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Last Week's Expert College Football Picks From Our Handicappers.
Just so the public knows we are always transparent and honest with our reporting, in this spot we will list all of the previous college football pick released with analysis.
This page will be updated each Thursday at 5AM Eastern.
Get free college football picks including expert parlays picks for betting college football games against the spread.
Doc's Sports
3 Unit Play. Take #163 Over 36.5 in Northwestern Wildcats @ Michigan Wolverines (3:30p.m., Saturday, November 23 FS1) You do not find a total this low in college football very often, and we will bite with the over. I think one of the teams will score in the high 20s, and that should allow us to cash this ticket with the over. Michigan has gone over this posted number in 2 of their last 3 games, and they are averaging 22 points per game. Both teams still have a chance to make a bowl game, but in order to achieve that they must be better on offense. It starts today, as we expect both teams to reach the 20s in points.3 Unit Play. Take #210 Houston Cougars +8 over Baylor Bears (7p.m., Saturday, November 23 FS1) Houston has played better of late winning 2 of their last 3 games to keep their bowl chances alive (must win out). Houston is 9-3 over the last 12 years in their home finale (senior day) and have covered the spread in 8 of those games as well. Baylor has a defensive coach but they struggle to get off the field giving up 36 points per game of late (last 7 games).
3 Unit Play. Take #222 Notre Dame Fighting Irish -14.5 over Army Black Knights (7:30p.m., Saturday, November 23 NBC) Army has a lot to play for in this game, as a victory over Notre Dame might vault them into the College Football Playoff. Notre Dame has beaten Army 15 straight times. Notre Dame pounded Navy earlier this season by a score of 51-14, and that is how I see this game going as well. Army’s toughest game this season came against North Texas, and they are just not battle tested to hang with Notre Dame.
Robert Ferringo
SATURDAY COLLEGE FOOTBALL SELECTIONS1-Unit Play. Take #124 Virginia (+9.5) over SMU (Noon, Saturday, Nov. 23)
This really is rarified air for SMU. And like with a lot of teams that we’re going against this week, I feel like the noose is tightening. We bet against SMU last week and collected with Boston College. I’m going right back against the Mustangs here. It’s not that I don’t think SMU is a good team; they are absolutely legit. It is just tough to adjust to taking everyone’s best shots. SMU has just bene OK on the road. They have only played four road games this year. Three of them – at Nevada, at Louisville and at Duke – were decided by a touchdown or less. And they were lucky to beat both Nevada and Duke. Virginia is still trying to get itself bowl eligible. They are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games and this team should be ready to embrace the spoiler role.
2-Unit Play. Take #140 Kansas (+3) over Colorado (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 23)
Just like last week at BYU, Kansas has a bit of a red flag line here. The Jayhawks are just 4-6 on the season and they are taking on an 8-2 Colorado team with a lot of hype and an eight-game ATS wining streak. But they are barely underdogs. Kansas needs to win both of its last two games to get to a bowl game so you know they are going to max out. And Colorado could be in a bit of a letdown spot here after their blowout win over Utah.
2-Unit Play. Take #142 Florida (+10.5) over Mississippi (Noon, Saturday, Nov. 23)
We’ve cashed in several times this year with Florida as an underdog. Let’s see if we can do it again. I think people left UF for dead a little too early this season. They have faced one of the three or four most difficult schedules in the country and are still on the cusp of a bowl game. Florida nearly won at Tennessee. They nearly beat Georgia. And they did pull an upset over LSU just last week. The Gators are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games and they are fighting for that sixth win. They would also love to be a spoiler here. Ole Miss is coming out of a bye week. I think that’s going to work against them. Their last game was a huge win over Georgia. They’ve probably been celebrating that win for two weeks. And now they have to gear back up on the road. Ole Miss really hasn’t played a difficult schedule and I’m still a little skeptical of Lane Kiffin winning big games. I do think the Rebels have too much offensive firepower to lose this one. However, don’t be surprised if the Gators throw a scare into them.
3-Unit Play. Take #145 Connecticut (+10.5) over Syracuse (Noon, Saturday, Nov. 23)
I don’t love Syracuse in the role of favorite this year. They have been savage as an underdog, with four outright wins. That includes last week’s big upset at Cal as a double-digit dog. Syracuse hasn’t been as good as a favorite, going 1-3 ATS. They lost to Stanford and they were unimpressive against Ohio as double-digit favorites. Connecticut is an average team. They nearly won at Duke, though, and over the last two seasons they have been a sneaky underdog against teams from major conferences. The Huskies run the ball a ton and that is a soft spot for Syracuse’s No. 83 rushing defense. Syracuse is also in a letdown/look ahead spot for the Orange. They are went coast-to-coast in back-to-back weeks (Boston and then California) and are coming off an upset win. Next week they host a Top 10 Miami team in a huge game. In between, this game is a bit of an annoyance. I think Connecticut can be a rock in SU’s shoe for this one.
6-Unit Play. Take #154 Nebraska (-2.5) over Wisconsin (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 23)
1-Unit Play. Take ‘Under’ 42.0 Wisconsin at Nebraska (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 23)
I think that this is a letdown spot for the Badgers. Wisconsin wound up and took a huge swing at the No. 1 team in the country last week, nearly pulling the upset over Oregon in Madison last Saturday night. Now they have to shrug off the disappointment of that loss and go on the road. That’s a tall ask. Wisconsin also fired its offensive coordinator. I think that means the Badgers are going to just try to run the ball and bully Nebraska. That won’t work. Nebraska is No. 20 in the country in rushing defense and they have a Top 30 total defense. Unlike the Huskers, I don’t see Nebraska having a letdown at all. This team is one win away from getting back to a bowl game for the first time since 2018. Nebraska is 0-8 in its last eight games when a win would get them to six wins. Nebraska is also 0-9 against Wisconsin since joining the Big Ten. Those are some serious streaks! And this is a great time for the Huskers to snap them. They are at home. They have the better coach and quarterback. They have the motivation edge. Wisconsin is in a letdown spot. It’s kind of a now-or-never spot for the Huskers (who play at Iowa next week). Yes, Nebraska is on a four-game losing streak. Look at those games, though: at Indiana, at Ohio State, UCLA and at USC. No shame in those losses, especially when three of them were close. I think Wisconsin is a mess right now. I know you’re not supposed to bet against the streak – and we are going against two of them. But I just feel like this is the game Nebraska breaks through. It will be a slog of a game. But not having to lay a full field goal in a game I can see being decided by 3-6 points is huge. I’ll call it 19-13 for the home team.
1-Unit Play. Take #156 Minnesota (+12) over Penn State (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 23)
These are the games that James Franklin and the Gophers have success in. Against middle-tier and lower-tier conference opponents. I’m still not buying. Penn State has covered two straight since they got embarrassed by Ohio State at home. I don’t see them getting three in a row. Minnesota has been tough at home under P.J. Fleck and they won’t back down from a fight. The home team has won four straight in this series over the last decade. And while I don’t see an upset here I do think the Gophers will stay within this number.
2-Unit Play. Take #160 Ohio State (-13) over Indiana (Noon, Saturday, Nov. 23) – small if at all
I love Indiana. You love Indiana. We’ve certainly loved all the tickets we’ve cashed with Indiana this year. However, I don’t think they can slay this dragon. The reality is that the Hoosiers have been such a surprise because their expectations were so comically low to begin with. The Hoosiers have absolutely punished their opponents with blowout after blowout. But those wins have come against weak competition. And most of those wins have come at home. IU has only played three road games all season. They haven’t played anywhere or anyone like what they will face on Saturday in Columbus. Ohio State allowed 32 points at Oregon. Other than that, they have surrendered an average of just eight points per game against their other nine opponents, with only one team scoring over 14 points and no one else going over 17. I know it is a completely different group, but Ohio State has won the last three games against IU by 20, 42 and 47 points. I don’t think that this is going to be a total blowout. I think it will be like the UGA-Tennessee game last week where it was close for a half and the better team pulled away. But I have seen a whole lot of people predict a close Indiana loss this week and I haven’t seen anyone call for Ohio State to win big. I’ll take the minority position here.
3-Unit Play. Take #162 Rutgers (+1) over Illinois (Noon, Saturday, Nov. 23)
Several things with this line jumped out at me. First, Rutgers opened as a favorite in this game even though Illinois is ranked in the Top 25 in the country. That was a red flag. The public has jumped on the ranked Illini, and that has turned the number over. However, I still like Rutgers embracing the underdog mentality here under Greg Schiano. This is a tough, experienced team that has won back-to-back games since its bye week. I think they got some things figured out and I look for them to finish the season strong. Illinois has only played three road games this year (losing two). I think they slip-up here against the Knights.
3-Unit Play. Take #176 Arizona State (-3) over BYU (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 23)
BYU’s bubble burst last week when they gave away a home game to Kansas. Now they have to hit the road and face a hot Arizona State squad. BYU is also angry because that one loss knocked them out of this week’s college playoff rankings. That’s a distraction. The Cougars are just 1-3 ATS in their last four games and their wins at Utah and against Oklahoma State were both by less than a field goal. This team has been stumbling toward the finish line and I think their early season luck has worn off. Arizona State is going the other way. They have won five of six both SU and ATS and they are 8-2 ATS on the season. They have home field and momentum right now and I think they put the final nail in BYU’s playoff coffin.
2-Unit Play. Take #190 Mississippi State (+7.5) over Missouri (4 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 23)
I know Mississippi State is just 2-8 and seemingly has nothing to play for. However, this is their final home game and after a bye week I think that this team is going to show up and play hard in their final two games. Mississippi State is not as bad as its record. They have played a horror show of a schedule this season. And they have easily covered the spread against Texas, Georgia, Texas A&M and Tennessee. Missouri is coming off a draining game at South Carolina and they are on the road in back-to-back weeks. This is a team whose best wins have come against Vanderbilt, Auburn, Oklahoma and Boston College – hardly a group of world beaters – and all of them have come A) at home and B) by less than a touchdown. I think the Bulldogs make this a game.
3-Unit Play. Take #195 Kentucky (+20.5) over Texas (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 23)
The only game that Texas has covered the spread over the last month came against a team that was in a killer letdown spot, in Austin, and playing with its third-string walk-on quarterback. That’s it. Texas hasn’t played or beaten anyone this year. I don’t want to hear about how tough the SEC is; Texas hasn’t played a tough schedule at all. They have been unimpressive in wins against Arkansas and Vanderbilt and I think Kentucky is every bit as good as those two teams. Kentucky has already gone toe-to-toe with Tennessee, Ole Miss and Georgia, with the aggregate score of those three games being 50-58 against the Wildcats. Mark Stoops has been a really good underdog in his career at Kentucky and I think he can do some things to frustrate Texas.
3-Unit Play. Take #208 Auburn (+2.5) over Texas A&M (7:30 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 23)
Texas A&M is another SEC fraud. They are another team that really hasn’t played or beaten any top-tier competition. Yet here they are knocking on the door of the playoffs. A&M is another team that has only played three true road games. They barely beat Miss State in one of them and were blown out at South Carolina in their last one. Auburn is a little better than its record and has been a hard-luck team this year. They absolutely gave away games against Cal, Arkansas and Oklahoma this year, posting 11 turnovers in those three games. They also blew a 17-3 lead at Missouri and lost as an 8.5-point favorite to pesky Vanderbilt. The Tigers are kind of due for a marquee win. And it is also a red flag here that a top 15 Texas A&M team is only a 2.5-point favorite against a 4-6 Auburn side. Auburn is due to spring an upset. They are playing their final home game and they need two wins to get to six and a bowl game. This game is everything for the Tigers and I think that they finally put one of these games away.
8-Unit Play. Take #222 Notre Dame (-14) over Army (7:30 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 23)
3-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 44.5 Notre Dame vs. Army (7:30 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 23)
NOTE: This is my 8-Unit College Football Game of the Year. Buy the half-point if you have to.
Army sucks. They do. I get it, they are a service academy so they make for a great story this college football season. But give me a break. This team is not good. And we would know they if they had played anyone. Anyone at all. Army has played eight teams that have a combined record of 27-53 this year. Only one team (East Carolina) is currently above .500. That ECU team is also the only team they’ve played that is above .500 against D-I opponents. Yes, that’s right: seven of the 27 wins that their opponents have earned this year have come against FCS teams. If you eliminate those games then Army’s opponents are 20-54 this year. They’ve won 27 percent of their games! And it’s not like they have played some brutal schedules; these teams are just awful. Oh, and how did Army’s opposition do when they played teams from the five major conferences? They went 0-7 SU, 2-5 ATS and lost by a combined 279-81 score. Oh, and when we include common games against Tulane they are 0-11 SU, 4-7 ATS and the aggregate score moves to 471-154. The fact that Army is ranked above Tulane is an absolute joke.
Notre Dame has already faced a triple-option team. They took on Navy back on Oct. 26. They won 51-14. Granted, Navy fumbled seven times in that game and Notre Dame recovered five of them. That’s not going to happen Saturday night with Army! But it shouldn’t matter. Nothing about Army’s quirky triple-option is going to be anything foreign to the Irish. They’ve seen it. They will be ready for it. Notre Dame has played Navy for nearly 100 straight years (not an exaggeration; they started playing in 1927 and have played every year but 2020) so they are used to preparing for the option. Oh, and how have they done? They’ve beaten Navy 51-14, 42-3, 35-32, 34-6, 52-20, and 44-22 dating back to 2018. So one time in the last seven years has an option team stayed within 22 points of the Irish.
Notre Dame has also already played Georgia Tech, Northern Illinois and Texas A&M – three other run-based offenses. Notre Dame allowed an average of just 14 points per game in those four games (including Navy). And their three wins came by 37, 18 and 10 points. And the 10-point win was a true road game to open the year. Further, Notre Dame is No. 6 in total defense, No. 2 in passing defense, and No. 3 in scoring defense this year. And they have played a real schedule.
The Irish also have the best offense that Army has faced this year. Really, it’s the only competent offense they have faced. The Black Knights were able to play keep away from North Texas, but still allowed 283 yards in just 18 minutes and 5.2 yards per play. It was the same against the only other Top 85 offense they faced this year, East Carolina. Army allowed 369 yards and 6.4 yards per play in just 22 minutes against them, allowing 28 points. If Army doesn’t dominate the time of possession they are going to get rolled over.
Look, maybe Army is able to grind this game down. Maybe Notre Dame is the team that turns the ball over three or four times. Maybe the Black Knights can sneak in this large back door. I can’t control any of that. All I know is that this spread should be closer to 20. Army is not one of the 25 best teams in the country, despite their ranking. They are overvalued and overranked. This game is a mismatch. And Notre Dame’s results in recent years suggest they are going to crush a team that runs the triple-option. The Irish are a true Top 15 team and they have advantages all over the field. I think Army will put up a fight. But the Irish are too much. I have this game at 37-16 for the Irish.
Arun Shiva (Indian Cowboy)
7-Unit Play. #126. Take Louisville Cardinals -8 over Pittsburgh (Saturday @ 4pm est)
Louisville if you remember lost to Pittsburgh last year by 17 points and they were actually favored by 7 in that game. So, Louisville defintely owes something to Pittsburgh here and as Louisville comes back home, losing to Stanford as a 21 point chalk, that was a long plane ride back and they will be furious here and as Pittsburgh comes off a great effort against Clemson, they are going to run into a bulldozer here in the Cardinals who will rout them.
4-Unit Play. #141. Take Ole Miss -11 over Florida (Saturday @ 12pm est)
Lane Kiffin has told all of his players about how good Florida is and that this team nearly beat Georgia and of course beat LSU recently. There is no way that Lane overlooks Florida here especially since his team is ranked near the end of the college football rankings albeit still in it and if they can beat Florida by more than 14 which is what Georgia did, it will bode well for them. Like Ole Miss a lot here.
4-Unit Play. #180. Take California -14 over Stanford (Saturday @ 3:30pm est)
This is a much bigger rivalry than folks realize in the east coast as it is huge on the west coast and as California comes off a loss, the fact that this team is 5-5, the fact they come off an 8 point loss to Syracuse after giving up 33 points to them and losing outright as a 10 point favorite after the huge Wake and Oregon State win, this is a great spot for them to bounce-back here and get revenge against an arch rival who comes in winning as outright underdog of 3 touchdowns over Louisville. Let's roll with Cal.
Raphael Esparza (VSI)
COLLEGE FOOTBALL WEEK #135 Unit Play. Take #139 Colorado -2.5 over Kansas (3:30p.m., Saturday November 23 FOX)
What a matchup Saturday late afternoon at Arrowhead Stadium. The red-hot Colorado Buffaloes come to Kansas City to face off the Kansas Jayhawks. The Buffs have won 8-Straight games and covered all 8 games, and their offense has been on cruise control since their loss to Nebraska. I know Kansas has lost 6 games and all of those losses were close but a loss is a loss and Colorado is still in the hunt for a conference championship.
3 Unit Play. Take #178 Middle Tennessee St -3 over New Mexico St (2:30p.m., Saturday November 23 ESPN+)
This play is all about fading New Mexico St! The Aggies have dropped 6-Straight Road games and 1-5 ATS. The Blue Raiders have a stronger passing game and with them at home I see the winning this game by a touchdown. The home team has covered the spread in 4 of New Mexico St last 5 games.
4 Unit Play. Take #222 Notre Dame -14 over Army (7:30p.m., Saturday November 23 NBC)
Late last month the Irish played Navy on the road and beat them 51-14 and wouldn’t shock me to see the same results. Notre Dame has been a covering machine going 8-2 ATS and the Irish are averaging 42.8ppg in their 8-game winning streak. Army has dropped 5-Straight meetings against Notre Dame and I see the Irish defense being too much for the Black Knights offense.
Tony George
******NOTE FROM DOC'S SPORTS: NEXT WEEK'S FOOTBALL PLAYS WILL BE POSTED AND AVAILABLE AT 6 P.M. EST ON WEDNESDAY, NOVEMBER 27 TO ACCOMMODATE THE THANKSGIVING HOLIDAY.******College Football
11/23/24
7 Units
#139 Colorado (-2.5) over Kansas *3:30 EST
Kansas a nice story winning some big games as of late, but Colorado is a different cat right now. The underrated defense of Colorado, playing better as of late big time, it going to be an issue for QB Daniels and RB Neal. The defense of Colorado has played some real solid ball down the stretch.
The Buffs are tied for the Big 12 lead right now and this is the biggest game of the year for them. QB Sanders for Colorado is no joke. I am not sold on Coach Sanders but to deny his son’s abilities is insane, they guy is a rock star. Despite holding BYU to a season low 13 points last week, expect this high-octane attack of Colorado to be too much for KU in this one. Bear in mind KU was outgained by 112 yards last week against BYU and still won. Colorado by a TD+ here, who are 8-2 ATS this year.
4 Units
#225 Colorado State (+3) over Fresno State *10:30 EST
Trap line? I think not. 5-5 Fresno favored at home? Colorado State has 3 losses all year. To Texas who is a Top 3 team in the country and might win the SEC this year, to Colorado who is going to likely win the Big 12 ,and to Oregon St in an OT Game on the road they should have won. The Rams are 5-0 their last 5 games SU and 7-0 ATS their last 7 games with no significant injuries that I can find. Tony Horton has been out since mid-October for them and they are still beating up teams. I have them power rated -5 here, that is a HUGE overlay. Rams unbeaten in MW Conference games and this is a CRUCIAL game to get to MW Title Game, and they will show up.
3 Units
#159 Indiana (+12) vs Ohio State *12 Noon EST
The lack of respect here for the Hoosiers here is surprising, especially considering Ryan Day’s record against ranked teams, and his teams performance’s over the years in big games. Bear in mind Nebraska almost beat Ohio State here in Columbus and actually should have won, and Indiana destroyed Nebraska and made them look like a JUCO team in a spring scrimmage. Indiana’s defense is no joke, and I am not sold that Ohio State can blowout anyone, let alone an unbeaten Indiana team who has a better head coach and plenty of star power.
Vernon Croy
4-Unit Play - #119 UNLV -7.5-110 over San Jose State (Friday, November 22, 2024, 10:00pm ET)Take UNLV ATS as my top college football pick for Friday night. This pick falls into one of my top college football systems and I have UNLV winning this game by 14+ points. UNLV is the superior team on both sides of the ball and I do expect them to put up a big number here Friday. San Jose State just gave up 42 points against Boise and they also gave up 33 points in their second last game against Fresno State. UNLV has averaged 39.9 points per game this season which is 7th best in college football. Play UNLV ATS
5-Unit Play - #153 Wisconsin +1.5-110 over Nebraska (Saturday, November 23, 2024, 3:30pm ET)
Take Wisconsin ATS as my top college football pick for Saturday afternoon. This pick falls into one of my top college football systems and I really like Wisconsin in this spot. I expect Wisconsin to dominate this game on the ground and to pull off the upset against a Nebraska defense that has struggled the season. Keep in mind Nebraska did give up 56 points against Indiana. Wisconsin is the superior team defensively and they're coming off a close three-point loss against a very good Oregon team. Play Wisconsin ATS
Scott Spreitzer
3-Unit Play: Take 145 UConn +10.5 over Syracuse (12 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 23)Syracuse is off a big road win at Cal as an underdog but they’ve not fared well as a favorite of more than one point, on a 0-4 ATS skid since last year’s bowl loss. The Orange are actually upside down when it comes to the all-important yards per play margin. Syracuse is one-dimensional, ranked 128th on the ground, while the defense struggles defending the run. UConn owns one of the top ground attacks in the nation and the defense has played well. The Huskies are three points from a 7-0 run since changing their offensive attack. I’m grabbing the points with UConn on Saturday. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.
3-Unit Play: Take 156 Minnesota +11.5 over Penn St. (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 23)
Minnesota is 12 points from a 9-1 record and defense has been their strength. The Gophers are equally strong against the run & pass and they’re 11th in total yards allowed per game, while holding opponents to 17.7 ppg. Penn State’s typical offensive game plan has worked this season but the Gophers own a ball-hawking defense and will force PSU to change things up. Three teams have done that to PSU this season and the Nittany Lions lost all three ATS while losing to Ohio State outright. I’m betting Minnesota uglies things up, so to speak. I’m taking the points with Minnesota. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.
7-Unit Play: Take 222 Notre Dame -14.5 over Army (7:30 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 23)
We all enjoy rooting for the service academies – until we find solid reasons to bet against them and that’s the case at Yankee Stadium on Saturday night. This number has dropped three points in some books when most trustworthy power ratings have Notre Dame as an 18-point favorite on a neutral field. The Irish defense already slammed the door on an option offense when they whipped Navy 51-14. Army is undersized on defense and Notre Dame can wear a team down with its own ground game, ranked 11th in the nation and coming against much better competition than the Black Knights have faced. Speaking of schedules, the highest rated team Army faced this season ranks 93rd in my power ratings and that was two weeks ago against North Texas. Army won 14-3 but averaged just 4.5 yards per play to 5.1 for North Texas. Army had just two TD drives and one started on the North Texas side of the 50. That was the second straight game where Army gained less than 5 yards per play. Notre Dame is an independent and needs to win big in an attempt to secure a home playoff game. The defense should have little trouble focusing on Army QB Bryson Daily, who is obviously the key to the offense and then some. Notre Dame disposed of one service academy’s option offense and I’m betting they handle another. I’m laying the points with Notre Dame. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.
August Young
4-Unit Play - Take #160 Ohio State -11.5 -110 over Indiana (11/23 @ 12:00PM EST) IU are 10-0 on the season while ranking No. 1 in scoring margin. That's impressive no matter how you slice it, and we're not taking anything away from what they've accomplished, but we have to acknowledge the weak strength of schedule. Their offense was tested against a very good Michigan defense last week, and they failed with a final score of 20-15 as 14.5 point favorites. Now they'll get the best defense in the nation in Ohio State who rank 1st allowing just 10.3 ppg, and 6.7 ppg their L/3. Those numbers are even more impressive when you consider that they've played the 9th toughest strength of schedule of all teams. This is a must-win for OSU if they want to play in the Big Ten championship and we think they show up in a big way. Ryan Day has openly spoke about the magnitude of this game and how he expects the players, coaching staff, and fans to show up. Remember; the Hoosiers have only played three road games this season vs. MSU, Northwestern, and UCLA. All three of those teams have losing records combined for 12-18. This will be a shock to the system vs. one of the best home teams in the nation in Ohio State that have only lost once at Ohio Stadium since Week 2 of the 2021/22 season. They've outscored their opponents 258 - 44 at home this season. Perhaps Indiana shock us once again, but we think the Buckeyes take this by two touchdowns.7-Unit Play - Take #140 Kansas +3 (-120) over Colorado (11/23 @ 3:30PM EST) We love this spot for KU with all the pressure on Colorado to not drop the ball with the destiny of a Big 12 Championship Game in their grasp. Kansas are just 4-6 SU on the season, but they have played an extremely tough strength of schedule. They're also playing their best football of the season after two big wins over Iowa State and BYU. Everyone is drinking the Buffaloes Kool-Aid, but we're calling for them to fumble the bag.
4-Unit Play - Take #225 Colorado State +3.5 (-115) over Fresno State (11/23 @ 10:30PM EST) This line is somewhat surprising considering Colorado State have covered in seven straight and have the motivation of a Mountain West Championship if they can win out. Fresno State are 5-5 on the season and coming off two straight losses as double-digit favorites vs. Hawaii and Air Force. Gotta roll with the team who is playing the better football.
Strike Point Sports
CFB:3-Unit Play. Take #140 Kansas (+3) over Colorado (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 23)
Colorado has been outstanding all year while Kansas has failed to impress. The Jayhawks however have quietly put together a solid stretch of football with wins over Houston, #17 Iowa State, and #7 BYU (and nearly knocked off #16 Kansas State). Colorado is goign to struggle here versus the Jayhawks team that we've expected to see this season. This is the last home game of the season for Kansas and the home crowd will be electric for this game. The Buffaloes haven't beaten a good team all season, and although Kansas shouldn't be considered good due to their play all year, they are good now. This is a brutal spot for Colorado as they just won't be ready for this situation. Take the home underdog here.
7-Unit Play. Take #176 Arizona State (-3) over BYU (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 23)
BYU's undefeated season came to a crashing halt last weekend versus Kansas, and their fall from grace will continue this weekend at Arizona State. This is essentially a Big 12 title game for these two teams, and BYU is in a bad spot as Arizona State is a tough home team. The Sun Devils outgain and outstcore their opponents with consistency when playing on their home turf and it won't be any different this weekend versus BYU. The Cougars have an absolutely dominant pass defense but that won't impact Arizona State as they have the ability to run the ball with their 30th ranked rush offense. ASU is looking for a marquee win to add to their resume, and this will be just that. Lay the points on the home team here.
3-Unit Play. Take #222 Notre Dame (-14.5) over Army (7:30 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 23)
This is where the Black Knights undefeated season comes to an end. This is a huge step up in competition, and although Notre Dame may not do to Army what they did to Navy but they will cover this two touchdown line. The fans at Yankee Stadium will be treated to a fantastic performance by the Fighting Irish in this matchup. Notre Dame has a top 40 rush defense in college football and has a top 25 defense when it comes to yards per rush. All Army can do is run the football, and they are about to run into players that are just bigger and stronger than they are. The line is going the wrong way in this matchup. Take Notre Dame.
Best of Luck - Strike Point Sports
Jason Sharpe
Saturday November 23rd 2024-CFB-
7 Unit Play Take #212 Arkansas State -2.5 over Louisiana Monroe (3:00pm est):
Louisiana Monroe started off the season winning five of their first six games but that looked to be a bit of a fluke as a few of those wins looked to be lucky victories. They have come back down to earth of late having dropped four in a row while allowing an average of 40 points per game in those last four defeats. Keep in mind this is still a team that was picked to finish last this year in the Sun Belt and have a 1st year head coach who's in a rebuilding phase. Arkansas State has only played one of their last five games at home so this senior dominated group should be excited to finally be at home here in this one. I made this line closer to -6 so tons of value at this price.
Lay the points with Arkansas State.
4 Unit Play Take #144 Old Dominion -2.5 over Marshall (7:30pm est):
(-2.5 is at Circa Sports, BetOnline and Bookmaker)
I have been patiently waiting to bet against this Marshall team for over a month now as I feel they have bene very lucky this season. They got the win last week over Coastal Carolina in a game that was much closer than the final score. Marshall lost their best wide receiver for the season and their top running back missed last week and may be out here as well and those two are big losses. On the other side of things I like this Old Dominion team as they have quietly played fairly well this season despite coming into this game with a 4-6 record and three of those wins were over teams with a winning record while Marshall has zero wins out of their seven against an above .500 team. ODU needs to win their last two games to get a bowl bid and I think they can do that and that begins with a victory here at home on Senior Day for the Monarchs.
Take Old Dominion in this one.
3 Unit Play Take #193 Cincinnati +8.5 over Kansas State (8:00pm est):
Cincinnati has arguably played the toughest schedule in the Big 12 this year yet despite that they have held their own in league play going at 3-4 overall with all four defeats coming against teams with a winning conference mark currently. The big difference between these two teams this season is Kansas State is 3-1 in one score games while Cincinnati is 1-3 in those same contests. Looking for a close knit affair in this one.
Take Cincinnati plus the points.
Griffin Murphy
8 Unit Play - Take #135 North Carolina (-150) Over Boston College. (12:00p.m, Saturday, November 23rd)North Carolina comes into this game 6-4 on the year after beating Wake Forest last week in a 31-24 final. North Carolina has now won 3 consecutive games, and this team has truly come together. Last week, North Carolina came into that matchup fresh off a bye week, and it showed, as they were slow to get off the gates. North Carolina scored a total of 10 points in the first half of that game, versus 21 points in the second half. This club went down the tube early on in the season as they went on a 4-game losing streak, including bad losses to James Madison and Georgia Tech. After the loss to Georgia Tech, this team went into a bye week and has erupted with 3 consecutive wins. North Carolina absolutely rolled Virginia in a 41-14 final. North Carolina dominated that game with 428 total yards of offense while Virginia acquired just 288 total yards of offense and 7 total rushing yards. That matchup was followed up with another blowout over FSU in a 35-11 final and then, most recently, beating Wake Forest last week. North Carolina has one of the most dominant run games with Omarion Hampton in the backfield. Hampton has rushed for 1422 yards, 14 TDs, and is averaging 5.7 yards per carry. UNC is ranked 29th in the nation when it comes to the run game, averaging 204.5 yards on the ground per game. Boston College is 77th in the nation when defending the rush and 220th when it comes to defending the pass defensively. Boston College has proven a consistent pattern this season. Jacolby Criswell is going to be the key player in this matchup for this Tar Heel offense. Criswell has started 7 games this season and has passed for 2000+ yards, 12 touchdowns, 3 picks, and a completion rating sitting at 59%. Boston College’s defense thrives on their rush attack, and that's what keeps them in games. Hampton should be an absolute battle test for this defense, which is going to change a lot of schemes for Boston College on the defensive side. Hampton will have a massive workload today; with that being said, his workload is going to open up the pass game for Jacolby Criswell. Once Hampton solidifies his job and busts this defense line up, Boston College is going to have no other option besides playing man-to-man coverage and applying heavy pressure. So with Criswell’s 59% completion rate, we can deplete that as the majority of his passes in this game should be one-on-one matchups. Hampton is a lethal weapon when it comes to the pass with 281 receiving yards, and a lethal weapon is J.J. Jones at the WR slot. Jones has 28 receptions on the season, 528 receiving yards, and 5 touchdowns. Hampton, Jones, and Criswell are going to lead this team to an outright victory in this matchup as the run game will open up the pass against a defense that is allowing nearly 250 yards in the air a game against. I expect North Carolina to win this game by at least a touchdown; having said that, we are shaving the -3 points and taking them to win this game outright with a 3-1 road record, looking for an extension to 4-1. UNC has all the momentum, and Boston College is coming off a loss that put them at 5-5 on the season with really zero motivation factor to take place in the ACC.
Take #135 North Carolina (-150) Over Boston College.
Griffin Murphy
3 Unit Play - Take #166 Georgia (-42) Over UMass Minutemen. (12:45p.m, Saturday, November 23rd)
Georgia comes into this game 8-2 on the season and coming off a strong win over Tennessee on Saturday in a 31-17 final. UMass is 2-8 on the season and has now lost 2 games in a row after dropping to Liberty on Saturday in a 34-35 final. UMass is presently 0-5 on the road, while Georgia is 6-0 at home. Georgia has had to deal with Texas, Florida, Ole Miss, and Tennessee prior to this matchup, which is perhaps one of the toughest slates in college football. UMass hasn't played anybody worth talking about other than Missouri 4 games ago, where they lost at home in a 45-3 final. It turns out Missouri is not as good as we thought they were, and for them to blow them out by 42 points, what do you think Kirby Smart and this Bulldogs team are going to do to them? Carson Beck has not had the season he has been looking for by any means, with 12 interceptions thrown. Beck is coming off his best game of the season last week, and we must consider that with college playoffs around the corner, this kid is not going to let up. This is a pure tune-up game for Georgia. Get your players' heads in the right mindset and get ready for the College Football playoffs. After this week, Georgia has an easy task with Georgia Tech. This team is going to absolutely want to run the scoreboard up against UMass here with full steam heading into the College Football playoffs.
Take #166 Georgia (-42) Over UMass Minutemen.
Griffin Murphy
Amal Shah
7-Unit Play Take #159 Stanford Cardinals +14 at California Golden Bears (3:30 p.m., Saturday , November 23)Stanford isn’t a team at 3-7 that will jump off the page, but this team has competed despite a difficult schedule. They had a great win over Louisville last week and now in The Big Game, they will play their rival with an opportunity for an outright win. Take Stanford and the 14 points in this game. This rivalry should be a one possession game. The Cardinals get the cover in this one.
Take Stanford +14
4-Unit Play. Take #146 Syracuse Orange -10.5 over Connecticut Huskies (12:00 p.m., Saturday, November 23)
Syracuse is coming off of a great road win at California. Now they face a 7-3 UConn team who has literally beaten nobody. 6 of 7 opponents that they beat are under .500. This Syracuse offense should get into the 30s and win this one going away. Take Syracuse-10.5
Good luck on all your plays - Amal
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