2024 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year Odds and Expert Betting Predictions
The 2024 NFL Draft had an incredible quarterback class, highlighted by current Chicago Bears projected Week 1 starting quarterback Caleb Williams. As you can see from the betting odds, he is the overwhelming betting favorite to win the NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year (OROY).
I was impressed by Williams from his days at USC. It was hard to get an idea of how good he really is playing in the Pac-12.
The 2024 NFL rookie class isn’t just about Williams, though. Jayden Daniels will probably get a lot of snaps this year with the Commanders running thin at the quarterback position.
Drake Maye, out of the University of North Carolina, is another stud quarterback who could get significant playing time in 2024.
The betting odds are pretty long for a lot of these QBs, but here is a stat that might surprise you. Out of the previous 11 NFL offensive rookies of the year, only four have been quarterbacks.
Marvin Harrison Jr is the name that immediately comes to mind. However, it's Blake Bowers of the Las Vegas Raiders, who I have my eye on at 40-1! This guy is possibly the greatest tight end in the history of college football.
I love this 2024 class. Let's select a few of these athletes for potential OROY honors.
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2024 NFL Rookie of the Year Betting Odds
Caleb Williams (Chicago Bears): +140
Everything seems to be in place for Williams to win it this year. He has a stud receiving corps, including another rookie, wide receiver Rome Adunze, who has odds of 28-1 to win the award.
The value is sucked out of a play on Williams, though. Thankfully, there is plenty of value below.
Jayden Daniels (Washington Commanders): +600
Daniels has the potential to put up huge numbers this year. The Commanders stink and will likely be losing a lot. That means multiple passing situations, potential junk yards, and potential scores late in games.
I could see him running for a ton of yards as well. However, he isn't built that strong, and his team doesn't have the offensive line to protect him. I could see Daniels going down to an injury this year.
Marvin Harrison Jr. (Arizona Cardinals): +650
Harrison is the complete wide receiver, and he is in a very advantageous spot playing for the Arizona Cardinals and catching passes from a healthy, and I emphasize healthy, Kyler Murray.
A lot of people have written Murphy off, but not me. Harrison will likely be targeted more than any rookie wideout in the league, as Murray doesn't have a lot of other reliable options to receive the ball.
Pick: Harrison Jr.
Malik Neighbors (New York Giants): +1200
Let's say we put one unit on Harrison to win the award. Let's throw half of a unit on Malik Neighbors. He has much more value, with nearly double the potential payout at these odds. Odds of 12-1 is something I couldn't pass up.
While Harrison may be the more reliable wide receiver, much like his father, Neighbors is the more electric athlete between the two.
Both players will be on bad teams currently projected to be 4th in their respective divisions. Bring on the stat-padding junk yards.
Pick: Neighbors
Bo Nix (Denver Broncos): +1200
If the king of the check-down wins the ROY…
I don’t see it. There are better options below.
Keon Coleman (Buffalo Bills): +1200
We could have a sleeper here with Keon Coleman. With the loss of Stefon Diggs, Coleman will be thrown right into the mix and starting for one of the NFL's top teams. I think he will have a good year but nothing spectacular.
J.J. McCarthy (Minnesota Vikings): +1800
The J.J. McCarthy pick at 18-1 is a popular prediction for NFL offensive rookie of the year.
There is only one problem, though. He is currently QB2 behind Sam Darnold. I'm a big fan of what Darnold can do on the field, as well as inside the locker room.
The future is bright for McCarthy, but as of right now, this is not a good bet.
Drake Maye (New England Patriots): +2500
We mentioned Maye already, but he will likely face the same issue as McCarthy in 2024. He is playing behind a strong and steady veteran.
Rome Adunze (Chicago Bears): +2800
Adunze is another popular pick for this award from pundits. Every pass he catches, though, will probably come from Williams, and that only pads the stats of the frontrunner.
Brock Bowers (Las Vegas Raiders): +4000
Bowers isn't your typical NFL tight end. In the words of his former and new teammates, "This guy is different."
His critics would point out that he is only 6'3". However, his combination of size and speed at the position is something we may have never seen before.
I am reading up, and the Raiders are already raving about this guy. I don't think the 40-1 will be around for very long. So, jump on it now!
Pick: Bowers
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