2025 MLB Athletics Predictions with World Series Odds and Season Win Total Picks

by Ryan Cobbett - 2/26/2025

Last season, the Oakland Athletics did not finish in last place in the conference nor their division. The team went 69-93 and finished fourth in the AL West, 19.5 games behind the first place Houston Astros and 17 games out of the final wild card spot. Despite their terrible record, they posted a winning record against National League teams and were 28-26 in one-run contests.

Brent Rooker had an incredible year for Oakland, as the slugger led the team in homeruns (39), RBIs (112), hits (160), and OPS (.927). His 39 homeruns were good for fifth in the league, his 112 RBIs ranked fourth and his .927 OPS was good for the eighth best in the league. Shea Langeliers was second on the team with 29 homeruns and 80 RBIs, while outfielders Lawrence Butler and JJ Bleday has solid years as well. Butler and Bleday both reached the 20-homerun mark, while Butler stole 18 bases and had a .807 OPS. Zack Gelof 17 homeruns and stole a team best 25 bases despite hitting just .211. The Athletics ranked 26th in runs scored, 18th in stolen bases, and 20th in OPS while also striking out the fifth most in the MLB. However, they ranked eighth in homeruns.

The pitching was worse than their poor performing lineup. The Athletics ranked 25th in both ERA and WHIP and ranked just 28th in strikeouts. JP Sears, Mitch Spence, and Joey Estes were the only three Oakland pitchers to record more than 100 innings last season, with Spears leading the way with 180.2 innings. Sears recorded a 4.38 ERA and a 1.22 WHIP across 32 starts last season. Though Emmanuel Clase had the best season of any reliever in the league, Mason Miller had an incredible year for the Athletics and was perhaps second to Clase alone. Miller posted a 2.49 ERA across 65 innings of work while converting 28 of his 31 save opportunities. Hogan Harris also did well last season as he had nine starts and 12 appearances out of the bullpen totaling 72.1 innings and had an ERA of 2.86.

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Athletics Key Additions/Losses

The Athletics made a flurry of moves this offseason while also officially moving out of Oakland. The Athletics outrighted veteran reliever Austin Adams to the minors while trading away outfielder Daz Cameron. They would then lose relievers Scott Alexander, Trevor Gott, and Kyle Muller, starters Ross Stripling and Alex Wood, as well as utility players in Tyler Nevin and Ryan Noda to free agency. The Athletics also traded away shortstop Nick Allen to the Atlanta Braves.

Though they are far from fielding a competitive roster, the Athletics did get busy this offseason. They traded for starting pitcher Jeffrey Springs from Tampa Bay while also signing some solid free agents in starting pitcher Luis Severino, relievers Jose Leclerc and Dylan Floro, as well as infielders Luis Urias and Gio Urshela. They also gave Rooker a five-year extension, though he is likely to be traded before that contract expires.

Athletics Prospect Outlook

For a small market team like the Athletics, having a strong farm system is needed if you want to reach the playoffs every now and then. However, their farm system ranks just 23rd in the MLB, as they have just two prospects listed in MLB’s Top 100 Prospect rankings. Though Butler, Miller, and Rooker just graduated and graduated into top talent for the Athletics, there is not a lot to be excited about behind them. Shortstop Jacob Wilson, the 31st ranked prospect in the MLB and the top prospect internally, is likely to begin the season as the everyday shortstop. He has a solid glove and has one of the most underrated bats of the prospects listed in the Top 100. Behind Wilson is first baseman Nick Kurtz, who is the 38th ranked prospect. Kurtz is likely another year away from having an impact at the big-league level, but his bat will get him to the major leagues soon.

Athletics X-Factors

The Rebuild- The Athletics invested heavily into Luis Severino in hopes that he can fill some seats during the beginning of the season and then be flipped before the deadline for a solid return of prospects. He will be joined by Rooker, Sears, Springs, Urshela, and Tyler Soderstrom as names to watch around the trade deadline as the Athletics look to push out veterans and get some of their up-and-coming prospects time in the MLB. The Athletics are a mess of a franchise right now with some questionable ownership. It isn’t hard to figure out that the ultimate plan is for this ball club to be, at the very least, a fringe playoff team when they have their inaugural season in Las Vegas, but the club will need to strike gold on a couple of prospects they bring in via trade or through the draft.

Athletics Expectations

The expectation is once again for the Athletics to be in fierce competition for the bottom spot in the AL West. The Chicago White Sox have the bottom of the American League and MLB locked up, as they are set to rival their historically bad season from last year, but the Athletics will be near the bottom of the league standings. The ownership has dug themselves into a deep hole, and now being in the process of moving to a new city has displaced the former Oakland Athletics for a few seasons at a minor league ballpark, which may also have a small impact on the ability of this team long term, especially for the incoming veterans like Severino and Springs, who have been established big league arms and have grown accustomed to the amenities provided by big league ballparks. The Athletics are in for another long season.

Athletics Notable Odds:

Win Total: 70.5

World Series Champions- +21000

Pennant Winners- +7000

Division Winners- +2500

AL MVP- Brent Rooker +4500

AL MVP- Lawrence Butler +6000

AL Cy Young- Luis Severino +12000

AL Cy Young- Mason Miller +20000

AL Rookie of the Year- Jacob Wilson +850

2025 MLB Athletics Predictions

Starting with player futures, Jacob Wilson at +800 to win the AL Rookie of the Year is a solid value pick if you are looking for some strong odds. Wilson will be the everyday shortstop to begin the season and will have plenty of opportunities to make an impact. Wilson is one of the best pure contact hitters in this year’s rookie class and is a reliable anchor at shortstop. He could work his way up the lineup, as his ability to get on base will set up Rooker and Bleday. The only other significant future to discuss is the Athletics win total. With the number at 70.5, I am going to take the over here, but their uncertain deadline approach makes this pick a bit daunting. If they decide to ship off Rooker and Severino, then the under is going to be the way to go. However, if they keep Rooker around, this lineup, as well as the development of some arms in their pitching staff, will carry them to at least a two-game improvement and lead to the over.

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Start:	March 30, 2025 @ 11:30 PM
Expert:	Doc's Sports Consensus Picks
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2025 MLB Athletics Predictions with World Series Odds and Season Win Total Picks

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