2024 PGA Picks: Valspar Championship Odds and Expert Betting Predictions

The PGA Tour heads to Palm Harbor, Florida, for the Valspar Championship. The Copperhead Course at Innisbrook Resort will play host and this will be the final stop on the Florida Swing. Last weekend at The Players was exhilarating as we witnessed the World No. 1 in Scottie Scheffler chase down Xander Schauffele and Wyndham Clark for the victory. The field is still strong this week, despite this not being a Signature Event. Xander Schauffele is the odds-on favorite, followed by Justin Thomas, Sam Burns, and Jordan Spieth. Doc’s Sports will break down some of the best bets from this week’s Valspar Championship below.

Get sports picks for every league and nearly every matchup on Doc’s free picks page.

A Look at the Field

Here is a look at the Top 12 and ties with the lowest golf odds to win it all at online sportsbooks

Xander Schauffele +650 – Justin Thomas +1400 – Sam Burns +1400 – Jordan Spieth +1800

Brian Harman +2200 – Tony Finau +2500 – Cameron Young +2500 – Sungjae Im +2800

Min Woo Lee +3000 – Nick Taylor +3500 – Adam Hadwin +3500 – Doug Ghim +4000

Course Characteristics of Those Who Can Win or Secure Winning Golf Bets

The Copperhead Course has hosted this event since 2000 and was designed in 1971 by Larry Packard. The course annually plays as one of the top-10 toughest venues on the PGA calendar. The layout plays as a par-71 and measures in at 7,340 yards. There are a few elevation changes and most of the course is tree-lined, giving it more of a Carolina course feel than a Florida course. The fairways here are very narrow measuring in at 30 yards wide on average. This leads to golfers laying up and not using drivers as often. Water is in play on nine out of the 18 holes and the rough can be very penal. The greens are slightly larger than most courses and feature dormant Bermudagrass with Poa trivialis overseed. The field only hit 55% of the greens in regulation in last year’s event, placing an emphasis on scrambling and play around the green. The bunkers are extremely challenging and the course features 74 throughout the 18 holes. One of the more unique aspects of the course is the five par-3s, three of which come in the final six holes. They are long and difficult, ranging from 195 yards to 235 yards. The first hole is the easiest one they will play all day. If players do not make birdie then they should feel like they have lost ground on the field. The closing three holes is referred to as the Snake Pit, which features two very difficult par-4s and the 215-yard 17th hole. This week should test a lot of players.

Justin Thomas +1400

Thomas missed the cut last week at The Players, mainly due to his putting. He ended up gaining 4.7 strokes on Approach in just two rounds. I can overlook a bad putting week, especially after gaining strokes with the putter in four of his previous six starts. JT has had a ton of success at this event over the past three years posting finishes of T13, T3, and T10. He is one of the best iron players on the planet and can be a wizard around the greens. Thomas has shown flashes that he is trending towards another PGA Tour victory. This week could be the week that JT gets back into the winner’s circle.

Cameron Young +2500

The problem with Young when he has been in contention is his flatstick on the weekends. He is chasing his first career PGA Tour victory and this week could finally be the breakthrough he has been searching for. This season he ranks 12th in strokes gained Approach and 11th in strokes gained Off The Tee. He is also 2nd in this field in birdies per round made. He has shown flashes of brilliance, but needs to avoid those dreaded bogeys and double bogeys. Young has gained a minimum of 3.6 strokes on approach in each of his last four starts. This week will mark his first appearance at the Valspar Championship and he could be primed to pick up his first career victory.

Doug Ghim +4000

The current run that Ghim is on is hard to ignore. He finished T16 at The Players last week, which gives him five straight top-16 finishes dating back to the Farmers Insurance Open. He also ranks 2nd in this field in Total Strokes Gained over the past 24 rounds, only trailing Schauffele. The main reason for this hot stretch has been his putter as he has gained strokes on the greens in four of his past five starts. Last season, Ghim finished T27 at this event and I fully expect him to compete this week for his first career win. The 40-1 price tag has some value with how good he has been of late.

Golf Picks: Who to Consider This Week:

To win: Thomas, Young, Ghim

Get expert sports picks on every game, or if you want our very best bet premium picks by the experts, sign up for your free $60 account with a guarantee.