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2024-25 Vegas Golden Knights Predictions and Odds to Win Stanley Cup Finals

by Ryan Cobbett - 10/2/2024

Vegas Golden Knights predictions Adin Hill

Last season was a tough one for the Golden Knights after going all in at the trade deadline and then falling in the first round of the playoffs. Though they were severely hampered by injuries up and down the roster, the Golden Knights still managed to reach the playoffs as they clinched the second wild card spot with 98 points. They started off great against the Stars, going up 2-0 in the first round, but they ultimately fell in Game 7 and were eliminated.

Vegas averaged 3.21 GF/G, which ranked in the top half of the NHL, while their special teams play was average at best. They had a 20.2% PP% and a PK% of 79.3%, both around the league average. Some of their better players weren’t able to put up their expected numbers due to injuries. Jonathan Marchessault led the team with 69 points and 42 goals. Jack Eichel (63 games) finished with 68 points, and William Karlsson (70 games) rounded out the 60+-point group with 60 points. Mark Stone (56 games) was averaging close to a point a game, as the veteran skater had 53 points on 16 goals and 37 assists. They also had injuries at the blueline with Shea Theodore being limited to 47 games, while Alex Pietrangelo played in just 64 games.

As for the Golden Knights netminding, they ranked just outside the Top 10 in the NHL in goals allowed, as they allowed 2.96 GA/G. Logan Thompson appeared in 46 games, going 25-14-5 while allowing 2.70 GA/G on a .908 SV%. Adin Hill appeared in 35 games and posted similar numbers as Thompson, allowing 2.71 GA/G on a .909 SV%. Jiri Patera allowed 3.98 GA/G in his six appearances for Vegas.

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Seasons come and go, so now it’s time to take a look at what we can expect from the Vegas Golden Knights in 2024-25:

Vegas Golden Knights Key Additions/Losses

Vegas made two significant trades this past summer where they sent Logan Thompson to the Washington Capitals for two picks, while they also traded a 2025 third-round pick and Paul Cotter (25 points) to New Jersey. Michael Amadio (27 points), William Carrier (eight points), Alec Martinez (17 points), as well as deadline addition Anthony Mantha (44 points, 10 with Vegas), all found new homes. Despite the losses, there were no bigger losses for Vegas than leading scorer Jonathan Marchessault (69 points) and Chandler Stephenson (51 points).

After losing a lot of talent over the course of the offseason, Vegas did little to replenish their production. They added 23-year-old winger Alxander Holtz (28 points) and 24-year-old netminder Akira Schmid (3.15 GA/G) in the deal with New Jersey. They also added former Toronto Maple Leaf Ilya Samsonov (3.13 GA/G) to backup Adin Hill.

Vegas Golden Knights X-Factors

Health- The Golden Knights lost a lot this offseason, and the guys who stayed are the ones with the injury issues. Ivan Barbashev (45 points), Alexander Holtz (28 points), Noah Hanifin (47 points), and Brayden McNabb (26 points) are the only players on the roster to appear in 80 or more games last season. Jack Eichel and Mark Stone join Barbashev on the Vegas top line, but they were limited to 63 and 56 games last season, respectively, and both veterans have had their career plagued by injuries. Tomas Hertl is another big name on this Vegas roster that is coming off a big injury that limited him to just 54 games last season. After all the losses, the Golden Knights will need their top guys to stay healthy this season if they want another shot at the playoffs with this group.

Vegas Golden Knights Goalie Outlook

After all the offseason moves, the Golden Knights goalie group looks a lot different this season. Hill will be slated as the teams starting netminder if he can stay healthy and post similar numbers to his previous two seasons. With the absence of Logan Thompson, Vegas now has Ilya Samsonov and youngster Akira Schmid. It is likely that Hill and Samsonov will get the majority of the work. However, in the event of an injury, Schmid is a heck of a third option. Overall, this is a solid group they just need to be utilized correctly and perform well in their split roles.

Grade: B

Vegas Golden Knights Key Schedule Stretch

November 6th-November 27th- This first half stretch is going to be a tough one for Vegas as it features a lot of away games and some good opposition. The stretch starts with back-to-back road games in Edmonton and Seattle before Vegas will return home for a tough matchup against Carolina. The Golden Knights will then set out to take on Anaheim and Utah in a pair of road games against inferior opponents before returning home to take on the much-improved Washington Capitals. The stretch ends with a five-game road trip with stops in Toronto, Ottawa, Montreal, Philadelphia, and Colorado. All in all, this 11-game stretch features nine road games, two tougher home games, and seven playoff caliber teams.

Vegas Golden Knights Notable Odds

Stanley Cup Champions: +1400

Conference Winner: +700

Division Winner: +3300

Vezina Trophy- Adin Hill: +2500

Hart Trophy- Jack Eichel: +7000

Jack Adams Award- Bruce Cassidy: +3000

Vegas Golden Knights Prediction

Vegas suffered a lot of losses this offseason and did very little to replenish the talent lost to the offseason. In addition to the losses, the Golden Knights have all kind of injury prone players up and down their roster, which has limited this team in recent years. Vancouver and Edmonton will finish ahead of Vegas, but the Golden Knights are likely to be in a dogfight with the Kings for the final guaranteed spot in the Pacific Division. With Minnesota and Winnipeg in the mix, there may not be any hope for the Kings or Golden Knights other than to grab the final guaranteed spot. Vegas finished under this projected point total last season and got much worse over the course of the offseason. The under on the 99.5 Team Point total is a good play, as this is not a 100-point team.

Under 99.5 Team Total Points

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