Tuesday, June 16, 2015

Fenway Park

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Julio Teheran (4-2) vs. Wade Miley (5-6)

The Boston Red Sox host the Atlanta Braves at Fenway Park on Tuesday. The Braves send Julio Teheran to the mound to face Wade Miley of the Red Sox. The opening line for this matchup has Atlanta at +130 and Boston at -150. The over/under was set at 8.5. The Braves, with a 35-28 run line record, cover the spread 56% of the time. They also have a 40-20 over/under record. The Red Sox have a 29-33 over/under record and a 25-39 run line mark, which means they are covering the spread 39% of the time.

The Braves come into this game with a 30-33 record, and they are 15-19 away from home. Starting pitcher Julio Teheran holds a 4-2 record with an earned run average of 4.78 and a WHIP of 1.41. He's pitched 75.1 innings thus far while surrendering 77 hits over that time and when he starts, the Braves are 8-5. Against the over/under, the Braves are 11-2 in his starts. His teammates are averaging 5.5 runs a game when he pitches. The bullpen has given up 171 hits on the season and have a earned run average of 4.64. Opposing teams are hitting .240 against the Braves bullpen while walking 85 times and striking out 168 times. Atlanta is averaging 7.31 strikeouts per game while getting 8.76 hits per nine innings as a team. They rank 25th in baseball in team earned run average at 4.23.

Atlanta ranks 8th in the league in team batting average at .260 while hitting .259 on the road. The Braves on-base percentage sits at .324, which puts them at 7th in the league and they have a team slugging percentage of .376. Freddie Freeman leads the team in hits with 74 while the team ranks 9th in baseball with 8.84 hits per game.

With a 27-37 overall record, Boston will come into this game 15-17 at home. With an earned run average of 5.07, Wade Miley will come into this game holding a 5-6 record and a 1.42 WHIP. He's pitched 65.2 innings thus far while surrendering 72 hits over that time in which the Red Sox are 6-6. Against the over/under, the Red Sox are 4-8 when he starts. His teammates score an average of 3.5 runs a game when he pitches. The bullpen has given up 196 hits on the season and have a team earned run average of 3.80. Opposing teams are hitting .252 against the Red Sox bullpen while walking 74 times and striking out 164 times. Boston is averaging 7.25 strikeouts per game while getting 9.08 hits per nine innings as a team. They rank 29th in the league in team earned run average at 4.54.

They rank 19th in the league in team batting average with a .246 average while hitting .269 at home. The Red Sox on-base percentage sits at .316, which puts them at 15th in the league and they have a team slugging percentage of .376. Dustin Pedroia leads the team in hits with 79 while the team ranks 20th in baseball with 8.39 hits a game.

In terms of team defense, the Braves have a fielding percentage of .986 with 34 total errors, 639 assists and 1,674 put outs. The Red Sox have committed 39 errors on the season with 668 assists and 1,713 put outs leading to a team fielding percentage of .984 on the year.

Atlanta Braves Betting Trends

The Atlanta Braves are 40-20 against the over/under so far this season

The Atlanta Braves are 35-28 against the run line so far this season

Boston Red Sox Betting Trends

The Boston Red Sox are 29-33 against the over/under so far this season

The Boston Red Sox are 25-39 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Atlanta Braves

06/04/15 P Daniel Winkler Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/5)
05/19/15 2B Philip Gosselin Thumb Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/18)
04/07/15 P Josh Outman Shoulder Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/6)
04/04/15 P Mike Minor Shoulder Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/27); out for season
04/04/15 P Shae Simmons Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (2/20), out for season
04/04/15 P Chris Withrow Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (2/21)

Boston Red Sox

06/15/15 CF Mookie Betts Back is upgraded to expected to be in the starting lineup Monday vs. Atlanta Braves
06/13/15 P Craig Breslow Personal out indefinitely
05/29/15 P Brandon Workman Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/3)
05/28/15 P Anthony Varvaro Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/29)
05/28/15 RF Daniel Nava Thumb Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/26)
05/24/15 RF Shane Victorino Calf Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/23)
05/13/15 P Justin Masterson Arm Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/13)
05/02/15 C Ryan Hanigan Wrist Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (5/1)
04/04/15 C Christian Vazquez Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/30), out for season

Guy's Pick: Take the Red Sox

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