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2025 Washington Nationals Predictions with World Series Odds and Season Win Total Picks

by Ryan Cobbett - 3/9/2025

Washington Nationals predictions Dylan Crews

The Washington Nationals matched their 2023 record last season, going 71-91. They finished fourth in the NL East and were 24 games behind the division winning Philadelphia Phillies and they missed the final wild card spot by 18 games. The Nationals were one of six teams to have worse than a -100-run differential. The Nationals also struggled to win close games, as they went just 19-35 in one-run or extra innings games.

Shortstop CJ Abrams led the team with a 3.4 WAR, as he clubbed a team best 20 homeruns and stole 31 bases. He also led the team with 79 runs and six triples. Outfielder Jacob Young finished second on the team with a 2.6 WAR, as he stole a team best 33 bases in 150 games last season. Luis Garcia Jr. finished with a 2.2 WAR, as he hit 18 homeruns and led the team with 70 RBIs. Abrams was the only Nationals player to reach the 20-homerun mark. As a team, Washington finished 25th in the league in runs, 29th in homeruns, 25th in OPS, 18th in hits, while they did lead the league in stolen bases.

Their pitching staff wasn’t much better. They ranked 23rd in the MLB with a 4.30 ERA while their 1.33 WHIP ranked 24th. They got a lot of consistency out of their rotation, with four pitchers reaching the 150 innings pitched mark, but it wasn’t necessarily good consistency. Jake Irvin led the team with 187.2 innings, and he finished with a 4.41 ERA and a 1.9 WAR. MacKenzie Gore was the best starter for the Nationals, as the southpaw recorded a 3.90 ERA across 166.1 innings and he led the team with 181 strikeouts. Patrick Corbin continues to struggle as he finished the season with a 5.62 ERA and a -0.9 WAR. Derek Law and Dylan Floro were the Nationals two best options out of the bullpen. Floro finished with 2.06 ERA before being traded to the Arizona Diamondbacks. Law led the bullpen with 90 innings, and he finished with a 2.60 ERA, and he was tied with Irvin for a team best 1.9 WAR.

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Washington Nationals Key Additions/Losses

As the team continues their rebuilding, the offseason was relatively quiet. They saw veteran pitchers Corbin, Trevor Williams, and Jacob Barnes hit the free agent market, while they declined the option on outfielder Joey Gallo. They also non-tendered reliever Tanner Rainey.

Washington would trade for first baseman Nathaniel Lowe in a deal with the Rangers, while they also signed first baseman Josh Bell, utility man Amed Rosario, catcher Andrew Knizner, and infielder Paul DeJong. The Nationals also reinforced the pitching staff by signing Michael Soroka, Lucas Sims, Shinnosuke Ogasawara, and Jorge Lopez.

Washington Nationals Prospect Outlook

Despite the poor state of their MLB roster, the Nationals have some young, up and coming prospects to get excited about. They have three prospects currently ranked in MLB’s Top 100 Rankings and they have recent graduates from this list, including Robert Hassell III and youngsters James Wood and Cade Cavalli to be excited about. Currently, outfielder Dylan Crews is the top ranked prospect in the Nationals 12th ranked farm system. He is the fourth ranked prospect overall and he seems like one of baseball’s next complete five-tool players. Behind Crews are right-handed pitchers Travis Sykora (69th) and Jarlin Susana (78th) who figure to be a few years away from competing at the big-league level.

Washington Nationals X-Factors

The Front Office- With pieces like Crews, Wood, Abrams, and Keibert Ruiz in the lineup, the Nationals have a solid young core to build around offensively. The team is set to do whatever ownership wants to do, as they have little money tied up in the long term. Most of their current roster is on rookie deals or one-year contracts. The veterans on one-year deals are likely to be used as trade bait before Washington goes all in during free agency in the coming years. They quietly have one of the most promising outfield trios in the game with Crews, Wood, and Young, while Gore has ace potential. The front office will need to make some more moves, but they have a solid foundation in place to be competitive in the next two or three years.

CJ Abrams- One of their young foundational pieces had some maturity issues shining through at the end of the last season. Abrams will need to mature and prove to the front office that he is willing to buy into the system and patiently wait for the competitive years Washington is building towards. Abrams is an incredibly talented player with 20/20 potential. However, if he continues to make poor decisions, Washington may decide to move on and they won’t get much for him if the behavior doesn’t straighten out.

Washington Nationals Expectations

The expectation is that the Nationals will not finish last in the NL East, but they will be far from competitive in the wild card standings and buried under the three-headed monster atop their division. Washington is expected to make some more moves throughout the season, sending Soroka, Bell, Lowe, and other veterans in deals to acquire future capital. Washington has the prospects to build around and they will be a key team to watch when free agency opens up at the end of this season.

Washington Nationals Notable Odds:

Win Total: 70.5

World Series Champions- +32000

Pennant Winners- +9000

Division Winners- +10000

NL MVP- James Wood +6000

NL MVP- CJ Abrams +20000

NL Cy Young- MacKenzie Gore +7000

NL Rookie of the Year- Dylan Crews +350

2025 Washington Nationals Predictions

All in all, it will be another long season for Washington fans. However, they have a lot of young talent to be excited about. Crews at +350 to win the NL Rookie of the Year is a great future pick, as Crews could be this year’s Colton Cowser. Roki Sasaki is coming in with a lot of hype to win the award, but Crews is definitely worth a look. And those who believe in Crews will benefit from the Sasaki hype as it juices Crews’ odds. In addition to Crews, the next best bet is the over on the win total. The Nationals won 71 games last season and certainly didn’t get any worse. In fact, with the incredible regression we are set to see from Miami, plus the potential of their young outfield, the Nationals could very well be knocking on the door of 80 wins this season. Take the over and put some stock in the Crews before he breaks out.

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