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2024 WNBA Championship Odds and Predictions

by Matt Zitt - 6/27/2024

WNBA Championship odds and predictions Chelsea Gray Las Vegas Aces

The Las Vegas Aces and the New York Liberty entered this season as the championship favorites after duking it out in the finals last year. The Aces are looking for a three peat as we approach the halfway point of the ’24 campaign, and these two squads still sit at the top of the odds boards to win it all. Despite having the best odds, the Aces already have matched their loss total from a season ago. The Liberty are currently 15-3 and boast the best record in the WNBA. Is a repeat matchup in the Finals on the horizon? Teams such as the Connecticut Sun (13-3), Minnesota Lynx (13-3), and Seattle Storm (10-6) may have something to say about that. Doc’s Sports will break down the best options to win the 2024 WNBA title below.

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Las Vegas Aces (+145)

Las Vegas is looking for back-to-back-to-back titles and life without Chelsea Gray did not go according to plan to start the season. The Aces went 6-6 without her but have won the past two games in her return to sit at 8-6 overall on the campaign. Gray’s return saw an increase in assists, and they defeated the Sun and Storm handily by 11 points each. Could this be the start of a dominant stretch? Besides a game against Seattle on July 10th, the Aces’ games before the break for the Olympics are against teams in the bottom half of the standings. They have two games against the Chicago Sky, three against the Washington Mystics, and a game apiece versus the Los Angeles Sparks, Dallas Wings, and the Atlanta Dream. Teams around the league should fear the foursome of A’ja Wilson, Jackie Young, Kelsey Plum, and a now healthy Gray. They currently sit five games behind the Liberty in the standings. However, a 10-0 or 9-1 run is not out of the question to narrow the gap.

New York Liberty (+185)

So far this season, the Minnesota Lynx have had the Liberty’s number. New York lost to Minnesota in the WNBA Commissioner’s Cup final on Tuesday and in a regular season contest about a month ago. Besides that, New York has owned the league this season and boasts the best record at 15-3. They are 3-0 against the Aces, Sun, and Storm and have picked up huge road victories at Michelob Ultra Arena and Mohegan Sun Arena. Breanna Stewart leads the team with 19.7 points per game, followed by Sabrina Ionescu with 19.3 points per contest and Jonquel Jones at 16.8 points per game. The next few weeks will give the Liberty more opportunities to show the world their championship contender credentials with two games against the Sun and one against Minnesota.

Connecticut Sun +700

The Sun started the year 9-0 and won 13 of their first 14 games before dropping the last two contests to the Aces and Storm. They sit in second in the standings with a 13-3 record. However, should their last two games give a cause for concern? In their quest for their first WNBA title, they are 11-0 against teams below .500 and 2-3 against teams above .500. Not the most convincing resume, but their remaining schedule will give them plenty of chances to prove that they belong with the best in the business. They arguably have the best defense in the league, and their next few games against the Liberty’s offense, who lead the WNBA in scoring (88.1 PPG) and field goal percentage (45.7%), will be a good indication going forward.

Minnesota Lynx +700

No team has impressed the way Minnesota has after two consecutive losing seasons. They were not even expected to contend again this season and have the best record in the Western Conference at 13-3 and won the in-season Commissioner’s Cup over the Liberty. The additions of Alanna Smith and Courtney Williams have been crucial to their success. The team has bought into their defense-first mentality and Napheesa Collier has been playing lights out. They face the Liberty, Sun, and Storm before the break and take on the Aces in back-to-back games shortly after play resumes. If they can post a winning record in those five games, look for their championship odds to shorten.

My pick: New York Liberty

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