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2024 San Francisco 49ers Predictions with Odds to Win the Super Bowl

by Ryan Cobbett - 8/13/2024

San Francisco 49ers predictions Brock Purdy

The 49ers had an incredible season a year ago, finishing as the league’s runner up. The 49ers went 12-5 during the regular season, with two winning streaks of five or more. Of their five losses, the biggest loss was a 14-point loss to the Bengals. However, the other four losses were by a combined 16 points. On the flip side, only one of their 12 regular season wins was a one possession game. In the playoffs, all three of their games were decided by three points, with wins over the Packers and Lions and then a 25-22 overtime loss in the Super Bowl against the Kansas City Chiefs.

Brock Purdy was incredible last season, finishing with a 69.4 CMP% while throwing for 4,280 yards, 31 touchdowns and just 11 interceptions. His 4,280 passing yards was good for fifth most in the league last season, while he finished third in touchdowns. Purdy would add another two touchdowns on the ground. The 49er’s run game was largely controlled by Christian McCaffery. He led the league with 1,459 yards on the ground and finished fourth in rushing touchdowns. McCaffery was also second in receiving yards, amongst running backs, as he finished with 564 yards and added another seven receiving touchdowns. Brandon Aiyuk and George Kittle both eclipsed 1,000 receiving yards, as they finished with 1,342 and 1,020 yards, respectively. Kittle finished with six receiving touchdowns, while Aiyuk, McCaffery, and Deebo Samual finished with seven.

On defense, the 49ers showcase the best linebacker tandem in the NFL with Fred Warner and Dre Greenlaw. Warner and Greenlaw both finished with 120 tackles or more, and both finished inside the Top 30 in the league in tackles. Warner led the defense with 132 tackles while also adding four interceptions and six TFLs. Greenlaw finished with 120 tackles and five TFLs. Nick Bose led the defense in sacks with 10.5 while also recording 16 TFLs and four pass deflections. Arik Armstead and Javon Hargrave both finished with five or more sacks as well. Cornerback Charvarius Ward led the team with five interceptions and 23 pass deflections (league leader).

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San Francisco 49ers Key Additions/Losses

The defensive line suffered some major blows this offseason, with tackles Arik Armstead, Javon Kinlaw, and Sebastian Joseph, along with edge rushers Chase Young and Clelin Ferrell, leaving for other teams. The defense also lost cornerback Isaiah Oliver, while the offense lost depth pieces in quarterback Sam Darnold and tight end Charlie Woerner.

The 49ers replaced Darnold with journeyman Josh Dobbs, while the front office did an excellent job rebuilding the defensive line by adding tackles Maliek Collins and Jordan Elliot, along with edge rushers Yetur Gross-Matos and Leonard Floyd. They also brought in De’Vondre Campbell to deepen the linebacker corps.

San Francisco 49ers New Kids on the Block

With the questions surrounding Brandon Aiyuk’s future with the team, the 49ers drafted wide out Ricky Pearsall out of Florida with their first-round pick. Pearsall recorded 965 receiving yards and four touchdowns in his final season with the Gators. San Francisco also strengthened the secondary by adding cornerback Renardo Green and safety Malik Mustapha.

San Francisco 49ers X-Factors

Brandon Aiyuk- If traded, there will be a huge hole in the wide receiver room, too big to be depended on by rookie Pearsall. Aiyuk is one of the league’s best wide outs, and the 49ers offense would definitely take a step down without him. The saga needs to play out, but 49ers fans should hope he stays and is apart of another Super Bowl run.

Health- After Purdy, there is a huge question mark. After McCaffery, the backfield is serviceable, but not great. After Kittle, there is some intrigue, but still full of questions. After Samuel and Aiyuk, there is little to no depth. The defensive depth looks a lot different, but the offense needs to stay healthy as one or two injuries to their mainstays could totally derail their season.

San Francisco 49ers Notable Odds

Super Bowl Winner: +600

NFC Champion: +300

NFC West Winner: -190

NFL MVP- Brock Purdy: +1600

NFL MVP- Christian McCaffrey: +5000

AP Defensive Player of the Year- Nick Bose: +850

San Francisco 49ers Schedule Breakdown

Predicted Win Total: 11.5 Games

The 49ers would have to match last season’s record to eclipse the win total, and they may very well do that. They would need to stay healthy and do everything they can to keep Aiyuk on the roster. On the schedule, there are nine wins assuming the roster remains intact and healthy. Nine wins and no losses is a good position to be in, as that leaves eight toss up games. In order for the over to hit, the 49ers would need to go just 3-5 in the toss up games. Five of those toss ups are on the road, but the 49ers were actually better on the road last season than at home. This is one of the easier win totals to pick *if* Aiyuk stays put.

San Francisco 49ers Predictions

Of course, the if makes it a little murky when looking at the 49ers season, but they will win the NFC West and will likely end up going on a deep run in the playoffs. The defense might be better than last season, and the offense is full of studs. I like the over on the win total thanks to all the potential mulligans in the 49ers schedule. Brock Purdy has proven himself to be one of the most reliable quarterbacks in the league. And, of course, it helps having the best all around player in Christian McCaffery. The 49ers are my pick to be the Super Bowl Champions.

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