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Last Week's Expert College Football Picks From Our Handicappers.
Just so the public knows we are always transparent and honest with our reporting, in this spot we will list all of the previous college football pick released with analysis.
This page will be updated each Thursday at 5AM Eastern.
Get free college football picks including expert parlays picks for betting college football games against the spread.
Doc's Sports
3 Unit Play. Take #248 Miami Hurricanes -3.5 over Iowa State Cyclones (3:30p.m., Saturday, December 28 ABC) POP TARTS BOWL Miami should have Cam Ward for this game and expect him to make a statement that he should be a top 5 pick in the upcoming 2025 NFL Draft. Iowa State got blown out in their last game against Arizona State, and that knocked them out of the College Football Playoff. Instead they get to play in the Pop Tarts Bowl in Orlando, FL. Miami has not won a bowl game since 2016 and they have won just one bowl game since 2006. You can bet Coach Cristobal wants to start a bowl winning streak, and they should win this game by double-digits.2 Unit Play. Take #253 BYU Cougars +4 over Colorado Buffaloes (7:30p.m., Saturday, December 28 ABC) ALAMO BOWL We have been hearing Colorado might not go all out to win this game (not playing their studs 60 minutes) and thus we will take a stab with the underdog Cougars in this game.
4 Unit Play. Take #258 Missouri Tigers -3 over Iowa Hawkeyes (2:30p.m., Monday, December 30 ESPN) MUSIC CITY BOWL Iowa always seems to struggle in bowl games against SEC teams, and I do not see them winning this game in Nashville. Missouri won 9 games this season but received little respect since they were blown out by Texas A&M and Alabama this season. The Tigers have a veteran quarterback, and I see him having a big game today in Music City. Missouri kept most of their roster intact for this game and they should be able to score close to 30 points. That should be enough to win and cover this game.
4 Unit Play. Take #268 Boise State Broncos +11 over Penn State Nittany Lions (7:30p.m., Tuesday, December 31 ESPN) FIESTA BOWL Just do not see a blowout in this game on a neutral field where Boise State has had great success in this bowl game. This is not a home game for Penn State, and the game against SMU would have been much closer had the SMU QB not pooped the bed. Penn State does not have an explosive offense, and they will need help from Boise State in order to 30+ points. Boise State has the best player on the field and a great offensive coordinator in Dirk Koetter. The Nittany Lions struggled to put away Illinois, UCLA, USC, and Minnesota this season, and Boise State is on par or slightly better than those teams. All 4 favorites dominated the first round, and expect the public to hammer them in this round as well. I just do not see all blowouts this week, and Boise State is more than capable of hanging in this game, especially on defense.
5 Unit Play. Take #271 Ohio State Buckeyes -2.5 over Oregon Ducks (5p.m., Wednesday, January 1 ESPN) ROSE BOWL Everyone has stated this is a brutal draw for Oregon, having to play Ohio State again this season but this time at a neutral site. Coach Day is 3-0 ATS in his last 3 games against teams with a better winning percentage than his Buckeyes. Ohio State played outstanding in their last game against Tennessee, and I just feel that they are the much better defensive team in this matchup. Penn State proved you can score points against this Oregon defense, and I expect Ohio State to have a big day as well in the passing department. Ohio State will win this game in the trenches, and they are 9-2 lifetime against Oregon. Coach Day is 13-7 in his career when facing an undefeated team.
Craig Trapp had no picks
Robert Ferringo
COLLEGE BOWL SELECTIONS1-Unit Play. Take #237 Syracuse (-17) over Washington State (8 p.m., Friday, Dec. 27)
3-Unit Play. Take ‘Under’ 59.5 Syracuse vs. Washington State (8 p.m., Friday, Dec. 27)
Note: This is the Holiday Bowl.
Washington State is not bringing a real team to this game. They lost their head coach. They lost their offensive coordinator. They lost their stud quarterback. They lost nearly 30 other players (including 13 starters) transfer out. They are going to run the ball and try to shorten this game, which is why I really like the ‘under’. I just don’t see how they will be able to keep this game competitive. We’ve seen several other teams this bowl season lose a ton of guys to the portal and then go out and get whitewashed. I think the same thing is going to happen here at the hands of a Syracuse team that won’t hold back.
1-Unit Play. 7-POINT TEASER: Take #237 Syracuse (-10) over Washington State (8 p.m., Friday, Dec. 27) AND Take #278 Texas State (-6.5) over North Texas (4 p.m., Friday, Jan. 3)
1-Unit Play. Take #240 USC (+4) over Texas A&M (10:30 p.m., Friday, Dec. 27)
Note: This is the Las Vegas Bowl.
I’m not ready to give up on Lincoln Riley. He has been under a lot of pressure and scrutiny over the last month and I think he’s going to be focused bringing his squad to this game. USC has a bunch of close losses this year and they are not as bad as their 6-6 record looks. This team was driving to tie Notre Dame before back-to-back 100-yard pick sixes did them in against a really good Irish team. I haven’t been high on this A&M team all year. They are 0-4 ATS in their last four games and 2-7 ATS in their last nine and have been overrated all season. This team has lost three of four wins and the only team they’ve beaten since Halloween is New Mexico State. I think USC can win this one so there is value with the points.
2-Unit Play. Take #241 Connecticut (+2.5) over North Carolina (11 a.m., Saturday, Dec. 28)
Note: This is the Fenway Bowl.
North Carolina stunk all season. Then they fired their head coach and coaching staff and now Freddie Kitchens – who is a joke – is coaching the team. UNC will be without Omarion Hampton, the ACC’s leading rusher, and this team knows that new head coach Bill Belichick is going to come in and completely turn over the roster. I’m just not really sure what UNC’s motivation is here and I’m not really sure why they are favored. Connecticut is not a team that plays in bowl games so they are going to be excited for this one. They are also playing close to home and will have the home crowd advantage. Jim Mora has done a really good job with his program and will have his guys ready. Connecticut nearly beat Syracuse and Duke, both bowl teams, on the road this year. They aren’t a bad team and they have several situational advantages here.
3-Unit Play. Take #244 Nebraska (-3.5) over Boston College (Noon, Saturday, Dec. 28)
Note: This is the Pinstripe Bowl.
Nebraska is finally back in a bowl game. They haven’t played in a bowl since 2016. That was a massive hurdle for this team to get over and they finally did it. I think that this team is a little better than its record and I think that Matt Rhule is a no-nonsense guy that will have his guys ready to go. The ACC has been exposed as the joke that it is so far this year with their piss-poor showings in their early bowl games. Boston College is only in this game thanks to close wins over the likes of Western Kentucky and Michigan State. The Eagles are No. 90 in total offense, No. 106 in passing offense, No. 110 in passing defense and I just don’t think they are very good on either side of the ball. Nebraska struggled offensively in a much tougher defensive conference. The Huskers also boast a defense that is Top 20 in the country in total yards, rushing defense (No. 11) and scoring defense. Nebraska had close losses against teams like Ohio State, USC, UCLA, Iowa and Illinois. That’s been a theme for this group. I think they are going to be able to snap that trend and I think they will win a one-score, low-scoring game here, somewhere around 23-16. I just think this one means more to the Huskers.
2-Unit Play. Take #247 Iowa State (+3.5) over Miami (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 28)
Note: This is the Pop Tarts Bowl.
I’ve been fading this Miami team all season. They just aren’t as good as everyone wanted them to be. The ACC was bad this year and Miami really just beat up a bunch of loser teams this year. And they shouldn’t have won a bunch of the games they did, as they should’ve lost to Virginia Tech, Cal and Louisville. Miami dumped two of its last three games, they didn’t play well on the road this year, and they are dealing with the disappointment of not making the playoffs. What is their motivation for this game? Iowa State is a 10-win team from a much better conference. This group played in the Big 12 title game – ahead of real teams like BYU, Colorado, Kansas State, etc. – and they will want to wash the taste of that ugly loss out of their mouths. I think Iowa State is the better team and I think Miami has been overrated all season long.
1-Unit Play. Take #250 Colorado State (+3) over Miami, OH (4:30 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 28)
Note: This is the Arizona Bowl.
1-Unit Play. Take #257 Iowa (+3) over Missouri (2:30 p.m., Monday, Dec. 30)
Note: This is the Music City Bowl.
Missouri has to be one of the bigger disappointments in the country this year. They came into the year as a ‘darkhorse SEC contender’ because of their schedule and returning talent. It didn’t work that way and these guys were never a factor. They have five one-score wins, barely beating teams like Vanderbilt, Boston College and Auburn, so I think that Iowa can play with them. Missouri is also without stud wideout Luther Borden, which is a big loss. I always like Iowa in the underdog role. This team is tough and physical and I can see them scumming their way to a grinding win.
3-Unit Play. Take #265 Baylor (-1.5) over LSU (3:30 p.m., Tuesday, Dec. 31)
Note: This is the Texas Bowl.
LSU is another team that has gotten crushed by the portal. They have their starting quarterback, one decent running back and one wide receiver that’s seen significant action. They also have just one starting offensive lineman. That’s it on offense. They’ve done better on defense but have still lost three starters and have very little depth. They have had a dozen transfers and several guys just opt out to get ready for the draft. And LSU wasn’t that good to begin with. They are a big name but they aren’t a good team. Baylor was a team I was on early in the season because I knew they were tough. I jumped off the bandwagon at the wrong time, though, as these guys closed the year with six straight wins both SU and ATS. Dave Aranda used to be the DC at LSU and would love to beat his former team. LSU is much more focused on the guys it landed in the transfer portal for next year and I just don’t think they are all that focused for this game. Baylor should be ready to go here.
1-Unit Play. Take #268 Boise State (+11) over Penn State (7:30 p.m., Tuesday, Dec. 31)
Note: This is a College Football Playoff.
Home field advantage was massive last week in the opening playoff games. That won’t be the case here. Penn State is the better side. But they won’t have the home crowd, won’t have the weather, and aren’t playing a team from the weak ACC. Boise State already went toe-to-toe with Oregon this year and they aren’t a pushover team. The Broncos will have some tricks up their sleeve with extra time to prepare and I think a lot of people are overvaluing what they saw in that blowout win last week.
1-Unit Play. Take #270 Arizona State (+13.5) over Texas (1 p.m., Wednesday, Jan. 1)
Note: This is a College Football Playoff.
Texas barely covered last week against a weak Clemson team. And that game was at home. Just like with Penn State, Texas is going to find the going a bit tougher here now that they are playing on a neutral site. Arizona is a team that can punch back. This is a physical team that can run the ball and can stop the run, finishing in the Top 25 in rushing offense and defense. I think that Texas has been overrated all season and I think that Arizona State will give them a game.
3-Unit Play. Take #271 Ohio State (-2.5) over Oregon (5 p.m., Wednesday, Jan. 1)
Note: This is a College Football Playoff.
This is a revenge game for Ohio State. And the fact that they are favored over the No. 1 team in the country is a huge red flag. The selection committee absolutely screwed over the Ducks with the draw, and I can’t believe that this is a quarterfinal matchup. The Buckeyes should’ve beaten Oregon in Autzen earlier this year. Now they get the return game on a neutral field. I loved Ohio State last week and they came out on fire. This team is playing with a chip on its shoulder. They have the most talented roster in college football. And now that the motivation level has been elevated I think they are going to be tough to beat in the playoffs. I also think it is an advantage that Ohio State has already played a playoff game so they got those jitters out. This should be a great game, but one that I see the Buckeyes winning.
1-Unit Play. Take #274 Georgia (-1.5) over Notre Dame (8:45 p.m., Wednesday, Jan. 1)
Note: This is a College Football Playoff.
This Georgia team isn’t that good. And I have to be kind of nuts to bet against Notre Dame, a group that has been an ATS machine this year. However, I think that losing Carson Beck is going to be OK for UGA because Beck really didn’t play that well this season. And more importantly, it is going to make Georgia go back to being the best version of itself: the version that just pounds the ball down opposing teams’ throats. Again, Notre Dame won’t have the advantage of the home crowd and they aren’t going to be playing an overmatched Indiana team. The Irish have played an absurdly easy schedule this year and this is the first team they will have faced in months that can actually match up with them physically. Kirby Smart has been very good when given extra time to prepare for games and he will have the Bulldogs ready.
1-Unit Play. Take #278 Texas State (-13.5) over North Texas (4 p.m., Friday, Jan. 3)
Note: This is the First Responder Bowl.
North Texas is 1-5 in its last six games and have won just once since Oct. 15. They lost their starting quarterback and several other starters to the portal. This isn’t a good team. Texas State can score – a lot. They are No. 5 in total offense and No. 7 in points scored. I think they will be able to run it up against an overmatched opponent.
Arun Shiva (Indian Cowboy)
4-Unit Play. #235. Take Texas Tech -1 over Arkansas (Friday @ 7pm est)We roll with Texas Tech here to open up our Friday card and this week's Football action. We like Texas Tech for a variety of reasons here and this includes legendary former Crowley High School and Cedar Hill High School football coach Joey McGuire who is now the head coach of Texas Tech. He takes his team to their 3rd straight bowl game as they are 8-4 overall and 6-3 in the big 12 conference this year. He has won his two previous bowl games as well in the Texas Bowl of 2022 and Independence Bowl of 2023. He gets to face an SEC school here in Arkansas and prove a point and there is no doubt that these players will get up to face a SEC school in this regional rivalry which is also useful for recruiting. Remember, Texas Tech beat WVU 52-15 as just -2.5 point favorites, they beat Oklahoma State 56-48, only lost to Coloado by 14 points and one of the rare teams that beat Arizona State of course 30-22. Arkansas is 6-6 and comes off a loss to Missouri, but I got to tell you, I just don't see how they get up for this game to face a team like Texas Tech and I think Texas Tech and their former high school coach who continues to look for relevancy will be jacked up today for a big win.
6-Unit Play. #249. Take Miami of Ohio -3 over Colorado State (Saturday @ 4:30pm est)
Miami of Ohio is coached by Chuck Martin who has now been with the school for ages it feels like since 2014. His team went 11-3 last year and 6-7 the year before buth lost both bowl games in the Cure Bowl and Bahamas Bowl. I can't imagine this coach who is 1-4 in bowl games lifetime loses this one here or doesn't get up to face a team like Colorado State who is a more well known school. Note, Coloardo State comes off a great win in their last contest and yet they roll in here as a dog despite having 8 wins and that is because Miami of Ohio was throttled by Ohio 3-28 last game to end the season, a game where they were favored to win by 1 point and this is the same team that had beat Bowling Greem 28-12 in the game prior and who lost to Northwestern by just 7, Cincinnati by a score of 16-27 and Notre Dame 3-28 in a game where they were solidly in at the half. This team started the year 0-3 but has come on strong of late and rolls in as a small favorite for good reason and we like them to get after it here for a big win.
4-Unit Play. #259. Take Alabama -12.5 over Michigan (Tuesday @ 12pm est)
A lot of reasons why Alabama should do well here despite some key talent not playing. But, remember, Alabama lost to Michigan in the National Championship, they have that revenge and they need to make the SEC look good if you will as Alabama needs to prove a point here. What better way to prove a point than beating the snot out of Michigan - who beat Ohio State. What better way to prove a point that they deserved to be in this field of 12, by beating the snot out of a Big 12 team that is 7-5 who they also have revenge against. Oregon beat Michigan by a score of 38-17, Illinois beat this Michigan team 21-7 and Wahsington beat this team 27-17. Alabama if you remember beat LSU 42-13, beat UGA and Wisconsin 42-10. We think Alabama wins and wins big in this contest.
4-Unit Play. #274. Take Georgia -2 over Notre Dame (Wednesday @ 8pm est)
You give Kirby Smart this much time to prepare, with a backup quarterback with no one believing in them and you have yourself an opportunity where Georgia might kill this team. Notre Dame struggled against Texas A&M who didn't have a quarterback, imagine the issues they might have against Georgia who is just waiting in the wings with the elite defense that they have with all the marbles and chips stacked upa gainst them with a quarterback who might even better than Carson Beck. Kirby gets his guys to play and obviously Indiana did not have any business being on the same field with Notre Dame last game - but Georgia does and they could win this big.
4-Unit Play. #274. Take Georgia -2 over Notre Dame (Wednesday @ 8pm est)
You give Kirby Smart this much time to prepare, with a backup quarterback with no one believing in them and you have yourself an opportunity where Georgia might kill this team. Notre Dame struggled against Texas A&M who didn't have a quarterback, imagine the issues they might have against Georgia who is just waiting in the wings with the elite defense that they have with all the marbles and chips stacked upa gainst them with a quarterback who might even better than Carson Beck. Kirby gets his guys to play and obviously Indiana did not have any business being on the same field with Notre Dame last game - but Georgia does and they could win this big.
Raphael Esparza (VSI)
COLLEGE FOOTBALL BOWL GAMES3 Unit Play. Take #229 Under 53.5 Arkansas St at Bowling Green (9:00p.m., Thursday December 26 ESPN – Ventures Bowl)
This total opened at 49 and the public has moved to 53.5 and I see value with the ‘Under’. Bowling Green has a great offense, but they won games this year on their defense and I see the Falcons ‘D’ being the key. Bowling Green is 2-6 O/U in their last 8 games and the Falcons are 1-6 O/U when they are the favorite.
3 Unit Play. Take #231 Georgia Tech -3 over Vanderbilt (3:30p.m., Friday December 27 ESPN – Birmingham Bowl)
You can say Vandy had a memorable season beating Auburn, Kentucky, and Alabama but they did close out the season with 3-Straight losses. Georgia Tech is coming off a tough road loss to Georgia 44-42 but the Yellow Jackets have won back-to-back bowl games and I will the field goal with them. The Yellow Jackets are 7-1 ATS following a SU & ATS loss and Vanderbilt is 1-5 ATS against ACC opponents.
4 Unit Play. Take #237 Navy +3 over Oklahoma (12:00p.m., Friday December 27 ESPN – Armed Forces Bowl)
The big question here early Friday afternoon is do the Oklahoma Sooners want to be here for this matchup against the Midshipmen. Oklahoma has had several opt-outs on both sides of the ball and their QB Jackson Arnold is not playing. Let’s also throw in that the Service Academies are 8-5 in this bowl and the Academy teams have played well in this bowl game lately.
2 Unit Play. Take #235 Over 52 Texas Tech vs Arkansas (7:00p.m., Friday December 27 ESPN – Liberty Bowl)
Arkansas is a -1 favorite in this game and in their last 4 games that they were favorites all 4 of them went ‘Over’ the total. Arkansas lost 24 players to the portal, and I see the Red Raiders having no issue scoring Friday night. Texas Tech is 5-1 O/U in their last 6 games.
2 Unit Play. Take #237 Syracuse -17 over Washington St (8:00p.m., Friday December 27 FOX – Holiday Bowl)
I hate this number, but I have no clue who is coaching this Washington St team. Head coach is heading to Wake Forest and the OC is heading to Oklahoma, and the rest of the coaching staff is packing as I type. Syracuse has won 3-Straight and they are the more stable team to ride.
4 Unit Play. Take #240 USC +4 over Texas A&M (10:30p.m., Saturday December 28 ESPN – Las Vegas Bowl)
How ironic that USC ends their season right were they begin. Both teams missing some key guys because of the transfer portal, but USC QB Jayden Maiava played well in his last 3 games. A&M has key stars missing on the defensive side of the ball and I see the Trojans winning back-to-back game in Vegas.
3 Unit Play. Take #241 Connecticut +2.5 over North Carolina (11:00a.m., Saturday December 28 ESPN – Fenway Park Bowl)
The North Carolina new Head Coach the Hoodie will not be on the sideline for this game and I see the motivation for UConn being up for this matchup. North Carolina has not fared well in bowl games dropping 7 out 8 and 3-5 ATS and they go up against a team that has won 7 out 9 games.
2 Unit Play. Take #244 Nebraska -3.5 over Boston College (12:00p.m., Saturday December 28 ABC – Pinstripe Bowl)
This bowl game is all on the running game of the BC Eagles vs the defense of the Cornhuskers. Boston College is 3-8 ATS in their last 11 bowl games and Nebraska is 5-2 ATS against ACC opponents.
2 Unit Play. Take #245 Under 58.5 UL Lafayette vs TCU (2:15p.m., Saturday December 28 ESPN – New Mexico Bowl)
This total opened at 60.5 and was bet downed but I still see value on the ‘Under’ at this number. TCU has speed on defense, and I just don’t see the Ragin’ Cajuns moving the ball on offense.
4 Unit Play. Take #247 Iowa St +3.5 over Miami Fl (3:30p.m., Saturday December 28 ABC – Pop-Tarts Bowl)
I know Cam Ward said he is playing this game but I’m buying it and if he does play how long will he play. It’s no secret that the Hurricanes defense was lacking towards the end of the season and I see Iowa St having no issue moving the ball on the U defense. Let’s also throw in that Miami is 2-12 SU & ATS in their last 14 bowl games.
3 Unit Play. Take #250 Colorado St +3 over Miami Oh (4:30p.m., Saturday December 28 CW Network – Arizona Bowl)
Last time we saw Miami Ohio was in the MAC Championship game and that got crushed. I don’t believe they forgot about that game and I’m riding with the plus points with the Colorado St in this bowl game. The Rams come to the Arizona Bowl winners of 6 out 7 and have covered 7 out of their last 9 games.
2 Unit Play. Take #251 East Carolina +6.5 over NC State (5:45p.m., Saturday December 28 ESPN – Military Bowl)
East Carolina comes into this bowl winners of 4 out 5 and those 4 wins were by an average of 19 points per game.
5 Unit Play. Take #254 Colorado -3.5 over BYU (7:30p.m., Saturday December 28 ABC – Alamo Bowl)
I thought about this bowl game being my Bowl Game of the Year but I was afraid about QB Sanders not playing the whole game. We all know that Deion Sanders will have his team ready for this bowl game no matter who is playing, and I see the speed of the Buffaloes being too much for BYU. BYU will be missing some key players on the offensive line and still wouldn’t shock me to see BYU score points Saturday night. Will be a tight game from the start but in the second half I see Colorado pulling away and don’t forget the Colorado was No. 1 in the nation with the most defensive touchdowns.
3 Unit Play. Take #257 Iowa +3 over Missouri (2:30p.m., Monday December 30 ESPN – Music City Bowl)
As of Thursday December 26 it looks like Missouri QB Brady Cook will not be playing this game and that is why we are taking the plus points. Iowa will win this game on defense and establishing the run early. Iowa is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 bowl games and the Mizzou Tigers are 1-5 ATS as a bowl game favorite.
2 Unit Play. Take #260 Michigan +12.5 over Alabama (12:00p.m., Tuesday December 31 ESPN – Reliaquest Bowl)
With big question marks on both teams I just don’t see Alabama being a +12.5 bowl game favorite. I know Jalen Milroe is playing this game and the Wolverines are missing some key guys on defense but again this number is a bit too high.
2 Unit Play. Take #262 Washington +2.5 over Louisville (2:00p.m., Tuesday December 31 CBS – Sun Bowl)
Was looking forward to watching and betting on the Louisville Cardinals in this bowl but Tyler Shough decided to opt-out. In my eyes the Washington Huskies had one of the worst schedules in College Football and with them playing some elite teams I see them stealing this bowl game.
4 Unit Play. Take #263 South Carolina -9 over Illinois (3:00p.m., Tuesday December 31 ABC – Citrus Bowl)
Yes this is a big number but the South Carolina Gamecocks come into this bowl game as one of the hottest teams in College Football. You would think I’m playing this game because of the Gamecocks offense but I see their defense putting pressure on QB Luke Altmyer from the start and they cover this game on the defensive side of the ball. Illinois is 0-3 SU & ATS in their last 3 bowl games. South Carolina is 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games and the one of the hottest teams in College football stays hot.
3 Unit Play. Take #265 Baylor -1.5 over LSU (3:30p.m., Tuesday December 31 ESPN – Texas Bowl)
Baylor has a nice squad playing this bowl game and I know Garrett Nussmeier is playing for LSU but they have tons of key guys sitting. LSU HC Brian Kelly is 6-9 ATS in bowl games and the Baylor Bears have covered 6-Straight games and 10-3 ATS last 13 games.
5 Unit Play. Take #268 Boise St +11 over Penn St (7:30p.m., Tuesday December 31 ESPN – Fiesta Bowl)
All the first round of the CFB Playoff games were blowouts but in the Fiesta Bowl I see the Boise St Broncos coming out with pride. We all know that the Penn St HC James Franklin is 3-19 SU against Top Rank teams and will the Nittany Lions be able to stop the Broncos running game. Boise St is 7-2 ATS as a double-digit dog and 6-0 ATS as a double-digit dog coming off a win.
3 Unit Play. Take #269 Under 52 Texas vs Arizona St (1:00p.m., Wednesday January 1 ESPN – Peach Bowl)
The Longhorns defense held Clemson to only 14 points in the second half and I see this game displaying some good defensive games from both teams. Was hoping the betting public would bet this game upwards so the number would move closer to 54 but it didn’t but I still see value on the ‘Under’. Texas is 3-8 O/U in their last 11 games and the Sun Devils last 5 games against SEC teams all 5 of them stayed ‘Under’.
4 Unit Play. Take #271 Ohio St -2.5 over Oregon (5:00p.m., Wednesday January 1 ESPN – Rose Bowl)
Ohio St dominated Tennessee in the CFB Playoff game and if they play like they did again I see the Buckeyes getting redemption on New Years Day. I don’t care that Ryan Day is 0-2 against Oregon because I was impressed on how Buckeyes QB Will Howard rebounded from his play against Michigan. Bowl teams coming off rest are 0-6 SU and 1-5 ATS against unrested bowl teams. Oregon is 1-5-1 ATS when playing as an underdog and Ohio St is 17-3 when playing as a favorite.
8 Unit Play. Take #273 Over 44 Notre Dame vs Georgia (8:45p.m., Wednesday January 1 ESPN – Sugar Bowl)
(Bowl Game of the Year) The fans that will heading to New Orleans to watch the Notre Dame Fighting Irish go against the mighty SEC opponent the Georgia Bulldogs. When the numbers were posted for the next round of the CFB Playoff games I originally thought this matchup could be one of the most points scored in this round of playoff games. I know Notre Dame only scored 27 points against Indiana but that was outside in the cold and this game is in a Dome. The Irish have scored 28 points or more in 9 out of their last 10 games and I see them putting up some points New Years Day evening. I know the Georgia Dawgs will be playing this game without QB Carson Beck but look for Gunner Stockton to take charge early and he could be sneaky good with his legs and arm. The Dawgs last 6 games 4 of them have gone ‘Over’ the total and I see both teams scoring 24 points or more.
Tony George
College Football12/27/24 Friday
6 Units
#234 Navy (+3) over Oklahoma *12 Noon EST
Opt outs – portal players – Oklahoma has as many of them out as any team in College Football. I read 26 or now 27 players in all. This is new dynamic in picking bowl winners now -who has what! There is a reason service schools like Navy and ect have great bowl records – no one leaves.
OU is without their QB, best WR and TE and 2 leading tacklers. Navy just hammered ranked Army and looked good doing it, and their QB is 100% healthy again which is huge. I expect a Navy win against a team who won 1 away game all year and it was a total sham they even won that game. Navy rolls em. Did I mention the name of the Bowl is Armed Forces?
4 Units
#237 Syracuse FIRST HALF (-10) over Washington St *3:30 EST
There were rumor’s WSU was scrambling to find 22+ players and a coaching staff to even participate. A Mass exodus in Spokane. This team is in total disarray. Entire crux of the coaching staff is gone; their best player QB Mateer (75% of their offense) is on his way to Oklahoma with his OC as well. They have non starters everywhere getting plugged in here. Syracuse brings a full roster and QB McCord will have a field day here. BLOWOUT.
College Football
Saturday 12/28/24
3 Units
#244 Nebraska *First Half (-2.5) over Boston College *Noon EST
The Huskers are fired up for this Bowl Game and I expect them to come out of the gate well, and Dana Holgerson as OC is a good thing for them. First bowl game since 2016 for the Huskers. NU fades late in games and has big issues closing them out but they do play well out of the gate. The offense is better than average in terms of talent and with added time to prep against an average BC team, I like their chances of being up 3-7 points in the first half but do not trust them at the full number of 4 for the game.
4 Units
#251 East Carolina (+6.5) vs North Carolina *5:45 EST
I like ECU here to possibly win. NC States defense is deplorable and their bowl games are always a bust. ECU made Harrell (who was the interim) head coach and the players responded well to the change mid season and have plenty in the tank to cover this number against a defense who cannot stop as anything. This is just the second bowl game for ECU in the last 10 years and they are damn glad to be here, NC State not so much.
College Football
Tuesday 12/31/24
4 Units
#264 Illinois (+9.5) over South Carolina *3 EST
The Gamecocks played well in big monents this year and also gave some games away. Illinois with added time to prep here and this is a good Illinois team and a well coached one. Both teams were scoring like crazy at the end of the season. Illinois has 2 double digit losses all year to Oregon and Penn State and actually that Penn State game Illinois could have won, I will gladly grab the big points here.
3 Units
#268 Boise State (+11) over Penn State *7:30 EST
Do we expect Franklin, head coach at Penn State to win 2 big games in a row? Boise is no joke, their defense is way underrated here and with the best RB in football and a big time OL, they can make this ugly for Penn State. I think on a neutral field and not at Happy Valley Boise St covers this. Boise played Oregon to a 3 point game at Oregon, something Penn State could not do.
College Football
Wednesday 1/1/25
5 Units
#273 Notre Dame (+2) over Georgia *8:45 EST
No QB Beck for Georgia is a HUGE deal. The Irish are at full strength and off a convincing win against Indiana. Yes, the Bulldogs played in the SEC and beat Texas Twice, but without a starting QB in this game, I will take the Irish to win it. That injury is HUGE. Georgia is 1-9 ATS as a favorite their last 10 times, and bear in mind no one throws on ND very well at all, ranked #4 in CFB on pass defense. I know Georgia is used to the spotlight and ND fails in big moments, but I think the script flips here as ND is a solid team.
Vernon Croy
NO CFB PLAY THIS WEEKScott Spreitzer
3-Unit Play: Take 234 Navy +2.5 over Oklahoma (12 p.m., Friday, December 27)The Sooners will have at least 14 players and potentially more, sidelined for this game. The receiving corps is ravaged with injuries and transfers with at least six missing this game and QB Jackson Arnold has signed with Auburn. Navy will bring the key players to this one as military teams tend to do. As we saw against Army, QB Blake Horvath is healthy and should give OU trouble. I like Navy to win outright but the play is to take the points in Friday's Armed Forces Bowl. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.
4-Unit Play: Take 245 UL-Lafayette +12 over TCU (2:15 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 28)
I'm taking the points with UL-Lafayette in Saturday's New Mexico Bowl. Louisiana has some bumps and bruises to the QB rotation but HC Desormeaux says there's a chance starting QB Ben Wooldridge will play. In fact, one report this week stated he's ready for action. I'm fine if he doesn't since the team has had three weeks to prepare young Daniel Beale if Wooldridge and Chandler Fields are unable to go. Louisiana was fine in the final two regular season games without Woolridge before the horrible outing in the conference championship. But ULL has won 10 of 13 games this season and TCU has just one win against a bowl bound team in 2024. I'll take the double digits with Louisiana. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.
3-Unit Play: Take 268 Over 53 Boise State-Penn State (7:30 p.m., Tuesday, December 31)
I believe we're in for a lot of points in Tuesday's Fiesta Bowl. Penn State's offense has been on a tear since the November 2 loss to Ohio State. They've averaged 38 ppg, 220 rushing yards on 5.7 per carry, and Drew Allar completed 67% of his passes with 9 TDs and 2 INTs over the last six games. As far as Boise is concerned, even with all the carries from Ashton Jeanty, the Broncos still average 39 ppg. But a decent QB can pass all day long on the Bronco defense. I expect both offenses to succeed leading to a higher scoring game. I'm playing the Over between Boise State & Penn State. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.
8-Unit Play: Take 271 Ohio St. -2.5 over Oregon (5 p.m., Wednesday, January 1)
We had Ohio State last week and cashed in blowout fashion. I mentioned that while Michigan is in Ryan Day's head, he's fine against everyone else. The defense is 8th against the run and #1 against the pass, total yards allowed, and points allowed per game. While the statistics were virtually even in Oregon's 32-31 home win earlier this season, the Buckeyes were the better team in the trenches. The biggest leads in the game (7 and 8 points) belonged to the Buckeyes and it took the Lanning Loophole, an intentional 12-men on the field penalty to help the Ducks ensure the win. Ohio State has the most talented and deepest roster in college football and it's not even close. The offense hit its stride against Tennessee, challenging the Vols deep early and often. TreVeyon Henderson ran for 8 yards per carry and the offensive line played their best game in weeks. Oregon escaped four times this season including in conference play with the win over OSU and in a 16-13 win over a weak Wisconsin team. OU faced a better roster than their own last season and lost twice to Washington including in the conference championship and they're facing the better roster here. Ohio State was a 3.5-point favorite in Eugene. The rematch is in Pasadena and we're getting the Buckeyes on the cheap. I'm laying the points with Ohio State. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.
August Young
4-Unit Play - Take #231 Georgia Tech -2.5 -115 over Vanderbilt (12/27 @ 3:30PM EST) This price sums up how overvalued Vanderbilt has been this season. They over-performed drastically going 6-6 SU and 8-4 ATS despite a -0.7 ypp margin. For comparison; a team like USC that are playing in the Las Vegas Bowl were 6-6 despite a +0.6 ypp margin. We appreciate they have played a tough strength of schedule (ranking 20th) but so have Ga Tech (27th) but the Yellow Jackets have a +0.5 ypp margin. We were more impressed with how Georgia Tech finished the season as well covering two of three win an outright win vs. Miami, and taking UGA to the wire.4-Unit Play - Take #243 Boston College +4 -110 over Nebraska (12/28 @ 12:00PM EST) Both teams have played a very similar strength of schedule, and have almost identical ypp statistics when accounting for opponent. Nebraska will be missing a bunch of starters, have had a plethora of their lineup hit the transfer portal, and will be without their defensive co-ordinator. Hard to get to this number despite the move. It's nothing but dog value for us.
Strike Point Sports
7-Unit Play. Take #270 Arizona State (+13.5) over Texas (1 p.m., Wednesday, Jan. 1)I am not sold on the Texas Longhorns one bit. The Longhorns lost to Georgia twice so they really don't have a leg to stand on when it comes to the marquee wins discussion. Their best win on the season is probably a victory over Florida. Yes, they beat Clemson last weekend but I wasn't sold on the Tigers either. This ASU team is very dangerous, and this number is way too good to pass up. The Longhorns had two possessions against Clemson that were the only reason they covered that double-digit line. Clemson fell asleep on the last possession of the first half, and they gave up a 77 yard run right after they cut the lead to seven. ASU won't do those things. Yes, Texas could win this game, but by two touchdowns? Not a chance. Arizona State is 4-0 ATS against ranked opponents this season and they have won four games outright as an underdog this season. Give me the points here even though there is a small part of me that doesn't think we will need them.
4-Unit Play. Take #271 Ohio State (-2.5) over Oregon (5 p.m., Wednesday, Jan. 1)
Oregon has been the best team in college football all season, but this is where their season comes to an end. I would like to see this as the National Championship game as I feel these are the two best teams in the CFP, but unfortunately we get them in this round. The Ducks just caught a bad draw getting Ohio State. The Buckeyes are playing their best football of the season and they are going to send the number one team in the country packing for the year. The rest isn't something that will benefit Oregon as teams coming off a "bye" or with extra rest, are 1-5 ATS against teams that are at a rest disadvantage. Lay the small number here.
Best of Luck - Strike Point Sports
Jason Sharpe
Saturday December 28th 2024-CFB-
Alamo Bowl
5 Unit Play Take #253 BYU +4 over Colorado (7:30pm est):
I get the feeling that Colorado won't play their two superstars for this entire game as it's a meaningless contest for these guys who are expected to be top five NFL draft picks. Both are starting this contest but even if they play the full game I still think BYU is as good as Colorado this season. Colorado has played six games this year against teams ranked in the top 40 in the Sagarin ratings and they went 3-3 overall in those contests while winning one of them games in overtime while BYU went 4-2 versus teams in the top 40.
Take BYU plus the points.
Griffin Murphy
6 Unit Play - Take #268 Boise State (+11) Over Penn State. (7:30p.m, Tuesday, December 31st)Boise State comes into this game 12-1 on the season, with their lone loss coming against Oregon back in Week Two in a 37-34 final. Boise comes into this game led by the nation's best RB with Ashton Jeanty. Jeanty has 2,497 yards on the ground, 29 touchdowns, and is averaging 7.3 yards per carry. We can get into the metrics of how potent this Penn State defense is, as they are 7th in the nation when it comes to defending the rush. Penn State’s defense is not the issue in this matchup; it's their offense and coaching. James Franklin has been known to lose big games over and over again. He finally salvaged a win last week against SMU in a blowout fashion. The big takeaway from that game was pick 6s in Penn State’s favor. Penn State was not impressive whatsoever until their defense took over, and that's what dismantled SMU. If Penn State thinks they are going to be able to push back Boise State’s offensive line the way they pushed over SMU’s, that will not be the case. Boise State is 8th in the nation when it comes to total yards of offense, 5th on the rush, and 3rd when it comes to points per game, averaging 39.1. Penn State’s Drew Allar also has massive issues in the big game and does not thrive well under pressure. James Franklin always has an issue winning the big game; well, in this one, not only does he have to win, but he's gotta win by 2 touchdowns, laying 11 points in this game. Penn State is the better team and has NFL talent across the boards, but they always fail in the big moment. Boise State comes into this game on an 11-game win streak and has been throttling through every team they have faced. I believe Boise comes into this game and makes a statement early, establishing the run game with Jeanty. Once this rush game is established, it opens tons of potentials for QB Maddux Madsen. Madsen is hitting 62% of his passes; he's got 2,714 yards in the air with 22 touchdowns and just 3 picks. Madsen is also a two-step QB who has really moved well in the pocket with 224 yards on the ground and 5 touchdowns. Boise State is extremely elusive and fast off the ball; Penn State is a dominant force, but again they closed their season up with a loss to Michigan, so the force is not by any means unstoppable. Boise Brings in all the momentum; meanwhile, Penn State is always a coin flip when they are in matches like this, which makes them a gamble here. Boise State is the calculated risk play with a much bigger edge considering Jeanty, 12 straight winners, and averaging nearly 40 points per game offensively.
Take #268 Boise State (+11) Over Penn State.
Griffin Murphy
4 Unit Play - Take #269 Texas (-13.5) Over Arizona State. (1:00p.m, Wednesday, January 1st)
Texas comes into this game Fresh out of the SEC with a 12-2 record and finishing 1st in the SEC. Arizona State is now 11-2 on the year and finished 1st in the Big 12. Two different conferences with completely different strengths of talent on the table. Texas is the biggest favorite in the college playoffs right now, which heavily scares the public to lay 13.5 points. Psychologically formatted, last week all three underdogs not only got blown out, but all 3 failed to cover the spread. We have our first college football quarterfinal matchup that kicks off on Tuesday night. Penn State is an -11 point favorite in that matchup. The public is aware all the underdogs got smoked last week, so Penn State vs. Boise State is a telltale preformatted game of what we can expect here. If Penn State fails to cover the spread, which I anticipate they will do, this will open the public's eyes back open to jumping on an underdog with Boise covering the 11 points, as this is a -13.5 point spread. That is the first bait in the psychological trap. Texas comes into this game 15th in the nation when it comes to total yards of offense per game, averaging 461 yards per game. Arizona State is presently 64th in the nation when it comes to defending the pass, which could be a massive issue as they have to deal with both Quinn Ewers and Arch Manning as split QBs, who are both extremely lethal. The Texas defense is currently holding teams to 13.3 points per game. They are 3rd in the nation when it comes to total yards of offense against and 2nd against the pass. ASU thrives around their pass game, which opens up the run game for them to control the clock and run the ball. Arizona State is way out of their league in this game. Texas is by far the better team across all metrics and has proven it game in and game out all season long. The hype for ASU this season has been real, but in a game like this, where they are up against NFL talent across both sides of the football, it could be tragic. I expect Texas to smack this ASU offense down and light them up offensively, making a statement to enter the College Football semifinals. I expect another blowout here in this contest with Texas, as they have the better coach, better offense, and better defense. Arizona State has had an incredible season, but I believe it ends on New Year's Day in a bad downfall as Texas should annihilate them across the board.
Take #269 Texas (-13.5) Over Arizona State.
Griffin Murphy
Nick Menken
3 Unit: Take #270 Arizona State (+13.5) over Texas (1:00p.m, Wednesday, January 1st)The Texas Longhorns and the Arizona State Sundevils are going to compete against each other in the Peach Bowl, which we are going to attend tonight. In the first round of the playoffs, Texas defeated Clemson by a score of two touchdowns. However, a touchdown by their running back in the final minute enabled them to cover that spread. Now, they will face a team that the oddsmakers have excluded for the entire season. The Arizona State Sundevils were the team that was selected last, but they ended up winning the Big 12 championship and receiving a first-round bye in the college football playoffs. The Sun Devils of Arizona State University are the Cinderella story of this year, and they have nothing to lose. The fact that they have already won this season makes anything that comes after this only a bonus. As a result, they may be able to play more freely and for each other. Cam Skattebo, who finished fifth in the Heisman voting, is the running back for the Arizona State offense. On the other hand, they will be facing the Texas Longhorns, who have the greatest defense in the country. The run game, on the other hand, is something that Arizona has going for them. Should they be successful in slowing down this game, we should be in for a close fight. However, if Texas scores a touchdown immediately, the Sundevils will likely attempt to force the ball to travel through the air, which could potentially put them in a challenging situation. If Arizona State is able to score first through the use of the ground game, then they will be able to gain minutes off the clock. Arizona State will cover this particular point spread. In the same way that Georgia did in both of their games against the Longhorns, they established their run production. As a result, the pace was slowed down, the clock was taken care of, and the capitalization was done. Arizona will behave as though they have nothing to lose by participating in the game. At the instant when Cam Skattebo breaks one, the momentum will shift to the side of Arizona State. In my opinion, the Sundevils will not emerge victorious in the end. When it comes to the college football playoffs, I simply don't see this Cinderella team losing by two touchdowns after having a bye week. I just believe that they will cover this spread. When compared to the Texas Longhorns, Arizona State is a better bet with the points.
Take #270 Arizonia State (+13.5) over Texas
Nick Menken
6 Unit: Take #272 Oregon (+2.5) over Ohio State (5:00p.m, Wednesday, January 1st)
A rematch is scheduled to take place in the College Playoffs between the Ohio State Buckeyes and the Oregon Ducks, who are currently ranked as the best team in the country. The seventh week of the college season featured a matchup between these two teams, and Oregon emerged victorious at home by a single point. In this clash, the Ducks, who have not yet suffered a loss, are considered to be the underdogs. They will now compete against each other in the Rose Bowl of the College Playoffs, which should be just as entertaining as the seventh week, when there is more on the line. The candidate for the Heisman Trophy, Dillon Gabriel, will be looking to build on his performance against the Ohio State defense in week 7, in which he completed 23 of 34 passes for 341 yards, scored two touchdowns, and also scored one touchdown on the ground. However, this Ohio State squad overcame Tennessee in the first round of the playoffs, which was a significant victory for them. However, it's important to remember that the game took place at home. The Rose Bowl is approaching, and Day's top priority is to win these crucial games. From this point on, we will consider a rematch and a game of revenge for the Buckeyes. Without a doubt, the Buckeyes were successful in defeating the secondary for the Tennessee Volunteers. Oregon's defense presents a distinct challenge. This week, they will not be able to accomplish that. When it comes to sacks per game, this Ducks defense is the best in the Big 10. On the other hand, the outcome of this game will be up to Dillon Gabriel's performance. If he makes use of his legs and gets out of the pocket, he will cause havoc in this secondary for the Buckeyes. Despite everyone still reeling from the resounding victory over Tennessee, it's important to remember that the Ducks remain undefeated on the season. The two teams will face off, so expect another high-scoring game from both of them. However, in the end, the Oregon Ducks are the more disciplined team on the field, and they will play in the Rose Bowl at a level that is consistent with their previous performances. I believe that the Oregon defense will effectively shut down the Buckeyes, allowing Dillon Gabriel, a Heisman Trophy finalist, to determine whether Oregon advances to the next round of the college football playoffs. Rather than the Ohio State Buckeyes, take Oregon + 2.5.
Take #272 Oregon (+2.5) over Ohio State
Nick Menken
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