NFL Confidence Pool Picks Week 7

by Joey House - 10/16/2024

Welcome to Week 7 of Doc's Sports NFL Confidence Pool. We kicked some serious butt in Week 6, going 11-2 and scoring 99 out of a total of 105 possible points. We incorrectly picked Carolina to defeat Atlanta and Jacksonville to win against Chicago in England. But we were on point last week, and we expect to so it again this week. So without further ado, here and Doc’s Sports NFL Week 7 confidence pool picks.

Doc’s Sports offers NFL expert picks for every game on our NFL predictions page.

15 points— Buffalo over Tennessee: Tennessee has the best pass defense (137 ypg) and 9th-best rush defense (111 ypg) in the NFL, but only the 13th-best scoring defense (22.0 ppg). Buffalo is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games against the Titans.

14 points—Washington over Carolina: Carolina is epically bad. It is 28th in scoring offense (17.2 ppg) and dead last in scoring defense (33.8 ppg), and it now faces Washington's second-highest scoring offense (29.7 ppg). The Panthers are currently in a stretch of 1-8 SU in their last 9 games.

13 points—Green Bay over Houston: Texans second-year QB C.J. Stroud has been excellent this season, ranked 6th in passing yards (1,577 yards) and 8th in completion percentage (68.3%). But Houston lost its leading receiver Nico Collins last week (32 rec, 567 yards, 3 TDs), allowing defenses to double on WR Stephon Diggs. Green Bay is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 home games, and Houston is 1-4 SU in its last 5 matchups against the Packers.

12 points—Philadelphia over NY Giants: This is Philly RB Saquon Barkley's first game against his former team (he played with the Giants from 2018-23), and as such, I expect a big game from him. When Barkley scores two or more TDs in his career, his teams are 10-2 SU. The Eagles are 5-1 SU in their last six against the G-Men.

11 points—Minnesota over Detroit: Even though Detroit demolished Dallas last week 47-9, their pass rush took a gigantic hit when DE Aidan Hutchinson (7.5 sacks, 1 forced fumble) snapped his leg gruesomely. The Vikings are 5-1 SU in their last 6 home games against the Lions.

10 points—Denver over New Orleans (TNF): This game is an exciting matchup, as Denver has the fourth-best scoring defense and New Orleans the fifth-best scoring offense. However, the Saints have some significant injury concerns, with quarterback Derek Carr, receivers Chris Olave and Rashid Shaheed, RB Alvin Kamara, and TE Taysom Hill all questionable or worse. Denver is 5-1 SU/4-2 ATS in its last 6 games against the Saints.

9 points—New England over Jacksonville (London game): Jacksonville seems to have massive internal issues. They have allowed their opponent the second-most yards of total offense (390.0 yards per game) and most passing yards with 276 yards a game through the air. The Patriots are 8-1 SU in its last 8 games against the Jaguars.

8 points—Atlanta over Seattle: After winning their first three games, Seattle has dropped three in a row, including a loss at home to the NY Giants. Atlanta is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 games against the Seahawks. Seattle has an opposing team QB rating of 133.2 on the road, 41 points above the league average.

7 points—Baltimore over Tampa Bay (MNF): Since the Ravens dropped the first two games of the season, they have reeled off four consecutive wins. Tampa Bay's pass defense is porous, ranked 28th in the league at 252.3 ypg. Baltimore is 7-1 SU in their last 8 road games and 5-0 SU in its last 5 matchups against the Buccaneers.

6 points—LA Rams over Las Vegas: After actively campaigning for Antonio Pierce to remain their head coach last season, it seems the Raiders have quit on him. Las Vegas is 1-5 SU/0-6 ATS in its last six games against the Rams. The Rams are 5-1 SU in their last 6 home games.

5 points—Pittsburgh over NY Jets: New York is going out of its way to make QB Aaron Rodgers happy, bringing in disgruntled WR Davante Adams from the Raiders. That shouldn't matter against the Steelers' second-best scoring defense (14.3 ppg). Pittsburgh has owned this series lately, going 13-7 SU/ATS in their last 20 games against the Jets.

4 points—Indianapolis over Miami: Miami continues to struggle without Tua at quarterback, and Indianapolis continues to thrive without Anthony Richardson at the helm. Both events seem very likely on Sunday. The Colts are 7-3 SU against the Fins over the last ten meetings.

3 points—Cincinnati over Cleveland: Cleveland is allowing over a full touchdown more (23.5 ppg, 19th of 32) than it is scoring (15.8 ppg, 30th). Cincinnati has the 7th-best passing attack with 249 ypg. The Brownies are 1-7 SU/2-6 ATS. The Bengals are 14-5 ATS in their last 19 games against Cleveland.

2 points—Kansas City over San Francisco: When San Francisco's RB Christian McCaffery returns, this could be a Super Bowl preview. Kansas City is currently on a 10-game winning streak and 8-1-1 ATS. They have also been 7-3 SU over the last ten meetings with the Niners.

1 point—LA Chargers over Arizona (MNF): This is the second Monday Night Football game this week. Los Angeles has the best scoring defense in the NFL, at 13.2 ppg. They also have the sixth-best defense in total yards allowed, with 289.2 ypg. Arizona could be without their starting kicker, Matt Prater, who is questionable with knee issues. The Chargers are 5-1 SU in their last six against the Cardinals.

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Start:	December 22, 2024 @ 8:20 PM
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