Docs Website

53 Years Strong! A Trusted Leader In Sports Picks, Best Bets and Predictions Since 1971.

Main Menu

2023 NFL Wide Receiver Predictions: Props Odds and Betting Picks

by Matt Zitt - 8/10/2023

NFL wide receiver predictions George Pickens Pittsburgh Steelers

The 2023-24 NFL season is quickly approaching, and it is time to look at some season-long prop bets! There are a ton of props with so much opportunity on a clean board before the real action starts in September. The key is to evaluate and find lines that are too low or too high. In this article, I will be going through some wide receiver props that I’m targeting this season.

Doc’s Sports offers NFL expert picks for every game on our NFL predictions page.

Calvin Ridley OVER 875.5 receiving yards (-110)

Reports out of training camp are that Ridley looks as explosive as ever. He was suspended for all of 2022 after it was reported that he bet on NFL games during the 2021 season. The talented receiver gets thrust into a great situation with the Jaguars. Chris Kirk and Zay Jones were the top receivers for Jacksonville in 2022. However, Ridley has the talent to overtake both as the number-one option. Ridley has gone over this number in his first three years in the NFL. Ridley should see plenty of targets with Trevor Lawrence throwing him the ball.

George Pickens OVER 750.5 receiving yards (-110)

This number is way too low. And barring an injury, it should hit with ease. Pittsburgh Steelers wide receiver George Pickens is an absolute freak of an athlete. He tallied 52 receptions on 84 targets for 801 yards in 17 games last year. Kenny Pickett should improve in year 2, and Pickens will see an increase in production. In the 13 games he played alongside Pickett, Pickens had 683 receiving yards and all four of his receiving touchdowns. This is my favorite prop bet of the year!

Chris Olave OVER 75.5 receptions (-110)

This is another number that is set too low after a phenomenal rookie campaign in 2022. The 11th overall pick registered 72 receptions, 1,042 yards, and four touchdowns in 15 games. He was also targeted 119 times, which ranked 23rd in the entire league. And who was throwing him the football? Andy Dalton……yuck. New Saints quarterback Derek Carr is an upgrade at the position and is not afraid to throw the long ball. Carr will be heavily motivated, and Olave will benefit the most.

Jordan Addison Most Yards for Rookie WRs (+175)

This is another wager that jumps off the page and mainly due to opportunity. He is not favored by much over Quentin Johnston (+180) and Jaxon Smith-Njigba (+190), but I believe he will lead all rookies in receiving yards. Opportunity is everything for these rookies, and Addison should have the upper hand. The Vikings let go of Adam Thielen, and Addison should become the No. 2 receiver quickly in this offense. Justin Jefferson will draw most of the coverage, which should open lanes for the other receivers. Johnston will be in a pass-heavy offense, but he will be behind Keenan Allen, Mike Williams, and possibly Josh Palmer for targets. Smith-Njigba is in more of a run-first offense and will also be behind D.K. Metcalf and Tyler Lockett. Zay Flowers (+350) is in more of a run-heavy offense in Baltimore and will lose targets to OBJ and Rashod Bateman. Addison is the play here, and Kirk Cousins will get him the ball.

Chase Claypool UNDER 575.5 receiving yards (-115)

Talk about a bust. The Steelers did not want him and traded him to the Bears, which turned out to be a disaster for Chicago. He averaged a mere 20 yards per game for the Bears last season. The game plan was for Chase to be WR2 opposite of Darnell Mooney, but now the Bears added D.J. Moore in the offseason. There are also reports from training camp that teammates believe Claypool isn’t trying hard enough. Claypool has shown the athleticism to be an NFL-caliber wide receiver, but he does not have the work ethic. Throw in he will fall to WR3 or worse and Justin Fields would rather run than throw, and I do not think he will even tally 400 yards this season.

Skyy Moore UNDER 550.5 receiving yards (-110)

This is another number that screams under. As a rookie, he managed just 22 catches for 250 yards while playing with the best quarterback on the planet who threw for 5,250 yards. Moore could not earn targets or rise on a depth chart that featured Mecole Hardman, Justin Watson, and Marquez Valdes-Scantling. The front office even traded for Kadarius Toney just to have someone else on the field instead of Moore. My confidence level is at a 0 when it comes to Moore, and I doubt he even comes close to his 550.5 yardage total.

Jahan Dotson OVER 4.5 receiving touchdowns (+100)

This could be a big year from the former Penn State product after a solid rookie season. Dotson’s production in year 1 speaks for itself. He tied for the most receiving touchdowns by a rookie last season with seven. The offense should be more explosive and take deep shots down the field with the addition of OC Eric Bieniemy. I am banking on increased production in year 2, a nice target share, more opportunities in the red zone, and benefiting from Terry McLaurin drawing more of the defensive coverage. 

Get NFL picks on every single game, or if you want our very best bet premium picks by the experts, sign up for your free $60 account with a guarantee.

 

Most Recent NFL Handicapping

One E-mail A Week Is All You Need!
Our weekly newsletter is loaded with exclusive free picks,insight and advice from our expert handicappers