2024 PGA Picks: Sony Open Expert Betting Predictions and Odds
The PGA Tour will finish its annual two-part stop in Hawaii this weekend with the Sony Open at the Waialae Country Club. After a shortened 59-man field last week at Kapalua, we return to the standard full-field event with a 36-hole cut. The field will be headlined by last year’s winner, Si Woo Kim, along with plenty of other talent in Matt Fitzpatrick, Ludvig Aberg, and Tyrrell Hatton. Chris Kirk will also participate this week after winning The Sentry last weekend by one stroke over Sahith Theegala. The Sony Open is known for underdogs, as the average winning odds at this tournament since 2010 is 73-1. Doc’s Sports will break down some of the best bets this weekend in the final Hawaii event.
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A Look at the Field
Here is a look at the Top 12 and ties with the lowest golf odds to win it all at online sportsbooks
Ludvig Aberg +1600 – Matt Fitzpatrick +1600 – Tyrrell Hatton +1800 – Brian Harman +2000
Russell Henley +2000 – Corey Conners +2200 – Chris Kirk +2500 – Eric Cole +2800
J.T. Poston +3000 – Byeong Hun An +3000 – Sahith Theegala +3000 – Justin Rose +3500
Course Characteristics of Those Who Can Win or Secure Winning Golf Bets
Golf Picks: Who to Consider This Week:
Waialae Country club will play host this weekend in Hawaii and measures at 7,044 yards and plays at a par 70. The course is more tree-lined and more narrow fairways compared to last week’s course. Scores typically get into the 20 under par realm, and the greens are Bermuda. Accuracy is favored off the tee, as the course offers very little reason to bomb drives.
Corey Conners +2200
He is coming off a week in Kapalua where he struck the ball great off the tee, gaining 4.5 strokes on approach. His putter failed him last week, but the good news is he has always putted well at Waialae in his career, gaining .51 strokes per round. Conners has also finished T12 or better in each of his past four starts at this course, including a T3 in 2019. He is a strong play this weekend at 22-1 odds when you factor in his course history and recent ball-striking numbers.
J.T. Poston +3000
Poston finished 5th last weekend, and that was his second top 5 finish in his last three events on the PGA Tour. Finishes of 3rd, 6th, and 8th at the RBC Heritage and 10th at Colonial bode well from a course correlation point of view. He has never finished higher than 20th at this course in six events played in, but he has put together some solid rounds. At 30-1, I think you are getting great value on a two-time PGA Tour winner, who has been playing some of his best golf of his career.
Billy Horschel +9000
Six players have won this event since 2010 with odds at 80-1 or worse; Patton Kizzire (80-1) in 2018, Fabian Gomez (100-1) in 2016, Russell Henley (100-1) in 2013, Johnson Wagner (125-1) in 2012, Mark Wilson (80-1) in 2011, and Ryan Palmer (250-1) in 2010. Last season was not Horschel’s best, but he picked it up down the stretch. He finished in the top 20 in five of his last seven starts between the PGA Tour and DP World Tour. He is known to be an extremely hard worker, and I would not be surprised if he begins this year in above average form. He also had a T7 at this event three years ago, proving that he has what it takes to compete at this course.
To win: Conners, Poston, Horschel
2024 season total: +2,305
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