .308, which puts them at 24th in the league and they have a team slugging percentage of .380. With 190 hits, Dee Gordon leads the team while his team ranks 10th in hits per game with 8.7.

In terms of team defense, the Braves have a fielding percentage of .985 with 82 total errors, 1,492 assists and 4,042 put outs. Over the course of this season, the Marlins have accumulated 72 errors while having 1,493 assists and 4,023 put outs leading to a .987 fielding percentage.

Atlanta Braves Betting Trends

The Atlanta Braves are 78-66 against the over/under so far this season

The Atlanta Braves are 70-83 against the run line so far this season

Miami Marlins Betting Trends

The Miami Marlins are 71-73 against the over/under so far this season

The Miami Marlins are 75-77 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Atlanta Braves

09/24/15 1B Freddie Freeman Wrist probable Friday vs. Miami Marlins
09/22/15 C Christian Bethancourt Thumb out indefinitely
09/22/15 P Mike Foltynewicz Ribs out for season
09/18/15 P Manny Banuelos Elbow out for season
08/05/15 P Jason Frasor Shoulder Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (8/2)
07/11/15 P Jason Grilli Achilles Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (7/17); out for season
06/02/15 P Paco Rodriguez Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (5/30)
04/07/15 P Josh Outman Shoulder Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/6)
04/04/15 P Mike Minor Shoulder Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/27); out for season
04/04/15 P Shae Simmons Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (2/20), out for season
04/04/15 P Chris Withrow Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (2/21)

Miami Marlins

09/24/15 SS Adeiny Hechavarria Hamstring "?" Thursday vs. Philadelphia Phillies
09/23/15 3B Martin Prado Wrist out indefinitely
08/26/15 P Kendry Flores Shoulder Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (8/22)
08/17/15 P David Phelps Elbow Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (8/16)
08/04/15 P Carter Capps Elbow Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (8/3)
07/10/15 2B Jeff Baker Side Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (7/8)
07/01/15 RF Giancarlo Stanton Hand Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (6/21)
06/04/15 P Henderson Alvarez Shoulder Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (5/22); out for season
04/14/15 3B Don Kelly Finger Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/13), out for season
04/08/15 P Aaron Crow Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/29); out for season

Tony's Pick: Take the Marlins

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