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NFL Office Pool Picks Week 11 - ATS Predictions for Every Game!

by Spencer Toth - 11/12/2024

NFL office pool picks Week 11 Patrick Mahomes Kansas City Chiefs

The NFL season is entering crunch time while your office pool standings have begun to take shape. Doc’s Sports will be bringing you office pool picks for every single NFL game this season with the hopes of helping you climb the standings. Last week, we went 6-8 against the spread to stay around the .500 mark. The underdogs were barking last week, as favorites went just 8-8 straight up and 4-12 against the spread. Here are your Week 11 picks against the spread for every NFL matchup. 

Doc’s Sports offers NFL expert picks for every game on our NFL predictions page.

Washington Commanders (+3.5) Over Philadelphia Eagles

The Commanders and Eagles square off in a massive showdown at the top of the NFC East. Philadelphia has won five in a row, but all of those victories were against teams currently under .500. It’s easy to forget these Eagles have consistently fallen short in the clutch, and all the value is with Jayden Daniels and the Commanders on Thursday Night. Commanders 27, Eagles 24

Baltimore Ravens (-3) Over Pittsburgh Steelers

The Ravens have shaken off their 0-2 start quite nicely and will look to take a stranglehold on the AFC North this weekend. They may be on the road, but Baltimore is the far more balanced team and will cover this spread with most of their victories. Lamar Jackson and Derrick Henry are not a duo we will be stepping in front of anytime soon. Ravens 24, Steelers 17

New Orleans Saints (-1) Over Cleveland Browns

With virtually no spread in this matchup, we will side with the home team coming off a victory. New Orleans got a lift from interim head coach Darren Rizzi’s appointment and will look to keep the momentum going against the Browns. Jameis Winston can be a flashy quarterback, but he isn’t the type to pick up road wins in the NFL. The Saints will turn back the clock with multiple interceptions en route to a second straight win. Saints 18, Browns 13

Chicago Bears (+6) Over Green Bay Packers

The Bears are tumbling down the NFC North standings but still have it all to play for as this is their first divisional game of the year. Jordan Love is clearly still injured for the Packers, and a hungry Bears defense will look to take advantage. I’m not sure if the Bears will be able to get the outright victory, but covering the +6 point spread shouldn’t be an issue. Packers 24, Bears 22

Indianapolis Colts (+3.5) Over New York Jets

The Jets continue to fall short, yet they continue to get these favorable spreads. The Colts aren’t the greatest team in the league, but they still have legitimate playoff hopes this season. Whether it’s Flacco or Richardson under center, the Colts offense will not be troubled by a generous Jets defense. This is a critical number in the NFL, and there is no way laying more than a field goal with the Jets can be justified. Colts 17, Jets 14

Detroit Lions (-13) Over Jacksonville Jaguars

This is a healthy spread in favor of the Lions, and it is one they can absolutely cover. Detroit’s offense put up 26 points against the Texans last week despite Jared Goff throwing five interceptions. Jacksonville’s offense is anemic, and their defense will not be able to contain the Lions attack. It’s a big spread, but considering the Lions already have two wins this season by 38 points, there are no issues with them running up the score. Lions 42, Jaguars 10

Los Angeles Rams (-4.5) Over New England Patriots

Los Angeles is on a short week, but their playoff hopes hang on them beating the Patriots in Week 11. New England has nothing to play for, but they did show they can clamp down defensively against the Bears last week. This won’t be a high scoring affair, but the Rams will find a way to get the win and cover on the road. Rams 17, Patriots 9

Miami Dolphins (-7.5) Over Las Vegas Raiders

Miami is coming off a big win against the Rams on Monday night and suddenly has a playoff spot back in their sights. Tua Tagovailoa is a competent quarterback, which isn’t something that can be said about Gardner Minshew or Desmond Ridder. This is a thick line, but the Dolphins have been relatively consistent at Hard Rock Stadium in recent seasons. They need a big win to get their season back on track, and they will get it against the Raiders. Dolphins 30, Raiders 13

Tennessee Titans (+6) Over Minnesota Vikings. 

The Titans are in the NFL basement, but they still don’t deserve this spread for a home game. The Vikings have been kicking field goals more often than punching it into the endzone recently, and they will be unable to pull away on the spread. Vikings 17, Titans 13

Denver Broncos (-2) Over Atlanta Falcons

Had the Broncos made their chip shot field goal against the Chiefs last week, this spread would be 3+ points. Denver played fantastic football, and the Falcons have far less aura than the Chiefs this season. The Broncos have a great defense and Bo Nix has been leading an average offense. That’s all it takes to beat the current edition of the Falcons, and they will cover the short spread in the process. Broncos 27, Falcons 21

Seattle Seahawks (+6.5) Over San Francisco 49ers

The 49ers got Christian McCaffrey back from injury last week, but they still lack the offensive firepower to get a big win against the Seahawks. Seattle’s offense has been sputtering but coming out of their bye week they will be looking smooth on the field. The 49ers lack the killer instinct needed to pull away on the scoreboard, and this game smells like a backdoor cover. 49ers 30, Seahawks 27

Kansas City Chiefs (+2.5) Over Buffalo Bills

The Bills have beaten the Chiefs in three consecutive regular season contests, but laying points with them is simply not an option. Patrick Mahomes hasn’t been playing his best football, but this Chiefs defense is one of, if not the best unit in the league. The Bills have had the edge in the regular season, but until the Chiefs lose a game, there is no way we can ignore them in the underdog role. Chiefs 24, Bills 21

Cincinnati Bengals (+1.5) Over Los Angeles Chargers

The Chargers defense looks better than they actually are as they have benefited from poor quarterback play from their opponents. That will not be the case against the Bengals as Joe Burrow and Ja’Marr Chase have been a lethal duo. This is one of those games the Bengals can’t afford to lose if they are serious about making a late season playoff push. The Chargers will keep it close, but they will fail their first real test in the last month. Bengals 30, Chargers 24

Houston Texans (-7.5) Over Dallas Cowboys 

The Texans blew a massive lead against the Lions on Sunday Night Football, but the Cowboys don’t have the same offensive weapons needed to expose Houston. Cooper Rush is not the quarterback of the future, and the Cowboys could experiment with Trey Lance. Regardless of who is under center, a motivated Texans side will pile on the points and leave Dallas playing catch up all game long. Texans 34, Cowboys 17

2024 Season record: 72-76-3

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