Arizona Diamondbacks at Chicago Cubs Free MLB Picks & Odds
by Guy Bruhn - 4/22/2014
Wednesday, April 23, 2:20 PM on FSAZ, WGN
Wrigley Field, Chicago, Illinois
Arizona - Miley, W (2-2) vs. Chicago - Samardzija, J (0-2)
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There's perhaps no better time for Cubs pitcher Jeff Samardzija (0-2) to get his first win of 2014 than Wednesday when the club celebrates Wrigley Field's 100th birthday. Arizona pitcher Wade Miley (2-2) isn't a sentimental guy and looks to blow out the candles early in trying to get back on the winning track. Miley pitched 6 innings of 1 run ball in his 3rd game against the Dodgers this season but got the no-decision after Scott Van Slyke's HR tied the game. Miley's ERA sits at 4.35 on the year as he's allowed three or more runs in 3/5 of his starts.
It was a tale of two worlds as Miley squared off against Chicago last year. He got torched for 7 runs in 7 innings at the end of May and allowed just 1 run when pitching into the 8th inning on July 25th. That 7 run outing was Miley's only appearance at Wrigley Field where his ERA stands at 9.00. Alfonso Soriano, Cody Ransom, and Scott Hairston (GS), who had HR that day, have moved on though. The current Cubs lineup is hitting only .213 over 47 AB's against Miley.
It's not Samardzija's fault he's not in the win column yet as the Cubs have scored 4 total runs in his 4 starts. The big right-hander has pitched into the 7th inning in his first four games of the year and has allowed only 1 run in back-to-back starts. Samardzija's 1.29 ERA is 7th in the majors and he's the only pitcher in the top 40 without a win.
Samardzija made two starts against Arizona last year, going 0-0 with a 4.50 ERA. Arizona's 2014 roster is collectively hitting only .250 against Samardzija, and only 2 batters have faced the pitcher more than 7 times in their career.
Arizona Betting Trends
Arizona is 13-7-1 against the Over/Under
Run differential for Arizona is -2.4
Chicago Betting Trends
Chicago is 9-7-1 against the Over/Under
Run differential for Chicago is -1.1
Injuries to Watch
Arizona
04/18/14 P David Hernandez Elbow 60-day DL (3/27), out for season
03/31/14 P Daniel Hudson Elbow 15-day DL (3/29)
03/27/14 P Matt Reynolds Elbow 15-day DL (3/19)
03/27/14 P Patrick Corbin Elbow 60-day DL (3/19), out for season
Chicago
03/31/14 P James McDonald Shoulder 60-day DL (2/23)
03/28/14 P Jake Arrieta Shoulder 15-day DL (3/21)
03/28/14 P Kyuji Fujikawa Elbow 15-day DL (3/21)
Guy's Pick: Take Arizona
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