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Last Release of Expert NFL Picks from our handicappers.
Just so the public knows we are always transparent and honest with our reporting, in this spot we will list all of the previous weeks NFL football picks and analysis.
This page will be updated each Thursday at 5AM Eastern.
Get free NFL Picks including expert parlays picks for betting NFL games this week against the spread.
Doc's Sports
1 Unit Play. Take #102 Detroit Lions -175 money line over Dallas Cowboys (8:15p.m., Thursday, December 4 Prime) Detroit is the desperate team in this matchup and they need to win this game in order to prevent their season from spiraling away. They cannot afford to lose back-to-back Thursday home games.Robert Ferringo
SUNDAY NFL SELECTIONS1-Unit Play. Take #122 Minnesota (-1.5) over Washington (1 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 7)
Minnesota should have something to prove after getting humiliated and shutout last week. Washington still has problems all over its defense and offensive line and they are coming off a loss in primetime. I think Washington is flat here and the Vikings find a win.
3-Unit Play. Take #124 N.Y. Jets (+3) over Miami (1 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 7)
Miami won the first meeting 27-21 this year on Monday Night Football. They absolutely should not have won that game. The Jets pushed them around all night at the point of attack, rushing for nearly 200 yards on 28 carries and outgaining the Dolphins by over 100 yards. The Jets lost three fumbles in that game, including one at the goal line, and didn’t score on any of their red zone trips. I think it will be different this week. The Jets are on a 5-0 ATS run. They have won three of their last five games and probably should’ve beaten the Ravens on the road two weeks ago (outgained them but were -2 in turnovers). Miami has won three straight but were unimpressive in wins over Washington and New Orleans. It is going to be cold in New York and if the Jets can just hold onto the ball and avoid tripping over their own feet I think they win this one outright.
1-Unit Play. Take #129 Seattle (-7) over Atlanta (1 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 7)
I don’t know that anyone is playing better than the Seahawks right now. I don’t like that this is their second trip to the East Coast in three weeks. But Seattle has won six of their last seven games overall and probably should’ve beaten the Rams to make it seven straight. Their only two losses in their last 10 games have come by five total points. The Falcons just lost to the Jets. They are starting enfeebled Kirk Cousins and their only win since that bizarre MNF win over Buffalo came against the Saints. Seattle is 12-2 SU in its last 14 road games and they hammered the Falcons here 34-14 last year. I think they can do it again.
1-Unit Play. Take #132 Jacksonville (+1.5) over Indianapolis (1 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 7)
3-Unit Play. Take #137 Denver (-7.5) over Las Vegas (4 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 7)
All Denver has done this season is win close games against bad teams. Well, I think it is time for them to beat the piss out of someone and that someone is the Raiders. Denver is 8-6 ATS on the road over the last two seasons and they have won four straight away from home this year, including wins at Houston and at Philly. They only have two double-digit wins this year – which is bizarre for a team competing for the No. 1 seed in the AFC. I think the Raiders are a dead stick. They have lost six straight and nine of 10. Their only win since Week 1 came against the Titans. They’ve lost their last three games by 17, 14 and 17 points and seven of their 10 losses this season have come by 10 or more. Geno Smith is going to get abused again this week by Denver’s dominating front seven. The Raiders don’t have a single NFL-caliber offensive lineman right now. So they can’t run and they can’t protect Smith. This team has no depth and they are banged up all over the field. It’s time for Denver to show that they are for real and to blow someone out.
1-Unit Play. Take #139 L.A. Rams (-8) over Arizona (4 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 7)
I know the Cardinals have had a ton of close losses this season. But this team looks like it is close to quitting on the coaching staff and the season.
5-Unit Play. Take #144 Kansas City (-3.5) over Houston (8 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 7)
I simply don’t believe that the Chiefs are done. They haven’t been playing poorly lately; they’ve just had a brutal schedule! Kansas City has faced Dallas, Indy, Denver and Buffalo, with three of those four games on the road. The Chiefs hammered Detroit and Baltimore in Arrowhead and they have won their last five home games by a combined 149-64 combined score. I know all about Houston’s awesome defense. Kansas City has faced and beaten a lot of awesome defenses in recent years. This is a must-win spot for Kansas City and they will have the home crowd behind them. Houston’s offense is still shaky as hell and C.J. Stroud is still working his way back from injury. For all the talk about Houston’s defense, Kansas City is still more than capable of putting the clamps on someone. That’s exactly what I see them doing here. Chiefs win this one 23-15.
1-Unit Play. 7-POINT TEASER: Take #124 N.Y. Jets (+10) over Miami (1 p.m.) AND Take #139 L.A. Rams (-1) over Arizona (4 p.m.)
1-Unit Play. 7-POINT TEASER: Take #132 Jacksonville (+8.5) over Indianapolis (1 p.m.) AND Take #135 New Orleans (+15.5) over Tampa Bay (1 p.m.)
This Week’s Totals
4-Unit Play. Take ‘Under’ 42.5 Pittsburgh at Baltimore (1 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 7)
2-Unit Play. Take ‘Under’ 47.5 Indianapolis at Jacksonville (1 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 7)
1-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 44.0 Chicago at Green Bay (4 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 7)
1-Unit Play. Take ‘Under’ 41.5 New Orleans at Tampa Bay (1 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 7)
2-Unit Play. Take ‘Under’ 47.5 L.A. Rams at Arizona (4 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 7)
2-Unit Play. Take ‘Under’ 40.5 Denver at Las Vegas (4 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 7)
Carpe diem. Good luck.
Craig Trapp
NFL3-Unit Play. Take #133 Cleveland (-3.5) Over Tennessee (1 p.m., Sunday, December 7)
The Titans have not been good on either side of the ball this season. Now, Tennessee faces the great Browns defense. Watch out this one could get really ugly! The Browns offense just needs to avoid turnovers and Cleveland will win by double digits. Take Cleveland to win and cover the spread Sunday.
7-Unit Play. Take #133 Chicago (+6.5) Over Green Bay (4:25 p.m., Sunday, December 7)
The Bears have been the best run team in the NFL and a top 5 defense in the NFL. But now we see them as a near touchdown underdog. There are just way too many points for the up and down Green Bay offense to cover this number. If the Bears avoid turnovers, they can win this game outright. But at worst they get this cover. Take Chicago to cover the spread this week.
5-Unit Play. Take #145 Philadelphia (-2.5) Over LA Chargers (8:15 p.m., Monday, December 8)
Tough spot for the banged up Chargers as the Eagles were embarrassed at home last week and are going to be extra focused on the road this week. Chargers QB Herbert is banged up and that will spell trouble against the great pass rush of the Eagles. Philly's offense gets back to basics with the run game this week and that is enough to get a road win here. Take the Eagles to win and cover on MNF.
Craig
Scott Rickenbach
4-Unit Play. Take #102 Detroit (-3.5) vs Dallas (8:15 p.m., Thu, Dec. 4)This is a buy low situation on the Lions. Even considering the way these teams have gone recently, Detroit is 4-2 at home this season and the Cowboys are 2-4 on the road. Lets not forget Detroit went 15-2 last season and Dallas went 7-10. Now I know these teams have changed some since last season of course but even when you look at this season there is a home/road variance for these teams. Also, while both offenses have solid numbers the difference in these teams is on the defensive side where Dallas is one of the worst in the league and the Lions rank in the middle of the pack. Really like the Lions a ton off a loss here. Detroit, in regular season action, is 14-0 SU the last 14 times when entering a game off a loss and all 14 wins were by a margin of at least 5 points which includes the recent OT win by 7 over the Giants. Even though Dallas is heating up they remain just 2-4 on the road this season and those 2 wins were over teams that are a combined 5-19 on the season - the Jets and Raiders! 4* DETROIT -3.5
6-Unit Play. Take #134 Green Bay (-6.5) vs Chicago (4:25 p.m., Sun, Dec. 7)
Perhaps the opening line near a full TD did seem disrespectful to the Bears at first glance and so I did understand the early move toward the Bears. However, the reason the line then went heavily toward Green Bay as of Thursday is because the Bears, based on statistics, are fortunate to be where they are. A couple of keys here for me are not only the home field edge but also the fact that statistically the Packers have the much better defense. Also, not that any additional motivation was needed for what is already a huge game but the Packers did lose to the Bears here in GB in the season finale last year and Love got hurt in the 2nd quarter of that game. Also, that snapped an 11-game win streak for the Packers in this series. They get some payback here and 7 of their 8 wins this season have been by at least 7 points. I like GB plenty here as the Packers defensive yardage stats rank them among the top 5 teams in the league while the Bears defensive yardage stats rank them bottom 5. Green Bay also has the much better pass rush and QB Williams struggles in games where he is pressured more and especially when he is sacked 3 or more times which is certainly possible here. The Packers will pull away as this game goes on and they get some payback for that home loss at the end of last season. 6* GREEN BAY -6.5
3-Unit Play. Take #139 LA Rams (-8) at Arizona (4:25 p.m., Sun, Dec. 7)
The Rams, of course as you can see with the records too, are the much better team on both sides of the ball and they are coming off a loss. Los Angeles will take advantage of an Arizona team enduring a lost season and the Cardinals also sit at 1-5 SU on the season in home games. The Rams are the much stronger team in the trenches including on the pass rush and in terms of pass protection and this one quickly turns into a road rout. 5 of the last 6 Rams wins have been by a margin of 14 points or more and also LA is a perfect 6-0 SU the last 6 times they have entered a game off a SU loss. The Rams won a tight one the last time these teams met but that followed a blowout loss at Arizona in the first meeting last season. That said, and given the situation, the Rams are likely to pour it on here and they will keep the pedal to the metal as they make up for the bad loss in their last visit here. Arizona's last two divisional games were blowout losses in which they allowed a combined 85 points and this one gets ugly too! 3* LA RAMS -8
3-Unit Play. Take #145 Philadelphia (-2.5) at LA Chargers (8:15 p.m., Mon, Dec. 8)
I know it might seem tough to trust the Eagles right now but the Chargers also have been inconsistent with 3 straight home wins all by double digit margins being preceded by B2B home losses by double digit margins! Also they got destroyed at Jacksonville before their bye week and then they destroyed the Raiders after the bye week. Which LA team shows up? Eagles do have a rest edge since they played on Friday. Eagles offensive lineman Lane Johnson could be back as well and they are a different team with him on the field and it has been that way for many years. Even if he does not play I still like the Eagles here. Remember that the Eagles did win at Minnesota earlier this season when off B2B losses and are in a similar situation this time around. As of Thursday early afternoon, Chargers QB Herbert is listed as questionable. Even if he does play, swelling in his non-throwing hand could still be an issue and I look for the Eagles to bounce back after consecutive losses. They have not lost 3 in a row since December of 2023! 3* PHILADELPHIA -2.5
Arun Shiva (Indian Cowboy)
NoneRaphael Esparza (VSI)
NFL FOOTBALL WEEK #143 Unit Play. Take #126 Cleveland -4 over Tennessee (1:00p.m., Sunday December 7 CBS)
Who doesn’t like a battle of rookie QB’s in Week 14! This play is all on the defense of the Cleveland Browns and I see Cam Ward having a long day in Cleveland. The Browns NFL’s second-ranked defense will provide great field position all game long and I see Shedeur Sanders having a better game than he did last week against the 49ers defense. The Titans are 5-13 ATS in their last 18 games
6 Unit Play. Take #144 Kansas City -3.5 over Houston (8:20p.m., Sunday December 7 NBC)
When was the last time we saw a total of 42.5 in a Patrick Mahomes game. The Kansas Chiefs welcome the defensive minded Houston Texans to the Kingdom, and I see the Chiefs winning at home. The Chiefs have dropped 3 out 4 games but those 3 losses were at home and this year alone the Chiefs have won 5 out 6 in the Kingdom. Houston has won 4-Straight games coming to Kansas City and they are looking to keep a late playoff push. The Kansas City Chiefs are 18-3 SU at home and if I must choose with either Patrick Mahomes or CJ Stroud I’m taking Mahomes at home is a must-win game.
Tony George
NFLSunday Dec. 7
4 Units
Play #133 / #134 Chicago / Green Bay (UNDER 44.5)
*4:20 EST
Green Bay is a big favorite here because their defense matches up well against Chicago. Bitter cold in the frozen tundra in Green Bay. I think points will be at a premium. Bears defense is better than average as well. Green Bay will want to run it. All the makings of an under as these two vie for a division crown. Simple handicap for me.
3 Units
#126 Cleveland (-4) over Tennessee
*1 EST
The Titans are a total mess and Cam Ward in for a long day against this defense. I doubt they have 7+ points here. Jax held them to 3 points ands this defense is a hell of a lot better than the Jags. The Browns are no bargain on offense either with Sanders at QB but better than the Titans. The Total is 34 and no doubt that is in play here but I think Cleveland can 20+ points here in the cold, because the Titans defense wears down after numerous 3 and outs by their putrid offense. Should be no surprises here.
2 Team 6 Point Teaser (-120) *1 EST
3 Units
Tease #139 LA Rams DOWN to (-2) and Tease #121 Washington UP to (+8)
Vernon Croy
6-Unit Play: #102 Detroit -3-110 over Dallas (Thursday, December 4, 2025, 8:15pm ET)Take Detroit ATS as my top NFL pick for Thursday night. This pick falls into one of my top NFL systems and I really like Detroit in this bounce back spot at home playing their third straight home game. I also feel like this is a very tough spot for Dallas on the road after winning back-to-back home games against Philadelphia and Kansas City as an underdog in both those games. Dallas is just 2-4 on the road this season and Detroit is 4-2 at home. I definitely expect Detroit to step up defensively here tonight at home and they have allowed just 316 yards per game this season. This is a Dallas defense that has struggled this season allowing 376 yards per game including 251 passing yards per game with opponents averaging 28.5 points per game against them. Play Detroit ATS
7-Unit Play: #138 Las Vegas +7.5-110 over Denver (Sunday, December 7, 2025, 4:05pm ET)
Take Las Vegas ATS as my top NFL pick for Sunday. This pick falls into one of my top NFL systems and I would not be shocked to see Las Vegas win this game outright at home. I feel like this is a very tough spot for Denver who looked to make it 10 straight victories coming off a close one-point victory at Washington allowing 26 points. Even if Smith does not go for the Raiders I still like them a lot in this spot as they come into this game with a chip on their shoulder dropping six straight games including a close three-point loss at Denver back on November 6th holding Denver to just 10 points. Denver does have eight touchdown passes but more importantly five interceptions over their last five games while Las Vegas has eight touchdown passes and four interceptions. Play Las Vegas ATS
5-Unit Play: #125 Tennessee +4-110 over Cleveland (Sunday, December 7, 2025, 1:00pm ET)
Take Tennessee ATS as my top NFL pick for Sunday. This pick falls into one of my top NFL systems and I really like Tennessee in the spot on the road against a team they can definitely win against. Tennessee is coming off a blowout loss against Jacksonville putting up just three points So they will come with a chip on their shoulder here Sunday. Cleveland does have several defensive injuries coming into this game. This is a Tennessee team that just lost their second last game by Jess six points against Seattle and before that by three points against Houston along with seven points against the Chargers. So, they have hung around in those games. Tennessee's only victory came on the road this season as well at Arizona despite being 7.5-point underdogs. Play Tennessee ATS
5-Unit Play: #143 Houston +3.5-110 over Kansas City (Sunday, December 7, 2025, 8:20pm ET)
Take Houston ATS as my top NFL pick for Sunday night. This pick falls into one of my top NFL systems and I have Houston winning this game outright on the road. This is a Houston team looking to make it five straight victories coming off an impressive four-point victory at Indianapolis along with a four-point victory at home against Buffalo. Two very good teams and I do expect them to take care of business on the road especially defensively. This is a Kansas City team that just gave up 31 points at Dallas and they have dropped three of their last four games. Houston has allowed just 265 yards per game this season which ranks first defensively in the NFL with opponents averaging just 16.5 points per game against them. Play Houston ATS
6-Unit Play: #146 Los Angeles +2.5-110 over Philadelphia (Monday, December 8, 2025, 8:15pm ET)
Take Los Angeles ATS as my top NFL pick for Monday night. I really like the Chargers at home in this spot and they have won four of their last five games overall. The Chargers have really been impressive in their last three home games Winning by 27 points against Minnesota, 15 points against Pittsburgh and 17 points against Las Vegas. This is a Philadelphia offense that has averaged just 304 yards per game this season and they face a Chargers defense that has allowed just 275 yards per game this season which ranks third defensively in the NFL. If the Chargers can limit big plays which I believe they can do I have them winning this game by double digits. The Chargers have converted 48.3% of their third downs over all the season while Philadelphia has converted just 34.5% of their third downs. Play Los Angeles ATS
Scott Spreitzer
2-Unit Play: Take 134 Packers -6.5 over Bears (4:25 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 7)The argument against Chicago was that they'd beaten no one of note and the win over the Eagles was a case of catching Philly at the right time and without the services of Lane Johnson. The Packers' defense has been outstanding against both the run & pass. They've owned this series taking 11 of 12 but Bears' HC Ben Johnson did give LeFleur and the Pack locker room material when he said how much he likes beating the Green Bay coach, (the Lions went 5-1 against the Pack when he was an assistant in Detroit). Chicago's offense has not faced a strong defense, statistically speaking. I think in order to keep clicking they have to be able to run the ball and I don't believe it's going to happen against the stout GB defense. And btw, the Bears' defense leaves a lot to be desired. The Bears will get their home shot at Green Bay on December 20 - but I like the Packers this week. I'm laying the points with Green Bay. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.
2-Unit Play: Take 142 Bills -5.5 over Bengals (1 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 7)
The Bengals picked up a nice win last week over Baltimore with the return of Joe Burrow but they have one big issue this week - they can't run the football. The Bengals are 30th in rypg and you beat Buffalo with a ground game. Buffalo's run defense catches a potential break this week and their defense is the stingiest in the league in pypg allowed. The Cincy defense is still god-awful and Josh Allen, James Cook, and the Bills' offense ought to do consistent damage. I'm laying the points with the Bills. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.
7-Unit Play: Take 144 Chiefs -3.5 over Texans (8:20 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 7)
While it hasn't been a typical season for Kansas City in the Mahomes-Reid era, it should be noted that the Chiefs are still in the top-10 on both sides of the line of scrimmage and only four other teams can say the same in 2025. They're still on a 5-0 SU / 4-1 ATS run at Arrowhead. Houston is in a tough spot for bettors, having won back-to-back weeks as an underdog including an outright underdog win over a division rival. In fact, they've covered just four of their last 15 following a game against the Colts. And as reported by multiple outlets, HC Andy Reid has been extremely dangerous when his teams are at .500 or worse, going 80-49 SU (80-48-1 ATS). Solid spot for the home team. I'm laying the points with Kansas City. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.
August Young
7-Unit Play - (102) Detroit Lions -3.5 +100 over Dallas Cowboys (12/4 | 8:15PM EST) This is a huge game for both teams as both are sitting on the outside of the playoffs. We've been high on the Cowboys for a while now and have cashed B2B 7-Unit plays on them. However, we're flipping the script here. The market is on notice and has caught up to what we've been seeing, but as usual; and over-adjustment has happened. That's what back-to-back wins over the Eagles and Chiefs will do. The Lions have issues when it comes to injuries and have failed to cover in four of their last five but they are still the far better team in the stats, and it's not even close. We made the true line closer to 7 and this low-vig 3.5 holds a ton of EV based on our estimations. Go Lions!4-Unit Play - (125) Tennessee Titans +4 -110 over Cleveland Browns (12/7 | 1:00PM EST) Two horrific teams in what is sure to be a snooze-fest. However, we don't bet as fans, but as investors. The Titans are 1-11 SU and dead-last in yards margin, where the Browns are in the bottom 5 in many advanced metrics. The public are hammering Cleveland but we're more than willing to grab the +4 based for a multitude of reasons, with uncertainty being one of them! That works in our favor here. It's also worth noting that the Titans have covered in three of their last four.
4-Unit Play - (138) Las Vegas Raiders +7.5 -110 over Denver Broncos (12/7 | 4:05PM EST) Denver have won nine straight, but the historical data on such situations is ugly. The market is at an all-time high on them, and it's no surprise they have pushed this through a touchdown considering Vegas are 1-10 SU and 2-8 ATS. This is a clear dead-spot for Denver with some big games on deck. It will be interesting to see how much they press here, but I don't believe we are going to get their best effort. This is a must bet based on motivation, as well as a clear buy-low, sell-high late season situation with solid +EV.
4-Unit Play - (144) Kansas City Chiefs -3 -120 over Houston Texans (12/7 | 8:20PM EST) This is a late addition so no analysis possible. We are sorry for any inconvenience this may have caused. GL!
Strike Point Sports
NFL Plays:2-Unit Play. Take #130 Atlanta (+7) over Seattle (1 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 7)
Seattle is considerably better than the Falcons and absolutely deserve to be favored by a touchdown here. Something about this line doesn’t sit well with me, and I like the Falcons to give the Seahawks a game here. The Seahawks had to go to LA, then to Tennessee, then back home, and now to Atlanta over a five week time period. That is a lot of travel, and they haven’t had to be too focused to play these lesser squads after the Rams game. The Seahawks still have the Colts, Rams, and 49ers on their schedule, and I don’t see their focus being at 100 percent for this game. Give me the points.
2-Unit Play. Take #134 Chicago (+6.5) over Green Bay (4:25 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 7)
This isn’t Aaron Rodgers, and this isn’t Bears teams of the past. Green Bay has dominated the Bears year in and year out, but not this time. Yes, Green Bay is rounding into shape as their defense is starting to look dominant and their rushing attack is following suit. The Bears just find ways to win, and although they may not win this game, they will be there in the end. Give me the points.
2-Unit Play. Take #141 Cincinnati (+5.5) over Buffalo (1 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 7)
This is not an overreaction to last Thursday’s win by the Bengals.. Joe Burrow is back, and he will give this up and down Bills team a scare. Burrow makes the Bengals defense better by sustaining offensive drives, and giving them a bit more rest in games like this so they don’t get dominated by good offenses. Buffalo is just 1-3 ATS as a home favorite this season, and the Bengals have life with Burrow back under center. Give me the points.
2-Unit Play. Take #143 Houston (+3.5) over Kansas City (8:20 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 7)
I know how “good” Kansas City can be at home, but this is a mediocre team facing a dominant defense. Houston is putting everything together and is getting more dangerous with every passing weekend. Houston makes a big statement here and the AFC takes notice. Take the points.
Best of Luck - Strike Point Sports
Jason Sharpe
NFL-Sunday December 7th 2025-
7 Unit Play Take #122 Minnesota -1.5 over Washington (1:00pm est):
I had Washington last week and they really left it on the field in another tough loss in what has been a huge disappointing season for the Commanders. This is a team that had high expectations coming into this season. They will play all divisional foes after this game to finish out the year so I wonder how motivated and focused they are to play this meaningless game on the road.
Minnesota is desperate for a win. The Vikings were actually cruising along at 3-2 after their bye week but since then have had to play Philadelphia, LAC, Detroit, Baltimore, Chicago, Green Bay and Seattle which are all playoff caliber teams. This is a chance for them to get some confidence back as overall this group is still pretty talented.
Take Minnesota in this one.
3 Unit Play Take #130 Atlanta +7 over Seattle (1:00pm est):
The Seattle offense didn't look good last week and I'm starting to wonder if the league is starting to catch up to what the Seahawks have been doing this year. This is a tough sleepy spot for Seattle as they play four winning teams to end the regular season after this contest.
On the other side of things Atlanta is much better than their 4-8 record this season. In fact the Falcons last four losses have all been by 3 points or less. This is also just the 2nd home game for Atlanta in their last six games overall.
Play Atlanta plus the points.
Griffin Murphy
2 Unit Play - Take #128 Baltimore Ravens (-5.5) Over PIT Steelers. (1:00p.m, Sunday, December 7th)Pittsburgh just got lit up by Buffalo last week in a 26-7 final. We are aware Buffalo has a dominant offense, a dual-threat QB with Josh Allen. Buffalo does not have a strong offense, and this team allowed just 7 points against Pitt last week. Now Baltimore, another dual-threat QB situation with Lamar Jackson leading the charge. To cap on this, Baltimore has a solid defense and is very good at applying pressure on the QB. Aaron Rodgers is still slightly injured and is by no means mobile. We do not believe the Steelers will have answers in this game and believe Baltimore torches them. Let’s roll with the Ravens here—the points.
Griffin Murphy
2 Unit Play - Take #133 Chicago (+6.5) Over Green Bay. (4:25p.m, Sunday, December 7th)
Chicago has won 5 games in a row and just destroyed the Eagles Friday in a 24-15 final. The line once again is sitting at +6.5. Is it the same line as it was with Philadelphia last week? We love this situation because once again we believe a wipeout play is in place. Public bettors will be teasing the Packers from -6.5 to -0.5, and ATS bettors are looking at it in the sense of only having to win by a touchdown. The history between these two teams heavily favors the Packers here. My model has this game landing in a 25-25 final as well, with Green Bay getting a 0.86% edge in their favor. The market is afraid of the Chicago Bears and does not know how to price them. This is why we are repeatedly seeing lines at +6.5. Chicago makes the books money when they win straight up because it's killing moneyline bettors on the opposite side, teaser bettors, and ATS bettors. Chicago has all the momentum under Ben Johnson, and we believe they will come in and cover the spread. I would even consider a very small sprinkle on the moneyline with the Bears. Let’s roll with Chicago here as our NFL 2-Unit Selection.
Griffin Murphy
7 Unit Play - Take #139 LA Rams (-8) Over ARI Cardinals. (4:25p.m, Sunday, December 7th)
Los Angeles comes into this game a strong 9-3 and currently 1st in the NFC West. The Rams are coming off a brutal loss to Carolina last week, which causes massive vulnerability. LA is still a stout 4-1 in their last 5 games and 4-2 on the road. Arizona is 0-4 in divisional play and currently on a 4-game losing streak. Arizona lost to Tampa Bay last week but did cover the spread at +4.5-+3.5. Public bettors are going to come back to Arizona here with them now getting a massive +8 points here, and this is a divisional matchup, which tends to always keep games tight. Los Angeles is by far the superior team, and Arizona truly has a terrible defense. We believe Stafford leads this Rams offense here in a one-sided game and the Rams get the +8 cover. Let’s roll with the Rams here on the road laying -8 as the scarcity best bet! We love the play, we love the vulnerability, and we see the seam the market has opened. RAMS!
Griffin Murphy
Nick Menken
7 Unit – Take #133 CHI Bears (+6.5) over Green Bay (-110) (4:25p.m, Sunday, December 7th)We have the biggest game on the board this weekend, and it’s happening in the NFC North as the Chicago Bears head into Lambeau Field to face their rivals, the Green Bay Packers. The Packers sit second in the division, while the Bears lead the North at 9-3, not losing a single game in the month of November. Now heading into Green Bay, Chicago is catching +6.5, and to me that number is simply too many points. Week in and week out the Bears have competed in every game regardless of who’s on the field. Yes, Chicago has struggled historically against Green Bay; everyone knows that, but this is a completely different Bears team under Ben Johnson. The entire culture has changed in Chicago, and that’s exactly what you need when you’re building a contender. The Bears are clicking in all phases of the game right now, while the Packers continue to show flashes of inconsistency. One week it’s the offense, the next week it’s the defense. The addition of Micah Parsons on the edge makes this a great test for Chicago’s offensive line, but the Bears just went into Philadelphia and ran for over 200 yards on their turf last week. That travels. That wins in December. And that’s the sign of a football team that’s peaking at the right time. I’m backing my team here with confidence. This game will be close throughout, and I don’t see either side getting rolled with how well both teams are playing. Chicago knows exactly how big this matchup is for the division and for playoff seeding. This is a statement opportunity. I’m bearing down and backing the road dog. Take the Bears +6.5 on Sunday.
Take #133 CHI Bears (+6.5) over Green Bay (-110)
Nick Menken
6 Unit – Take #145 PHI Eagles ML (-145) over LA Chargers (8:15p.m, Monday, December 8th)
We have the Eagles traveling to Los Angeles on Monday night to take on the Chargers. Philadelphia is coming off an embarrassing loss to the Bears on their home turf last Friday, and now the Eagles enter this matchup on a two-game losing streak. This is a team desperate to avoid dropping three straight. The Chargers, meanwhile, sit second in the AFC West at 8-4, coming off a strong 31-14 win over the Raiders. But the bigger focus in this matchup is on Philadelphia. This is a classic buy-low spot after two terrible game plans and back-to-back losses. Primetime has been a mixed bag for the Eagles this season, but this is the type of spot where championship teams respond. The Chargers have had their own issues, especially with consistency on offense. Yes, Justin Herbert is at home, but he’s facing one of the best defenses in the league even after that rough outing last week where the Eagles allowed 24 points and over 200 rushing yards to Chicago. With the extended week of preparation, I fully expect Philadelphia to clean that up. For the Eagles, this game starts with the run. Saquon Barkley needs to be heavily involved Monday night. Once their run game gains momentum, it creates opportunities for the passing attack and enables them to maintain control over the tempo. This is exactly the matchup where Barkley can have a massive role and help settle this offense back into rhythm. This feels like a statement game for the defending champs, a chance in primetime to remind the country who they are. I trust the Eagles to bounce back under the lights. Take the Eagles on the moneyline to be safe. This is a huge game for Philly, and I believe they get it done on the road Monday night.
Take #145 PHI Eagles ML (-145) over LA Chargers
Nick Menken
3 Unit – Take #135 NO Saints (+8.5) over Tampa Bay (-110) (1:00p.m, Sunday, December 7th)
Before you dismiss this play, keep in mind that this is a divisional matchup in the NFC South, and these games rarely unfold as the public anticipates. Everyone and their mother is going to be on the Buccaneers this week, expecting a clean win at home against a Saints team with just two wins on the season. Tampa Bay barely got by the Cardinals last week, sneaking out a 20–17 victory at home. But here's what people overlook: when these two teams play each other, it’s always close and always ugly. These are exactly the divisional spots I love to attack. And while the public piles onto the Bucs, they’re completely ignoring the fact that the Saints have covered 9 of the last 10 against the spread in Tampa. Backup QB or not, this is a Saints team that always fights the Bucs tough. This matchup routinely comes down to the final minutes, and I think we see another grinder on Sunday. Tampa might pull it out, but blowing out the Saints? I don’t see it, especially after they barely survived Arizona at home. Baker may also still be banged up given what we saw last week. Take the Saints +8.5 on the road in Tampa. Divisional dogs in this spot cash, and we’ll gladly put those points in our back pocket..
Take #135 NO Saints (+8.5) over Tampa Bay (-110)
Nick Menken
2 Unit – Take #124 NYJ Jets (+3) over MIA Dolphins (-110) (1:00p.m, Sunday, December 7th)
We have the Miami Dolphins heading to New York to take on the Jets this weekend, and this is a spot I really like for the home team. The Jets are coming off a strong comeback win over the Falcons, pulling out a 27–24 victory on their own turf. Tyrod Taylor threw for 172 yards and a touchdown in that game, and you can see this offense finally finding some rhythm with him under center. The Dolphins must now play in the cold in New York, which has been a problem for Miami for years. Honestly, facing a 3–9 Jets team on the road isn't exactly a get-up-for-it type of game for the Dolphins. Meanwhile, the Jets have momentum, confidence, and a quarterback who’s giving this offense life. I think that energy rolls right into this matchup. Tyrod at home, in the cold, against a Miami team that’s been defeated mentally and physically this sets up perfectly for the Jets to keep this competitive. Take the Jets with the points at home against a Miami team that does not thrive in these conditions.
Take #124 NYJ Jets (+3) over MIA Dolphins
Nick Menken
Expert NFL Picks History:
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