NFL Office Pool Picks Week 17 - ATS Predictions for Every Game!
Just two weeks remain in the NFL regular season as we look to solidify our place on top of the office pool standings. There are no excuses for a poor showing in your office pool, as 272 against the spread picks gives a healthy sample size to work with. In Week 16, we went 9-6-1 against the spread to bring our season total to 125-110-5. The favorites went 12-3 straight up and 10-4-1 against the spread. There is plenty of meaningful football left to play this season, and just 32 more games are remaining. If you have been following along all season, you are in pole position to claim the ultimate NFL prize. Here are your Week 17 NFL picks against the spread for all 16 matchups.
Doc’s Sports offers NFL expert picks for every game on our NFL predictions page.
Kansas City Chiefs (-2.5) Over Pittsburgh Steelers
The Kansas City Chiefs keep on winning one-score games, and a spread of -2.5 points will not deter this pick. Patrick Mahomes looks good to go for this matchup, and the Chiefs can clinch the top spot in the AFC with a victory. Pittsburgh’s once formidable defense has been failing them over the last two weeks. Kansas City has the edge on both sides of the ball and will pick up a win and cover on Christmas Day. Chiefs 20, Steelers 13
Baltimore Ravens (-5.5) Over Houston Texans
The injuries are piling up for Houston, and they will be unable to match the offensive production of Lamar Jackson and Derrick Henry. Tank Dell was the latest Texan receiver to go down, and it looks as though he is out for the season. The Ravens have plenty to play for on top of the AFC North and will cruise past Houston for their third straight victory. Ravens 34, Texans 20
Seattle Seahawks (-3.5) Over Chicago Bears
The Seahawks will look to take advantage of a Bears team that has lost 9 straight games. A loss would all but end the Seahawks playoff chances, and they will take no chances with a big win on the road. The Bears defense is completely destroyed, and they aren’t getting any stellar offensive play, either. Seattle has issues of their own, but a short spread for a desperate team is something we can get behind. Seahawks 24, Bears 17
Los Angeles Chargers (-4) Over New England Patriots
New England has shown life recently, but not enough to keep it close against the Chargers. This is a must-win game for LA as they look to book their place in the playoffs. New England played the Bills close in Week 16, but the extra rest for the Chargers will be too much for New England to overcome. Chargers 28, Patriots 20
Denver Broncos (+3.5) Over Cincinnati Bengals
This is a crucial game in the AFC playoff race, and it will come down to the wire. The Broncos defense is due for a big game, and they will slow down the freight train that is Joe Burrow and the Bengals offense. Bo Nix may have lost the Rookie of the Year race to Jayden Daniels, but his impressive play in the pocket will expose Cincinnati's horrendous defense. The Bengals slowed down the Browns last week but allowed 44, 34, 35, 37, 41, 38, and 26 points to the seven playoff teams they have faced this season. That is not a recipe for a cover in a high stakes, late-season NFL matchup. Broncos 31, Bengals 28
Arizona Cardinals (+6) Over Los Angeles Rams
The Cardinals were eliminated from the playoffs with their loss to the Panthers, but this spread still feels a little wide. Arizona has been playing good football this season, while the Rams offense isn’t built for running up the score. This will be a back-and-forth game where Matthew Stafford’s experience gets the Rams a vital win. While the Cardinals won’t be able to play spoiler against the Rams, they will line the pockets of their bettors with a backdoor cover in Los Angeles. Rams 27, Cardinals 23
Carolina Panthers (+8) Over Tampa Bay Buccaneers
The Panthers have gone 3-4 in their last seven games and shouldn’t be touchdown underdogs against an inconsistent Buccaneers team. Tampa Bay has a strong offensive line to protect Baker Mayfield but has shown they will make mistakes that will cost them wins. Bryce Young has seen his career revitalized over the last month and will lead the Panthers to a shocking upset victory over the Buccaneers. Even if he falls short, this will be an easy cover for Carolina. Panthers 21, Buccaneers 20
Minnesota Vikings (-1.5) Over Green Bay Packers
The Minnesota Vikings may not be as flashy as the Green Bay Packers, but they are more effective. The Vikings defense will stifle Jordan Love in the early going and force the Packers to play from behind. Minnesota has been excellent with the lead, and this is a very reasonable spread for the home team. The oddsmakers keep underestimating the Vikings, and we will take advantage once again here. Vikings 27, Packers 24
New York Giants (+8) Over Indianapolis Colts
There is no denying the Giants are bad. In fact, they are probably the worst team in the entire league. However, while the Colts still have a shot at playoff football, they simply cannot be more than a touchdown favorite on the road in the NFL. New York still has dozens of players fighting for their life in the league, and will be giving maximum effort regardless of the scoreline. The Colts will keep their playoff chances alive with a win, but the cover will go to the home team. Colts 17, Giants 10
New Orleans Saints (-1) Over Las Vegas Raiders
The Saints are coming off a 34-0 drubbing on Monday night but are still the pick to make here. Both offenses are not stellar, but I give a slight edge to the Saints on the defensive side of the ball. Once you factor in home-field advantage for New Orleans, they become the pick to make this week.
Buffalo Bills (-9.5) Over New York Jets
The Bills still have a fighting chance at the top seed in the AFC and will want to guarantee they have secured at least the second seed heading into Week 18. The Jets are a terrible team, and fading them has led us to countless wins this season. Josh Allen is a future MVP for the Bills, and he will put on a show in the Bills final regular season home game against their AFC East rivals. This is a daunting spread to cover, but there is nothing about these two teams that signals anything except a blowout Buffalo win. Bills 35, Jets 14
Jacksonville Jaguars (-1) Over Tennessee Titans
Another edition of a Toilet Bowl in the NFL. When in doubt, the home team usually prevails in this type of scenario. Tennessee has been the worst against the spread team this season, going just 2-14. The Jaguars haven’t been much better, but we can safely tail them at home with a minimal spread to worry about. Jaguars 23, Titans 20
Miami Dolphins (-6.5) Over Cleveland Browns
The Dolphins offense is better than the Browns, their defense is better than the Browns (sorry Myles Garrett), and they have much more to play for at this stage of the season. Cleveland couldn’t muster more than 6 points against a very generous Bengals defense last week and will likely hover around single digits again. The Dolphins offense will do just enough to pull away. Dolphins 24, Browns 13
Dallas Cowboys (+9) Over Philadelphia Eagles
Jalen Hurts was concussed in the Eagles loss to the Commanders last week and isn’t yet confirmed to play this week. Regardless of his status, a +9.5 point spread for the surging Cowboys is an easy pick. Dallas has won four of their last five games thanks to good coaching, strong defense, and serviceable play from Cooper Rush. The Eagles will probably win this one to clinch the NFC East, but winning by double digits will be a different story. Eagles 27, Cowboys 21
Washington Commanders (-4) Over Atlanta Falcons
The stellar play from Jayden Daniels will allow the Commanders to win and cover against the Falcons. This game has massive playoff implications, as the Commanders can clinch a playoff spot with a victory. They have looked good on both sides of the ball and Michael Penix Jr. cannot be trusted in a high stakes game. Penix Jr. looked good against the Giants in his NFL debut, but that isn’t saying much. Washington has been great at home this year and will be able to punch their playoff tickets with a surprisingly dominant win and cover. Commanders 31, Falcons 20
Detroit Lions (-3.5) Over San Francisco 49ers
This could be the most puzzling line of the week. Detroit has proven to be one of the most dominant teams in the NFL despite their growing list of injuries. Meanwhile, the 49ers haven’t been able to overcome injuries of their own, and have already been eliminated from the playoffs. This spread is way too short, as the Lions win by double digits more often than not. Lions 38, 49ers 17
2024 Season Record: 125-110-5
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