2024 PGA Picks: Tour Championship Odds and Expert Betting Predictions

This week’s for all the marbles. The PGA Tour heads to Atlanta, Georgia for the Tour Championship at East Lake Golf Club. The field will consist of the top 30 players remaining in the FedEx Cup Standings. There is an added twist for the championship, where each golfer will begin the tournament with a designated starting strokes score. Scottie Scheffler finished first in the standings, so he will start the tournament at 10-under par. Xander Schauffele finished in second and will begin the tournament at eight-under par. Once you get past the top five, the remaining 25 golfers will start anywhere from even-par to four-under par, depending on their FedEx Cup Standings ranking. Scheffler has lost from the No. 1 slot in each of the last two seasons. Can someone knock off the World No. 1 again? Doc’s Sports will break down some of the best action from the Tour Championship below.  

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A Look at the Field

Here is a look at the Top 12 and ties with the lowest golf odds to win it all at online sportsbooks

Scottie Scheffler +115 – Xander Schauffele +230 – Hideki Matsuyama +1100 – Rory Mcllroy +1800

Ludvig Aberg +1800 – Sam Burns +3000 – Collin Morikawa +3000 – Patrick Cantlay +3500

Keegan Bradley +3500 – Wyndham Clark +4000 – Viktor Hovland +6000 – Tony Finau +8000

Course Characteristics of Those Who Can Win or Secure Winning Golf Bets

East Lake has undergone some renovations and will look a bit different than past years. Architect Andrew Green led the design to make it look like the original Donald Ross design as every hole was touched up in some sort of fashion. Tees were moved for length, bunkers were removed or added, trees were removed, and greens were reshaped. East Lake now plays as a par 71 as the 14th hole was stretched an additional 60 yards and converted from a par-4 to a par-5. There were a few more yardage increases along the layout and now plays just shy of 7,500 total yards. Tee-to-green was the most important metric when navigating this course in the past, and still should be with the unknown putting surfaces.

Xander Schauffele +230

We are going to fade World No. 1 this week and even though the odds are only +230, Schauffele is a solid choice to win the Tour Championship. His game is tailor-made for this course and his track record proves it. Dating back to his rookie campaign, Schauffele has finished first, T2, solo second, T2, T5, solo fourth and solo second. Pretty solid finishes. Xander ranks as the second-best ball-striker in this field over the past 48 rounds, and sits No. 1 in putting during that time frame. This has easily been Schauffele’s best season to date and winning the Tour Championship would be fitting.

Rory Mcllroy +1800

Just like Xander, Mcllroy loves playing at East Lake. Rory has won the Tour Championship three times over the past 10 years, while finishing T8 or better on four other occasions. He had a tough time adjusting to the elevation last week in Denver, but that should not scare you away from his +1800 price tag this week. Only Scheffler, Xander, and Hideki Matsuyama rank higher than Mcllroy in this field in SG: Tee-to-Green over the past 48 rounds. Even though he is starting at four-under par, he has the power off the tee to make up the gap. Look for the Northern Irishman to contend for his fourth Tour Championship this weekend.

Sam Burns +3000 and without starting strokes +1600

Burns has been red hot during the playoffs. Scratch that, he has been scorching hot. He finished T5 at the FedEx St. Jude and T2 last weekend at the BMW Championship, in large part due to a seven-under par final round. His putter has been a massive reason for the quick turnaround. The flatstick gained +1.89 SG Putting per round two weeks ago and +1.80 last week. Overall, Burns has gained 28 strokes on the greens over his last six starts. Burns also is not shy around East Lake, gaining nearly 14 strokes Putting over the last three years combined. He will have to go for birdies starting six shots behind Scheffler and he ranks first in Birdie Conversion and 2nd in Birdie Average. Let’s ride the hot putter to a victory this week in Atlanta.

Golf Picks: Who to Consider This Week:

To win: Schauffele, Mcllroy, Burns

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