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NFL Office Pool Picks Week 15 - ATS Predictions for Every Game!

by Spencer Toth - 12/11/2024

NFL office pool picks Week 16 Kirk Cousins Atlanta Falcons

There are just four weeks to go in the NFL season, and time is running out to make a late dash up your office pool standings. Last week, we went 6-6-1 against the spread to bring our season record to 106-97-4. A 52.1% clip is not a bad mark, but we will need a red-hot final few weeks to ensure we remain near the top of any office pool around the country. The favorites took care of business straight up, going 10-3 overall, but went just 5-7-1 against the spread. All 32 teams are back in action for the final month of the regular season, and here are your picks against the spread for all 16 matchups this week. 

Doc’s Sports offers NFL expert picks for every game on our NFL predictions page.

Los Angeles Rams (+3) Over San Francisco 49ers

The Rams do not deserve to be field goal underdogs against San Francisco. Don’t let a beatdown against the Chicago Bears fool you into believing the 49ers are back in business down the home stretch. San Francisco is still extremely hurt on both sides of the ball and is under .500 for a reason. The Rams have legitimate playoff hopes and will walk away with a massive divisional win to nail down the coffin on the 49ers season. Rams 31, 49ers 27

New York Giants (+16.5) Over Baltimore Ravens

These two teams couldn't be further apart in terms of form, but a 16.5-point spread is way too many points. New York is at home, and they still have a roster full of players fighting for their spots in the NFL. Baltimore is dominant on both sides of the ball, and the Giants are dreadful on both sides of the ball, but this is too many points for a team playing at home. It’s ugly, but the Giants are the way to go. Ravens 28, Giants 13

Cincinnati Bengals (-5) Over Tennessee Titans

It appears the Bengals have left their annual late-season resurgence a few weeks too late to make the postseason. That won’t stop them from trying, and they will beat up a struggling Titans side on Sunday afternoon. Tennessee is cooking off a home loss to the lowly Jaguars and has nothing to play for at this stage of the season. The Bengals offense is virtually unstoppable, and even with a shaky defense they will get the win and cover. Bengals 30, Titans 17

Dallas Cowboys (+2.5) Over Carolina Panthers

Carolina has been playing well recently, but they can’t suddenly be favorites on any given week. Dallas has struggled, but their defense has shown signs of life since Micah Parsons returned from injury. It’s hard to back either of these teams with much confidence at this stage of the season, but I have to give a slight edge to Dallas, especially with the free points. Cowboys 20, Panthers 18

Kansas City Chiefs (-4) Over Cleveland Browns

The Chiefs have been able to win close games all season long, and these four points aren’t enough to consider the Browns. Kansas City has one of the best defensive units in the league, and they will be able to clamp down on Jameis Winston and the Browns. The Chiefs are due for a blowout victory, and while the Browns will keep it close in the first half, they will eventually fall behind. This is the most confident pick of the week, as the Chiefs will cruise to a double-digit lead and never look back. Chiefs 28, Browns 10

Miami Dolphins (+3) Over Houston Texans

The Dolphins have been surging into the Wild Card race in the AFC and will win outright over the Texans this weekend. Houston has benefitted from an incredibly easy schedule this season and has struggled against the competent teams they have played. They have gone 3-4 in their last 7, with losses to the Jets and Titans in that span. Miami is playing great football right now, and as long as they avoid the frigid temperatures, they will keep on piling up victories. Dolphins 28, Texans 24

Jacksonville Jaguars (+3.5) Over New York Jets

For some reason, the Jets are favorites again. I have already made so much money fading the Jets this season, and there is no universe where they are 3.5 road favorites against anyone in the league. I’m not going to pretend the Jaguars are a good team and they will dominate New York, since I don’t have to. The Jets have lost 9 of their last 10 games outright, and even if they snap that streak, it’s hard to imagine it being by 4+ points. Jaguars 17, Jets 16

Washington Commanders (-7.5) Over New Orleans Saints

The Commanders are searching for their first playoff appearance of the Jayden Daniels era. A victory over the Saints will get them one step closer, and they will do so in a dominant fashion. Half of Washington’s wins this season have been by 20+ points, and they are poised for another blowout against New Orleans. The Saints are missing a quarterback, Taysom Hill is hurt, and their offense is in shambles. Washington by a million. Commanders 38, Saints 13

Buffalo Bills (+2.5) Over Detroit Lions

The Bills have shown their offense will win them games this season, and they will find themselves engaged in a real chess match with Dan Campbell. The Lions aggression has won them games this season, but it will cost them a victory here. The Bills will generate at least one fourth down stop to shift the momentum, and Josh Allen will not look back. Even though the Lions have been playing well this season, the Bills simply cannot be underdogs of more than a point against anyone in the league. Bills 27, Lions 24

Denver Broncos (-3.5) Over Indianapolis Colts

The Broncos keep on beating up on bad teams, and the Colts certainly fit that description. Bo Nix is making a late push for Rookie of the Year, and the Broncos offense is firing on all cylinders. Anthony Richardson has had lots of ups and downs for the Colts this season. His inability to avoid turnovers has been a problem, and a stingy Broncos defense will not give him an inch of breathing room. Broncos win and cover in a tight defensive battle. Broncos 19, Colts 13

New England Patriots (+6) Over Arizona Cardinals 

The Cardinals will win this one to keep their playoff hopes alive, but covering the 6-point spread will be another story. New England is coming off their bye, and a rested defense will give the Cardinals offense problems. They do a great job against mobile quarterbacks and will slow down Kyler Murray on Sunday afternoon. Cardinals 20, Patriots 17

Pittsburgh Steelers (+5) Over Philadelphia Eagles

The Steelers as five-point underdogs is laughable. They match up nicely with the Eagles, and this will be a very physical battle for the entire 60 minutes. The Eagles may have a flashier offense, but locker room issues will see them turn on one another against the Steelers. Pittsburgh will grind out a victory just as they have done so many times before, snapping the Eagles lengthy win streak. Steelers 24, Eagles 20

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+3) Over Los Angeles Chargers

The Buccaneers and Chargers both have two solid offenses. The Bucs find success with big shots down the field and a strong offensive line, while LA thrives on Herbert’s decision making in the pocket. There will be very little to separate these playoff hopefuls, so we will scoop up the points with the Buccaneers. Chargers 28, Buccaneers 27

Green Bay Packers (-2.5) Over Seattle Seahawks

Green Bay will be able to expose the Seahawks weaknesses on both sides of the ball. They generate lots of interceptions, something Geno Smith has struggled with all year long. On offense, the Seahawks have been vulnerable to big shots down the field, something Jordan Love will not hesitate to do. This is a nightmare matchup for Seattle which will allow the Packers to win in surprisingly comfortable fashion. Packers 25, Seahawks 14

Minnesota Vikings (-7) Over Chicago Bears

The Bears season is finished. Caleb Williams has shown signs of life, but his inconsistent play has been the downfall of Chicago. Minnesota has a very strong defense that will make life even harder for the opposing rookie quarterback. It’s a thick spread, but the Vikings dominant defense will leave no doubt. Vikings 24, Bears 10

Las Vegas Raiders (+4) Over Atlanta Falcons

The Falcons need to win this to keep their playoff hopes alive, but covering the spread will be another story. They haven’t made life easy for themselves recently, and the Raiders have a hungry defensive line that will be eager to take Cousins to the ground. I’ll give a slight nod to the Falcons as they are the more desperate team, but the Raiders will keep it close right until the very end. Falcons 21, Raiders 18

2024 Season Record: 106-97-4

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