Baltimore Orioles at Boston Red Sox Free MLB Picks & Odds
by Guy Bruhn - 4/17/2014
Friday, April 18, 7:10 PM on MASN, NESN
Fenway Park, Boston, Massachusetts
Baltimore - Tillman, C (1-1) vs. Boston - Lackey, J (2-1)
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Friday evening, Chris Tillman will take the hill for the Baltimore Orioles as they face John Lackey and the Boston Red Sox. Tillman makes his 4th start of the season as Lackey makes his 3rd.
Chris Tillman is 1 – 1 with an ERA of 0.84 after three decent starts this year. In his last outing, Tillman took the loss despite going 8 innings and surrendering just 2 runs on 3 hits while walking 1 and striking out 6. Two runs are not that bad unless your team scores nothing and that’s how he got the loss. Last season, Tillman was a respectable 16 – 7 with an ERA of 3.71 in 33 starts.
In 2013, Tillman was 3 – 1 with a 2.65 ERA in 6 starts against the Boston Red Sox. The Red Sox hit him well though, with 32 hits (including 4 home runs) in 37.1 innings. Boston’s Dustin Pedroia owns a career .300 average against Tillman with 9 hits and 4 RBIs.
John Lackey will look to forget his last start as he comes into this game. In that outing, Lackey took the loss after giving up 6 runs on 10 hits including 4 home runs. He didn’t walk anyone and struck out 6. Four home runs in any game are tough for any pitcher and he could end up allowing some more against the Orioles.
Last season in 4 starts against the Orioles, Lackey was 2 – 1 with a 3.34 ERA. More importantly, he gave up 6 homers to the Orioles in those 4 games. Many of the hitters on the Baltimore roster have gone deep against Lackey. The Orioles’ Chris Davis has 2 home runs and 6 RBIs to go with his .344 average against Lackey.
Baltimore Betting Trends
Baltimore is 5-8-1 against the Over/Under
Run differential for Baltimore is -0.1
Boston Betting Trends
Boston is 4-11-0 against the Over/Under
Run differential for Boston is -0.4
Injuries to Watch
Baltimore
04/03/14 P Edgmer Escalo Shoulder 60-day DL (3/30)
03/31/14 LF Francisco Peguero Wrist 15-day DL (3/21)
03/31/14 3B Michael Almanzar Arm 15-day DL (3/23)
03/28/14 3B Manny Machado Knee 15-day DL (3/21)
03/28/14 LF Nolan Reimold Neck 60-day DL (3/26)
03/28/14 P Troy Patton Suspension out indefinitely
Boston
04/17/14 1B Mike Napoli Finger questionable
04/12/14 P Koji Uehara Shoulder out indefinitely
04/09/14 P Steven Wright Hernia 60-day DL (3/21)
04/06/14 3B Will Middlebrooks Calf 15-day DL (4/5)
03/31/14 RF Shane Victorino Hamstring 15-day DL (3/30)
Guy's Pick: Take Baltimore
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