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2025 Minnesota Twins Predictions with World Series Odds and Season Win Total Picks

by Ryan Cobbett - 2/24/2025

Minnesota Twins predictions Byron Buxton

The Minnesota Twins season did not go as expected last year in large part due to the emergence of the Kansas City Royals and Detroit Tigers. Both teams improved significantly and took wins away from Minnesota, who would go on to finish 82-80, which was good for fourth in the AL Central Division. The Twins got cold at the wrong time, as they lost four straight to end the season and they ended the season on a 7-18 run over the team’s final 25 games.

Carlos Correa led the team with a 3.7 WAR, as the veteran shortstop recorded 54 RBIs, 14 homeruns, while leading the team with a .310 AVG and a .905 OPS. Correa did all this in just 86 games last season. On his heels was Byron Buxton, who appeared in only 102 games. Buxton finished with a 3.6 WAR, hitting 18 homeruns while stealing seven bases. Carlos Santana led the team with 23 homeruns and 71 RBIs, while catcher Ryan Jeffers was the only other Twins player to reach the 20-homerun mark. Shortstop Willi Castro led the way with 89 runs scored and 14 stolen bases. Despite having Correa and Buxton miss extended time, the Twins finished 10th in runs, 14th in homeruns, and 11th in OPS. However, they did finish last in the league with a mere 65 stolen bases.

Their pitching staff really let them down last year. Minnesota finished 21st in the MLB with a team 4.26 ERA. However, they ranked second in the league in strikeouts and seventh in WHIP. Bailey Ober led the pitching staff with a 2.9 WAR. He finished second on the team in innings pitched (178.2) and strikeouts (191) while recording 18 quality starts and a 3.98 ERA. Pablo Lopez led the team with 185.1 innings pitched while posting a 4.08 ERA across 32 starts last season. Joe Ryan and Simeon Woods Richardson both recorded more than 133 innings, with Ryan being the lone Twins starter to record a sub 1.00 WHIP. Relievers Cole Sands and Griffin Jax formed quite the duo out of the bullpen, as they both recorded 71 or more innings pitched while Jax posted a 2.03 ERA and Sands posted a solid 3.28 mark.

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Minnesota Twins Key Additions/Losses

The Twins lost a lot of key depth pieces to free agency. Manuel Margot and Kyle Farmer had their options declined, while Max Kepler, Carlos Santana, Caleb Thielbar, and Anthony DeSclafani all hit the free agent market. They also traded Jovani Moran to the Boston Red Sox.

Despite losing a lot of depth pieces, the offseason was relatively quiet for Minnesota. The team took fliers on starting pitcher Huascar Ynoa, first baseman Mike Ford, relievers Erasmo Ramirez and Anthony Misiewicz while also bringing in one-time top prospect Diego Cartaya in a trade with the Los Angeles Dodgers. The Twins also signed infielder Ty France, outfielder Harrison Bader, and reliever Danny Coulombe.

Minnesota Twins Prospect Outlook

More help is on the way for this Minnesota Twins club as they have the sixth rated farm system in the MLB and have three prospects featured in MLB’s Top 100 Prospects rankings. Outfielder Walker Jenkins is the highest rated prospect in the Twins system and is the third ranked prospect in the league. The 20-year-old left hander has a complete profile at the plate and a plus arm that can be a problem for baserunners. Behind Jenkins is outfielder Emmanuel Rodriguez, who is ranked 37th in the MLB. Rodriguez is expected to make the big-league roster out of Spring Training and be a solid depth player. Finally, utility man Luke Keaschall is a do it all player who could also be in the big leagues soon, especially if Edouard Julien continues to struggle. Keaschall is the 61st ranked prospect who features a plus bat with some solid baserunning potential.

Minnesota Twins X-Factors

Byron Buxton, Royce Lewis, Carlos Correa- There is no doubt that a healthy trio featuring these three players would have the Twins as favorites to win the AL Central and be a formidable threat in the playoffs. However, all three have proven to have injury issues throughout their careers. Last season, Buxton appeared in 102 games, Correa in 86, and Lewis in just 82 games. The Twins need these guys to stay healthy, as their lineup is already weakened with the loss of Santana and Kepler. And if these guys miss extended time again, their offensive output could go way down.

Trevor Larnach, Matt Wallner, Ryan Jeffers- The next X-Factor here is this trio of hitters that could turn this lineup into one of the most underrated and overlooked lineups in the MLB. Yes, they would need the Buxton/Lewis/Correa trio to stay healthy, but Larnach, Wallner, and Jeffers could deepen the lineup. Larnach is coming off his best season at the plate in his young career. He recorded 15 homeruns and 52 RBIs. He is a fine glove with 20 homerun potential, which could fit in nicely near the top of the order. Jeffers is also coming off a career year, as the catcher clubbed 21 homeruns and tallied 64 RBIs. He may not be as reliable as Larnach, but he deepens the lineup. Finally, Wallner has the highest potential of these three. He could join the trio above and form a solid quartet atop the lineup if he lives up to his potential. Wallner hit 13 homeruns across 75 games last season while also posting a .895 OPS. If he had played a full 162-game season, he was on pace to club 28 homeruns. This lineup is potentially really dangerous if Wallner can live up to his 30-homerun potential.

Minnesota Twins Expectations

Internally, the expectations are to find their way back to the playoffs. The Tigers and Royals look to be competitive once again, and the Guardians have the potential to work their way into the mix as well. However, the Twins remain the favorites to win their division. They have a reliable rotation and a lineup with a higher ceiling than most people would assume. A lot of their success depends on the health of their stars, and the front office should add another bat or two to mitigate this concern, especially with a loaded farm system. The bullpen could use another shutdown arm, but that is something they can invest in depending on where they are at later this summer, before the deadline. However, the AL Central race is going to be entertaining to watch, and it is no guarantee that the Twins will be able to crack the playoff picture.

Minnesota Twins Notable Odds:

Win Total: 83.5

World Series Champions- +2900

Pennant Winners- +1000

Division Winners- +210

AL MVP- Royce Lewis +5500

AL MVP- Carlos Correa +6500

AL Cy Young- Pablo Lopez +2200

AL Cy Young- Joe Ryan +3000

2025 Minnesota Twins Predictions

Starting with the win total, if the Buxton/Lewis/Correa trio are healthy, then I am all in on the over. However, that has yet to happen, and Buxton and Lewis’ once promising career potential has been hindered by injuries. All three of these guys need to be in the lineup for 120 games or more for the over to feel like a good choice. However, since there are so many question marks, I am staying away from this win total. If I had to choose, I would take the over as the potential is there to be a near 100-win caliber team. Buxton, Lewis, and Correa all have some MVP potential, but once again, with their proneness to injury, it is not worth the risk until later in the season. The Twins won’t win the World Series, but they could easily take the division. At +210, this is a pick that still has some great value, and the Twins have the highest ceiling of the anyone in the AL Central.

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