Docs Website

53 Years Strong! A Trusted Leader In Sports Picks, Best Bets and Predictions Since 1971.

Main Menu

2023-24 NFL Defensive Player of the Year Award Odds and Predictions

by Matt Zitt - 8/17/2023

Defensive Player of the Year Award odds Myles Garrett Cleveland Browns

San Francisco 49ers superstar Nick Bosa claimed the Defensive Player of the Year Award last season after posting 18.5 sacks and being a disruptive force for one of the best defensive units in the entire NFL. This year, there are three players whose odds are better than Bosa’s. Micah Parsons, Myles Garrett, and T.J. Watt are three favorites for the coveted award. No surprise the odds board is filled with pass rushers, as eight of the last 10 winners of the award totaled at least 11 sacks on their season. Bettors usually take team success into the equation when making their selection, but that has not been entirely true when it comes to DPOY. Four of the last eight winners were on defenses that ranked outside the Top 10. We will break down the best candidates below for DPOY.

Doc’s Sports offers NFL expert picks for every game on our NFL predictions page.

Micah Parsons (+600)

The Penn State product expects big things in the 2023-24 season for the Dallas Cowboys. He won Defensive Rookie of the Year in 2021 after tallying 13 sacks. He followed that up with 13.5 sacks in his sophomore campaign. This guy is an absolute terrorizer of quarterbacks and has also registered 33 tackles for losses in his first two years combined. Parsons has earned Pro Bowl honors and first-team All-Pro in each of his first two seasons in the league. There is no doubt he will be a force to be reckoned with in 2023-24.

Myles Garrett (+750)

It is crazy to think that Garrett has yet to win a Defensive Player of the Year Award, but he will always be in contention with his ability to get to the quarterback. The former No. 1 overall pick has racked up 74.5 sacks throughout his six-year career and shows no form of slowing down. The Browns schedule is not the hardest this season, and he will get to go up against at least three or four rookie quarterbacks. Expect the 27-year-old to have another stelar season for the Browns.

T.J. Watt (+850)

The superstar that dons the black and gold walked away with the DPOY award in 2021. And if it was not for injuries last season, he would have been a serious contender to repeat. The Steeler suffered a pectoral injury in Week 1 against the Bengals and underwent knee surgery in October. Appearing in only 10 games in 2022, he totaled 5.5 sacks. In six seasons, Watt has tallied 77.5 sacks and 88 tackles for a loss. The pass rusher racked up 22.5 sacks in 2021, so expect similar numbers when a healthy Watt takes the field in September.

Nick Bosa (+1200)

This is all dependent if the defending award winner suits up in Week 1. Bosa took home the award in 2022 after posting a career high 18.5 sacks for the No. 1 defense in the NFL. Reports surfaced earlier this week that he will be holding out for a new contract, and the 49ers have said they will not budge. If he is on the field September 10, he has all the intangibles to repeat and cause havoc for opposing offenses. Only time will tell as the season kicks off in three weeks.  

Aaron Donald (+2500)

Donald has publicly stated how motivated he has been this offseason to bounce back after an injury-riddled 2022. Highly regarded as one of the best defenders in the history of the NFL, these odds are too good to pass up. He has already won this award a record three times in 2017, 2018, and 2020. He has racked up 103 career sacks and an astonishing 160 tackles for a loss. The definition of a defensive disruptor, look for Donald to get back on track in 2023 for the Rams. 

Get NFL picks on every single game, or if you want our very best bet premium picks by the experts, sign up for your free $60 account with a guarantee.

 

Most Recent NFL Handicapping

One E-mail A Week Is All You Need!
Our weekly newsletter is loaded with exclusive free picks,insight and advice from our expert handicappers