NFL Office Pool Picks Week 16 - ATS Predictions for Every Game!
There are three weeks to go in the NFL regular season as we inch closer to an elusive office pool victory. Making against the spread picks for all 272 NFL games this season is no easy task, but we have put ourselves in a great position to finish near the top of the standings. We secured our 7th positive week in the last 8 with a 9-7 record ATS in Week 15. This brings our season record to 115-104-4 on the year. All eight favorites of 3.5 or more points won outright, as the favorites went 12-4 straight up and 11-5 against the spread. Washington was the only favorite to win without covering, as the stakes are getting higher and higher for the playoff hopefuls with each passing week. Here are your against the spread picks for all 16 Week 16 games.
Doc’s Sports offers NFL expert picks for every game on our NFL predictions page.
Denver Broncos (+2.5) Over Los Angeles Chargers
The Broncos have been underestimated time and time again this season. There is no reason they should be underdogs against a fading Chargers team that no longer has the defense they did earlier this year. Broncos rookie QB Bo Nix has been exceptional, and this is a game the Broncos can easily win outright. Broncos 24, Chargers 20
Kansas City Chiefs (-3) Over Houston Texans
Patrick Mahomes is not guaranteed to play for the Chiefs, making this a risky pick at this stage of the week. However, I’m not saying the Chiefs will win without Mahomes, but their strong defense is good enough to contain Houston. CJ Stroud has been unable to build on his strong rookie season. The Chiefs are better in most positions on both sides of the ball and will pick up another big win at home to inch closer to the top seed in the AFC. Chiefs 20, Texans 14
Pittsburgh Steelers (+6.5) Over Baltimore Ravens
The Steelers were unable to match the physicality of the Eagles last week but match up nicely against the Ravens. An outright victory would be enough to seal first place in the AFC North for the Steelers. However, Lamar Jackson and Derrick Henry are good enough to pile on the points for the win. Covering the touchdown spread will be a different story, as Pittsburgh sneaks in with the backdoor cover in Week 16. Ravens 30, Steelers 27
Arizona Cardinals (-4.5) Over Carolina Panthers
The Cardinals have been able to comfortably beat bad teams all year long, and the Panthers fall firmly into that category. Arizona is searching for a playoff berth in a crowded NFC West, and this is a game they cannot afford to let stay close. Arizona’s last three wins have been by multiple touchdowns, and the Panthers will be their next victim after being on the wrong end of a double-digit blowout at home. Cardinals 28, Panthers 17
Cleveland Browns (+7.5) Over Cincinnati Bengals
It is hard to justify laying more than a touchdown with a defense as poor as the Bengals. Joe Burrow and the Cincinnati offense have been able to outscore their defensive issues, but a strong Cleveland defense will keep this one close. Dorian Thompson-Robinson is not going to the Hall of Fame, but he is still a serviceable quarterback capable of having a big day against a generous Bengals defense. Bengals 30, Browns 27
Detroit Lions (-6.5) Over Chicago Bears
The Lions suffered their second defeat of the year last week but still control their own destiny in the race for the top seed. Meanwhile, Chicago has lost 8 games in a row after starting 4-2 and cannot be trusted with a single digit spread against one of the league’s top teams. Detroit’s offense will tear the Bears apart, allowing the Lions to cruise to a signature blowout win in Week 16. Lions 35, Bears 20
Los Angeles Rams (-3) Over New York Jets
The New York Jets may have future Hall of Famer Aaron Rodgers, but this team is 4-10 for a reason. Their defense has completely fallen apart, and Rodgers consistently makes mistakes in the pocket he didn’t earlier in his career. The Rams are fighting and clawing for a playoff spot in the NFC West, while the Jets have turned their attention to next season. It won’t be a blowout, but this one will end with a Rams win and cover. Rams 21, Jets 17
New York Giants (+8.5) Over Atlanta Falcons
Michael Penix Jr. may prove to be an upgrade over Kirk Cousins, but we can’t lay more than a touchdown with the Falcons in his first career start. Atlanta will get a much-needed win over the lowly Giants, but New York has almost looked competitive over the last month. Too many points for the Falcons even against one of the worst teams in the league. Falcons 27, Giants 20
Washington Commanders (+3.5) Over Philadelphia Eagles
The Eagles have been able to avoid their annual late season collapse so far, but a loss to the Commanders could open the door for the other NFC contenders. Washington has played consistent offense all year, and their defense has been heavily improved since these two teams last met. Washington is probably deserving of the home underdog status, but this is a crucial number in the NFL betting market. Washington keeps their NFC East hopes alive with a massive victory over their longtime rivals. Commanders 28, Eagles 27
Indianapolis Colts (-3.5) Over Tennessee Titans
This game doesn’t mean a lot to either of these two teams, but the superior quarterback play from Anthony Richardson will allow the Colts to win and cover at home. Every NFL team wants a high pick, but there is little incentive for the Colts to tank with their franchise quarterback already on the roster. Tennessee has lost three straight, and five of their last six. This is a short spread for the hosts to cover, and I think they do exactly that. Colts 17, Titans 10
Minnesota Vikings (-3) Over Seattle Seahawks
The Vikings are a nightmare matchup for the Seahawks at this stage of the season. Geno Smith turns the ball over far too often, and the Vikings will be hungry to pick off the Seahawks signal caller. Minnesota cannot afford to lose ground in the NFC North race, and this spread isn’t short enough to consider taking the points. Road favorites can be daunting at times, but the gap in quality between these two teams will allow the visitors to win and cover on the road. Vikings 28, Seahawks 20
Las Vegas Raiders (PK) Over Jacksonville Jaguars
There isn’t much to like about either of these teams, but the slight edge goes to the Las Vegas Raiders. Jaguars quarterback Mac Jones has been given a second chance in the NFL, and he has fallen short once again. Even though Las Vegas is not the most daunting road atmosphere, the Jaguars cannot be trusted on the road with no spread for either team. Raiders 19, Jaguars 14
New England Patriots (+14.5) Over Buffalo Bills
Josh Allen is playing at a torrid pace for the Bills, but a double-digit spread is too much to ask from this Buffalo defense. The Bills will want to win and get out against the Patriots, and I don’t anticipate them putting Allen in harm's way with a growing lead. New England has only lost once by multiple touchdowns in their last seven games and will do just enough to hold onto a cover. Bills 35, Patriots 24
Miami Dolphins (-1.5) Over San Francisco 49ers
The Dolphins still have legitimate playoff hopes and will pick up the win against the reeling 49ers. San Francisco has been unable to live up to their lofty preseason expectations. Injuries have played a role, but there are still no excuses for their poor play on both sides of the ball. Miami has won three in a row at home and will stretch that to four straight with a win over the 49ers. Dolphins 26, 49ers 20
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-4) Over Dallas Cowboys
This could be the most confident pick of the week. Dallas has been dreadful at home this season, and when they dig themselves an early hole the boobirds will be loud. The Cowboys are technically still alive in the playoff race, but the Buccaneers have much more to lose here. Baker Mayfield has looked great in the pocket, and the Buccaneers will cruise to another big win to strengthen their grip on the NFC South. Buccaneers 31, Cowboys 14
Green Bay Packers (-14) Over New Orleans Saints
The Saints managed to claw their way back against the Commanders last week, but that was after they dug themselves a 17-0 hole. New Orleans should have lost that game by multiple scores, and Green Bay will be far more ruthless at home against the Saints. The Packers last three wins have been by an average of 19.3 points, and they will get another big win against the Saints. Packers 35, Saints 10
2024 Season Record: 115-104-4
Get NFL picks on every single game, or if you want our very best bet premium picks by the experts, sign up for your free $60 account with a guarantee.
Most Recent NFL Office Pool Picks
- NFL Office Pool Picks Week 16 - ATS Predictions for Every Game!
- NFL Office Pool Picks Week 15 - ATS Predictions for Every Game!
- NFL Office Pool Picks Week 14 - ATS Predictions for Every Game!
- NFL Office Pool Picks Week 13 - ATS Predictions for Every Game!
- NFL Office Pool Picks Week 12 - ATS Predictions for Every Game!
- NFL Office Pool Picks Week 11 - ATS Predictions for Every Game!
- NFL Office Pool Picks Week 10 - ATS Predictions for Every Game!
- NFL Office Pool Picks Week 9 - ATS Predictions for Every Game!
- NFL Office Pool Picks Week 8 - ATS Predictions for Every Game!
- NFL Office Pool Picks Week 7 - ATS Predictions for Every Game!