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2024 NFL Season Win Totals Predictions

by Mike Allen - 11/5/2024

NFL season win total predictions Brock Purdy San Francisco 49ers

I want to know which goes by faster in the NFL, the first half of the season or the second half. For me, the first 9 weeks of the 2024 regular season have actually dragged on. All sunshine and rainbows aren't reality, and too much of a grind can leave anyone feeling dull. This season has been a nice mix of both for most NFL teams.

The Detroit Lions look like the most dominant team in the league right now. However, losing their best defensive lineman, Aidan Hutchinson, will continue to be a strain on the defense. The start of the season was a grind on the Atlanta Falcons as Kirk Cousins returned from injury, but they fought hard through close games and now are massive betting favorites at 18-1 to win the AFC South! You can't help but feel bad for the Tampa Bay Bucs, though, especially after losing that heartbreaker to the Chiefs on Monday night.

Speaking of KC, they are still undefeated. I really despise this phrase, but "It must be nice" being a Chiefs fan. They seem to do all the right things. We'll see how Patrick Mahomes' left ankle holds up down the stretch.

Today, we have our halfway mark updated win total best bets. I was hoping to pinpoint which of the league's worst teams will be packing it in early and, sooner than later, potentially begin to tank games. Unfortunately, though, we still have 9 NFL teams with only 2 wins. Maybe we touch on some of those teams, but I think it's wise to wait a couple more weeks for the basement lights to turn on.  I’m sorry Cowboy fans, but the win total odds for your team have been taken down due to the upcoming injury update on Dak Prescott.

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Updated NFL Win Total Best Bets

San Francisco 49ers Over 9.5 Wins: -115

We’re getting the San Francisco 49ers in a buy-low spot here, off of a bye week, and Christian McCaffrey could return this week. They play in Tampa, which is quite the trip, but with the Bucs traveling home from Kansas City and licking their wounds on a short week, I like the Niners to take care of business.

Currently sitting at 4-4, San Francisco needs to go 6-3 in order to hit this over bet. It's a wonder the Niners aren't above .500, but they're the only team in the NFC West with a positive point differential. They have revenge games against the Rams and Cardinals that I like them to win. Home games opposite the Bears and Seahawks are both very winnable. Let's give them 3 out of those 4. Back-to-back road games in Green Bay and then Buffalo sound like a nightmare. Maybe we split those two. What's left other than hosting the Lions on December 30th? A long trip to Miami. The eastward trips are brutal, but for nearly even money, I'll buy low on a balanced, well-coached, highly talented team that'll be hungry from here on out.

49ers Over 9.5 Wins

Los Angeles Rams Over 8.5 Wins: -130

The LA Rams are also 4-4, sitting alongside San Francisco in second place in the NFC West. Not unlike the Niners, we're getting a squad better than their current record. We've already seen the impact the return of Cooper Kupp and Puca Nakua has had on this team. The defense is even getting after it now. They beat the Niners and the Vikings. They took the Lions to overtime. This is a good team, and (-130) isn't a lot to pay for them to go 5-4 the rest of the way.

Their remaining schedule isn’t too bad. They host Arizona in a revenge spot. Maybe they can win one of two home games against the Eagles and Bills. Taking care of business on the road against the Pats and Saints will be paramount. That’s maybe four wins. I like them against Miami as 2.5-point home favorites this week. If that doesn’t get us there, the Rams have one more road game against the Jets. This team is built to beat anyone. Give me the Rams to go over their updated win total.

Pick: Rams Over 8.5 Wins

Cincinnati Bengals Under 8.5 Wins: +100

I just saw where the Bengals traded for Khalil Herbert to jump in the rotation with Chase Brown after they lost running back Zach Moss to injury. Herbert has only carried the ball 8 times this season. However, he averaged over 5 yards a carry for the Bears over the previous two seasons. They needed this, but it's on the defensive side of the ball where the Bengals continue to disappoint.

Their results thus far aren't good, but they've been the Dallas Cowboys of old. They beat the bad teams and lost to the best. Their 4 wins are all over 2-win teams. It's a shame, too. Joe Burrow's having the best year of his already illustrious career. Maybe adding the new running back will provide a spark. However, changes at the running back position don't move the needle like they used to.

Cincy is currently (+220) on the moneyline to beat the Ravens. I love how they match up, and the 6-point spread is tempting. If they lose, though, the Bengals would need to win 5 of their final 7 games in order to finish 9-8. Their schedule isn't the most difficult, but road games in Dallas and against the Chargers are two totally different types of tests. Cincy still plays the Steelers twice, and Denver is no pushover either.

Pick: Bengals Under 8.5 Wins

Washington Commanders Under 11.5 Wins: +100

Okay, I think we have found our sell-high spot of the week. I'm a local and love this team. However, the strength of their schedule flips as we enter the second half of the regular season. I like the Steelers to beat them this week, and they'll likely split the four rivalry games against Philly and Dallas. That's three losses, and the Falcons will probably play tough as well. If they beat Pittsburgh this week, I wouldn't bet against them, but we have an opportunity here to get a team with a preseason win total of 6.5 to go under 11.5 at even money.

Seattle Seahawks Under 7.5 Wins: +100

We would need the Seahawks to go 4-4 with a brutal schedule in order to get to 8 wins. I’ll spare you the specifics, but it’s ugly. This is a buy-high spot for Seattle, but you’ll see that every under is plus money. I like how we have followed the pricing.

Maybe take them to catch a few backdoor covers, but this one may be our best of the best bets.

Pick: Seahawks Under 7.5 Wins

Updated NFL Win Total Betting Odds

Baltimore Ravens                                 Cincinnati Bengals

Over 11.5 Wins: -145                             Over 8.5 Wins: -120

Under 11.5 Wins: +115                          Under 8.5 Wins: +100

Atlanta Falcons                                     Carolina Panthers

Over 10.5 Wins: -145                             Over 3.5 Wins: -145

Under 10.5 Wins: -115                           Under 3.5 Wins: +115                         

Buffalo Bills                                           New York Giants

Over 12.5 Wins: -175                             Over 4.5 Wins: -175

Under 12.5 Wins: +145                          Under 4.5 Wins: +145                

Kansas City Chiefs                               Chicago Bears

Over 14.5 Wins: -140                             Over 7.5 Wins: -130

Under 14.5 Wins: +110                          Under 7.5 Wins: +100                                                      

Minnesota Vikings                                Denver Broncos                     

Over 10.5 Wins: -160                             Over 7.5 Wins: -190                  

Under 10.5 Wins: +140                          Under 7.5 Wins: +150

Washington Commanders                    Indianapolis Colts

Over 11.5 Wins: -130                             Over 7.5 Wins: -160

Under 11.5 Wins: +100                          Under 7.5 Wins: +130                                                

Philadelphia Eagles                              Jacksonville Jaguars

Over 11.5 Wins: -145                             Over 5.5 Wins: -130

Under 11.5 Wins: +115                          Under 5.5 Wins: +100

Pittsburgh Steelers                               New England Patriots

Over 9.5 Wins: -160                               Over 4.5 Wins: -175

Under 9.5 Wins: +130                            Under 4.5 Wins: +145                                                                                               

San Francisco 49ers                             New Orleans Saints      

Over 9.5 Wins: -115                               Over 5.5 Wins: -145

Under 9.5 Wins: -115                             Under 5.5 Wins: -115

Green Bay Packers                               Tampa Bay Bucs

Over 10.5 Wins:-115                              Over 8.5 Wins: -130

Under 10.5 Wins: -115                           Under 8.5 Wins: +100

Arizona Cardinals                                 Tennessee Titans       

Over 9.5 Wins: -145                               Over 4.5 Wins: -130

Under 9.5 Wins: +115                           Under 4.5 Wins: +100

Los Angeles Rams                                New York Jets

Over 8.5 Wins: -130                               Over 7.5 Wins: -145

Under 8.5 Wins: +100                           Under 7.5 Wins: +115

Detroit Lions                                         Miami Dolphins

Over 12.5 Wins: -175                             Over 6.5 Wins: -145

Under 12.5 Wins: +145                          Under 6.5 Wins: +115                                                             

Houston Texans                                    Cleveland Browns    

Over 10.5 Wins: -145                             Over 4.5 Wins: -115

Under 10.5 Wins: +115                          Under 4.5 Wins: -115

Las Vegas Raiders

Over 4.5 Wins: -175

Under 4.5 Wins: +145        

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