Monday, June 15, 2015

Fenway Park

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Williams Perez (2-0) vs. Rick Porcello (4-6)

The Boston Red Sox welcome the Atlanta Braves to Fenway Park on Monday. Williams Perez is the probable starter for the Braves and he'll face Rick Porcello of the Red Sox. The opening line for this matchup has Atlanta at +122 and Boston at -132. The over/under was set at 9. The Braves, with a 35-27 run line record, cover the spread 56% of the time. They also have a 39-20 over/under record. The Red Sox have a 28-33 over/under record and a 25-38 run line mark, which means they are covering the spread 39% of the time.

The Braves come into this game with a 30-32 record, and they are 15-18 away from home. Starting pitcher Williams Perez holds a 2-0 record with an earned run average of 2.70 and a WHIP of 1.44. In his starts, the Braves are 3-2 over his 33.1 innings pitched this season while giving up 31 hits during those innings. The Braves are also 3-2 against the over/under in his starts. His teammates are averaging 5 runs a game when he pitches. The bullpen's earned run average is currently 4.69 and they've given up 172 hits on the season. The bullpen has struck out 168 and walked 85 batters this season while opposing teams hit .242 against them. Atlanta has a team average of 8.67 hits allowed per game and are averaging 7.27 strikeouts per nine innings. With a team earned run average of 4.16, they are 22nd in the league.

Atlanta ranks 10th in the league in team batting average at .258 while hitting .256 on the road. Ranked at 8th in the league in on-base percentage, the Braves sit at .322 and they hold a .374 team slugging percentage. With 73 hits, Freddie Freeman leads the team while his team ranks 10th in hits per game with 8.76.

With a 27-36 overall record, Boston will come into this game 15-16 at home. With an earned run average of 5.26, Rick Porcello will come into this game holding a 4-6 record and a 1.31 WHIP. In his starts, the Red Sox are 5-5 and he has allowed 81 hits over 75.1 innings pitched this season. The Red Sox are also 6-4 against the over/under in his starts. His teammates score an average of 4.1 runs a game when he pitches. The bullpen's earned run average is currently at 3.80 and they have given up 196 hits on the season. The Red Sox bullpen has struck out 164 batters and walked 74 this season while opposing teams have hit .252 against them. Boston has a team average of 8.97 hits per game and are averaging 7.3 strikeouts per nine innings. With a team earned run average of 4.40, they are 29th in the league.

They rank 19th in the league in team batting average with a .246 average while hitting .271 at home. Ranked at 15th in the league in on-base percentage, the Red Sox sit at .316 and they hold a .376 team slugging percentage. With 77 hits, Dustin Pedroia leads the team while his team ranks 19th in hits per game with 8.4.

The Braves have committed 34 errors and have combined for 630 assists and 1,650 put outs leading to a .985 team fielding percentage. Over the course of this season, the Red Sox have accumlated 38 errors while having 654 assists and 1,686 put outs leading to a .984 fielding percentage.

Atlanta Braves Betting Trends

The Atlanta Braves are 39-20 against the over/under so far this season

The Atlanta Braves are 35-27 against the run line so far this season

Boston Red Sox Betting Trends

The Boston Red Sox are 28-33 against the over/under so far this season

The Boston Red Sox are 25-38 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Atlanta Braves

06/04/15 P Daniel Winkler Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/5)
05/19/15 2B Philip Gosselin Thumb Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/18)
04/07/15 P Josh Outman Shoulder Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/6)
04/04/15 P Mike Minor Shoulder Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/27); out for season
04/04/15 P Shae Simmons Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (2/20), out for season
04/04/15 P Chris Withrow Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (2/21)

Boston Red Sox

06/14/15 CF Mookie Betts Back "?" Monday vs. Atlanta Braves
06/13/15 P Craig Breslow Personal out indefinitely
05/29/15 P Brandon Workman Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/3)
05/28/15 P Anthony Varvaro Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/29)
05/28/15 RF Daniel Nava Thumb Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/26)
05/24/15 RF Shane Victorino Calf Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/23)
05/13/15 P Justin Masterson Arm Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/13)
05/02/15 C Ryan Hanigan Wrist Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (5/1)
04/04/15 C Christian Vazquez Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/30), out for season

Guy's Pick: Take the Red Sox

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