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2024 Washington Commanders Predictions with Odds to Win the Super Bowl

by Ryan Cobbett - 8/24/2024

Washington Commanders predictions Jayden Daniels

Last season was one to forget for the Washington Commanders, as they went just 4-13 and ended the season on an eight-game losing streak. Their -189-point differential was the worst in the NFL, and their 1-7 home record was the second worst in the league. They were also the only team to allow more than 500 points last season. To add salt to the wound, the Commanders did not win a game against their NFC East opponents.

Sam Howell was a turnover machine last season for Washington, as the young quarterback threw 21 interceptions, which was the most in the league, three ahead of Josh Allen, who threw 18. Howell did throw for 21 touchdowns and was just under the 4,000-yard mark, as he finished with 3,946 passing yards. Howell added five more touchdowns on the ground but did fumble the ball twice, bringing his season turnover number to 23. Brian Robinson Jr. led the team with 733 rushing yards and recorded five rushing touchdowns. He was also involved in the passing game, as the back finished with 368 yards and four receiving touchdowns. Terry McLaurin led the wide receiver room with 1,002 yards on the year and four touchdowns. Curtis Samuel, Jahan Dotson, Logan Thomas, McLaurin, and Robinson all had four touchdowns each.

Washington had the worst defense in the NFL last season, as they allowed 388.9 YPG and over 30 PPG. The secondary was especially weak, as they finished last in the league in passing yards allowed, allowing 262.2 passing YPG. Linebacker Cody Barton finished with a team leading 121 tackles, while finishing with three TFLs, one pass deflection, and an interception. Safety Kamren Curl joined Barton in the 100 tackles club, finishing with 115 tackles, one sack, three TFLs, and five pass deflections. Defensive end Montez Sweat led the team with 6.5 sacks, while defensive tackle Jonathan Allen finished one behind Sweat with 5.5 sacks. Benjamin St-Juste led the team with 17 pass deflections, while cornerback Kendall Fuller and safety Quan Martin led the defense with two interceptions each.

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Washington Commanders Key Additions/Losses

The already poor defense lost three of their better players this offseason. Their two leading tacklers, Cody Barton and Kamren Curl, are in new uniforms, with Kendall Fuller also departing. Running back Antonio Gibson and wide receiver Curtis Samuel are gone as well as Sam Howell and backup quarterback Jacoby Brissett.

With the Dan Quinn hire, the defense should take steps forward just because of their coach, but it also helps that Quinn brought some of his defensive line with him from Dallas, among other stars. Quinn brought along Dorance Armstrong and Dante Fowler Jr. from Dallas as well as signing edge rusher Clelin Ferrell, linebackers Bobby Wagner and Frankie Luvu, and safety Jeremy Chinn. The offensive additions reinforced the trenches around the future quarterback they would grab in the draft. Tyler Biadasz and Nick Allegretti should immediately boost the interior of the line. Tight end Zach Ertz was also brought in to add depth to the pass game.

Washington Commanders New Kids on the Block

Washington used the second pick in the draft to take their hopeful franchise quarterback in Jayden Daniels. Daniels has been named the starter and will look to make an immediate impact. The defense also added two college standouts in defensive tackle Jer’Zhan Newton out of Illinois and cornerback Mike Sainristil out of Michigan. Newton adds tremendous depth on the interior of the defensive line while Sainristil softens to blow of losing both Curl and Fuller.

Washington Commanders X-Factors

Jayden Daniels- After a stellar college career, that really took off during his time with LSU, Daniels will be put in the difficult position of leading one of the worst teams in the NFL. Though it always helps having Terry McLaurin to throw to, the options beyond him are limited and the run game is not really there. Daniels will need to create opportunities as well as limit turnovers to get this team to improve from a season ago. However, Daniels is that dude, and he will bring this Washington team to playoff status, eventually.

Washington Commanders Notable Odds

Super Bowl Winner: +12000

NFC Champion: +5000

NFC East Winner: +1100

To Make the Playoffs: +320

AP Offensive Rookie of the Year- Jayden Daniels: +600

NFL MVP- Jayden Daniels: +20000

Washington Commanders Schedule Breakdown

Predicted Win Total: 6.5 Games

Though I am high on Daniels and Quinn, the Commanders have a long way to go before they are a seven-win team or even a six-win team for that matter. On the schedule they have only two wins, a home game against Carolina and a win against the New York Giants. There are 10 losses on the schedule and five toss up games. In order for the over to hit, the Commanders would need to go 5-0 in the toss up games to reach seven wins, and that just won’t happen. They will not go undefeated against the likes of @ Tampa Bay, @ New York Giants, @ Arizona, Pittsburgh, or Chicago.

Washington Commanders Predictions

I think the ceiling for Washington is 6-11, which would result in the under. They will struggle in division play once again. And with 10 losses seen on the schedule, there is no room for error in regard to the win total. I am on the under for Washington. Daniels is the answer at quarterback, but that success won’t be easily identified this season. Though his numbers might put him in the conversation, I think it is a long shot we see him win any awards as his team will be down all year. They will miss the playoffs and be in a dogfight with the Giants to avoid the NFC East basement.

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