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Super Bowl Proposition Bets 2019


by - 1/23/2019

New England Patriots running back Sony Michel

The Super Bowl is a buffet of prop betting excellence. A true smorgasbord of interesting and challenging options. In so many ways, it is the best sports betting day of the year - or at least the most interesting. There is a seemingly infinite number of Super Bowl proposition bets to choose from, and the number grows every year. I often prefer the odd bets more often, and we have looked at them elsewhere. But what I want to look at here is the more traditional, largely performance-based props that are available. I like these so much because with just a little work you can break them down and often find some intriguing value. Here are some of the more interesting traditional props available at Bovada right now. As I write this is early in the first week of the lead-up to the game, so the selection will grow dramatically. But there is also lots to chew on:

Will the following players score a touchdown at any point in the game?: This is where you can bet on pretty much any offensive player in the game, and there are a few very interesting ones - especially if you think that this will be an offensive game. The favorites for each team not surprisingly, are the former Georgia running backs - Sony Michel is at -225, and Todd Gurley at -200. As the odds suggest, I like Michel a little better because he is a little healthier, but both guys are definitely viable bets - though not ones with any value at this price. Julian Edelman at -115 is also fairly attractive given how much of a force he was in the game last weekend. He didn't score, but he did everything else in that game, and that was in far less favorable conditions for a passing game than they will have inside for this game. Rex Burkhead is attractive at +115 coming off a two-score game last time out, as he got the short yardage calls in that one. You could also make a case for Brady at +1000 - he does have six career postseason touchdowns, and he was not at all part of the short yardage plans last game, so he could be used a little to shake things up. On the L.A. side, Brandin Cooks is worth a look at -115 because he will surely be fired up for this one after spending last year in New England. And I quite like tight end Gerald Everett at +1200. He has only three receiving touchdowns this year, but he was very impactful in the last game, going for 50 yards, and he has been playing a nice role in the shorter yardage game of late. If the Pats focus hard on containing Gurley and C.J. Anderson, then Everett could get an opportunity. The one guy I wouldn't have any interest in betting on at all despite the fat +2500 price is L.A. running back John Kelly, who is the youngest player on either active roster. Not only has he not scored all year, but he has only 74 yards and has played only special teams in the postseason. Long shots are great and all, but they have to make at least some sense - and Kelly doesn't here.

Total touchdowns - over/under 7.5: Yes +155, No -190 - This one is a little interesting if you are excited about the over in the game. The total sits at 57.5 or 58 points at this point. Eight touchdowns would be 56 points. There will be field goals, so if you think the total is accurate, then this isn't the number for you. If you think the teams will blow past the total, though, then this payoff on the yes side could be more attractive than what you will get betting the over on the total. There isn't any real value on the yes, but it would sure be fun to root for during the game. If you are really feeling bold and think that eight touchdowns is the right number, then you could bet the exact number of touchdowns prop - eight pays +600.

Will a QB throw for 400 or more yards in the game?: Yes +250, No -400 - This is another one for those people that expect a good old-fashioned shootout in this one. We know the Rams can play games like that, though they haven't recently. And the Patriots came out on top of a street fight to get to this game. But despite these being two of the four most explosive offenses in the league, Brady didn't have a 400-yard game this year. And while Goff had two, he hasn't had one since Nov. 19. Brady has had two excellent passing games in the playoffs, but Goff hasn't even had a 300-yard game in his last four outings. I don't know about you, but I can't justify the over.

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