2024 PGA Championship Golf Predictions with Odds and Expert Picks
It is major season, and the PGA Tour will head to Louisville, Kentucky, for the second major of 2024. The PGA Championship will be held at Valhalla Golf Club and will feature the best field of the season, with all top 100 players in attendance. The top four players, in terms of odds, head to Valhalla in great form. Scottie Scheffler, Rory Mcllroy, and Brooks Koepka enter this week off victories in their most recent starts. Xander Schauffele finished second last week at the Wells Fargo after holding a lead for the first three rounds. While the favorites should dominate the conversations, a few sleeper picks could emerge similar to how Ludvig Aberg contended at the Masters last month. Doc’s Sports will break down some of the best bets for the second major of the ’24 campaign below.
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A Look at the Field
Here is a look at the Top 12 and ties with the lowest golf odds to win it all at online sportsbooks
Scottie Scheffler +400 – Rory Mcllroy +750 – Xander Schauffele +1400 – Brooks Koepka +1400
Jon Rahm +1600 – Ludvig Aberg +2000 – Bryson DeChambeau +2500 – Collin Morikawa +3000
Max Homa +3500 – Joaquin Niemann +3500 – Patrick Cantlay +4000 – Cameron Smith +4000
Course Characteristics of Those Who Can Win or Secure Winning Golf Bets
Valhalla Golf Club was built for moments like this and has provided some drama over the years - Tiger Woods won in a playoff in 2000, Mcllroy bombing a ball into the group in front of him on his way to victory a decade ago, and even the rowdy atmosphere at the 2008 Ryder Cup. The course was established in 1986 by the legendary Jack Nicklaus and his design team. The track was built with championship level pedigree and is a unique challenge. Nicklaus used his traditional tactics in designing Valhalla with thin fairways, strategically placed bunkers, hazards that present risk/reward opportunities, and rolling hills. This will be the fourth time in the course's history that it will host the PGA Championship. This time around, the course will play 150 yards longer than in 2014. A new tee box was added to the 1st hole, making it more difficult for players to take it over the dogleg corner. They also added 37 yards to the par-3 14th, making it 254 yards in total and one of the longest par-3s in the history of the PGA Championship. Making par will be a daunting task on No. 14. Management also switched from Bentgrass to Zoysia grass, so do not be surprised if the course looks a little browned out. Overall, the course will play at 7,609 yards and is a par-71. Long iron play and greens in regulation will be key as the majority of the greens are smaller in size compared to most courses but are extremely flat with less slopes.
Rory Mcllroy +750
Mcllroy heads to Valhalla with a ton of momentum and is looking to break his major streak at a course where he has already won a major in his career. Even though it was a decade ago, all signs point to Rory to contend this week, and I am taking him over the other top-4 odds on favorites. He trailed by a stroke on Sunday at the Wells Fargo Championship and ended up winning by five strokes over Schauffele. The Northern Irishman has placed in the top-10 in seven of his last nine major starts. Mcllroy’s decade-long major title drought is well documented, and this could be his best chance to win his fifth major. Ironically enough, Rory won the week before his PGA Championship at Valhalla in 2014. Could it be déjà vu?
Max Homa +3500
Homa is a player that wears his emotions on his sleeve, and you can feel the momentum building in a positive direction, which will hopefully result in a major victory. His performance last month at Augusta proves he can contend on the biggest of stages with the best of the best. A big reason for his current play is his iron-play is trending upwards. Two of his last four starts have resulted in the best strokes gained approach numbers of the season for Max. He has also turned into one of the most reliable putters on the PGA Tour. He has finished inside the top-eight in three out of his last six events. Three of Homa’s six PGA Tour wins have come at long, upper-echelon courses that resemble Valhalla. Homa looks ready to contend for another major and hopefully will win his first this weekend.
Sahith Theegala +6500
Theegala has been on a little skid of late, but this is a great opportunity to buy low on a guy that has had a great 2024 season up to this point. He finished 45th at the Masters and is coming off a 54th at the Wells Fargo Championship, but he also has five top-10 finishes this year. Sahith took second at the RBC Heritage and finished inside the top-10 at both the Arnold Palmer Invitational and Players Championship. He has thrived at tougher courses with the best competition. Look for Theegala to figure it out this week and contend at Valhalla.
Sepp Straka +8000
Straka provides a ton of upside and value at 80-1 odds for this week at Kentucky. He is not the longest off the tee, but he has become one of the most accurate, which should serve him well this week. The Austrian has put together a solid ’24 campaign, with top-16 finishes in five of his last six starts. His current major results have been a T7 at last year’s PGA Championship, T2 at last year’s British Open, and T16 at this year’s Masters. Look for Straka to contend and a top-20 play at +250 also seems reasonable.
Golf Picks: Who to Consider This Week:
To win: Mcllroy, Homa, Theegala, Straka
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