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2023 NFL Tight End Predictions: Props Odds and Betting Picks

by Matt Zitt - 8/10/2023

NFL tight end predictions George Kittle San Francisco 49ers

The 2023-24 NFL season is quickly approaching, and it is time to look at some season-long prop bets! There are a ton of props with so much opportunity on a clean board before the real action starts in September. The key is to evaluate and find lines that are too low or too high. In this article, I will be going through some tight end props that I’m targeting this season.

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Dallas Goedert OVER 675.5 receiving yards (-120)

Dallas Goedert is as consistent as it gets at the tight end position. Even though he does not get many deep targets, he will be trying to get over 700 receiving yards for a third consecutive season. Despite playing in only 12 games in 2022, he racked up 702 receiving yards on 55 receptions. Jalen Hurts’ consistency as a passer benefits the chances that Goedert goes over the mark as well. It also helps that he is a yards after catch machine. He totaled 425 yards after the catch, which ranked third in the NFL among tight ends. Take a chance on Philly’s TE1 to hit the over and put up another respectable season.

Mark Andrews OVER 825.5 receiving yards (+100)

Even money for a stud tight end that has eclipsed this total three of the last four seasons? Sign me up. This is beyond attainable for Lamar Jackson’s favorite target. Last season, the Ravens threw the ball 49.8% of the time under ex-coordinator Greg Roman, and Andrews still found a way to register 847 receiving yards in 15 games with a bum shoulder. Baltimore has a new offensive coordinator in town with Todd Monken, and expect the Ravens to be closer to the league average in pass rate. As long as he can stay on the field for 14+ games, Andrews will hit this mark.

Dalton Schultz OVER 550.5 receiving yards (-110)

I know what most people are thinking. The Texans are going to be terrible, so stay away. This is one of my favorite plays, because a negative game script means a lot of passing plays. Even though he is no longer a Dallas Cowboy, his target share should increase as one of C.J. Stroud’s top receiving options. He has gone over this mark in three straight seasons, recording 615 yards in 2020, 808 yards in 2021, and 577 yards in 2022 while appearing in 15 games. The Texans will be losing in a lot of games, so expect a lot of passes to Schultz’s way.

David Njoku OVER 3.5 touchdown catches (-110)

The Browns have publicly expressed that they would like to employ a more pass-heavy approach in the red zone after ending 2022 ranked in the bottom half of the league in red zone pass rate. Njoku was a beast in the red zone last year, seeing the second-most red zone targets among tight ends with 20. Despite the high usage within the 20-yard line, he tallied four touchdowns last year. The Browns’ aerial attack should take a step forward in Deshaun Watson’s first full season under center, which would put Njoku in prime position to score four-plus touchdowns.   

George Kittle OVER 725.5 receiving yards (+100)

Another stud tight end at even money who has cleared this total in two straight seasons and four out of the last five seasons overall. Last season, Kittle had 765 receiving yards while hauling in 60 receptions in 15 games. Now the 49ers have a full season of Christian McCaffrey, a healthy Deebo Samuel, and a rising star in Brandon Aiyuk. Defenses will have a hard time keying in on one person, and Kittle will get his opportunities to make plays downfield and in the passing game. Kittle should clear 800 yards in 15+ games when healthy.

Kyle Pitts UNDER 4.5 touchdown catches (-120) and UNDER 700.5 receiving yards (+100)

Kyle Pitts had a poor showing last season without Matt Ryan at the helm. The team ended with Desmond Ridder leading the offense at the end of the season, and he looked overwhelmed at times while never building a connection with Pitts. The lack of wide receiver threats will also hurt his cause as defenses can key on him. This should be a run-first offense with the team drafting Bijan Robinson. Take the unders on Pitts’ season-long totals.  

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