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2025 Milwaukee Brewers Predictions with World Series Odds and Season Win Total Picks

by Ryan Cobbett - 3/13/2025

Milwaukee Brewers predictions Christian Yelich

Milwaukee far exceeded expectations last season and won the NL Central. They finished with a 93-69 record and had a 10-game lead over the St. Louis Cardinals and Chicago Cubs in the division standings. The Brewers postseason was short lived after falling to the New York Mets in the first round, finishing the series with a -4-run differential. Despite their early postseason exit, the Brewers finished with a +136-run differential, which was second in the National League and third in the MLB.

William Contreras led the way for the Brewers’ offense last season. Contreras finished with a team best 4.9 WAR after hitting 23 homeruns, tallying 92 RBIs, and leading the team with a .831 OPS. Brice Turang finished second on the team with a 4.6 WAR after recording 50 stolen bases last season. Willy Adames led the team with 32 homeruns and 112 RBIs and finished with a 3.1 WAR. Jackson Chourio had an incredible rookie season, finishing with a 3.8 WAR after hitting 21 homeruns, recording 71 RBIs, and stealing 22 bases. Rhys Hoskins finished second on the team with 26 homeruns and he finished with 82 RBIs. As a team, they ranked sixth in runs, 16th in homeruns, second in stolen bases, and 10th in OPS.

The Brewers pitching staff ranked fifth in the league in ERA and ninth in WHIP. The Brewers had four pitchers reach the 100 innings mark, with Freddy Peralta leading the way with 173.2 innings pitched. Peralta finished second on the team with a 2.6 WAR after recording 11 quality starts and striking out 200 batters. Tobias Myers led the team with a 2.7 WAR, as he recorded a 3.00 ERA across 138 innings of work. The Brewers had one of the best bullpens last season. They finished second in the league with a 3.11 ERA, and their 1.16 WHIP was good for third in the league. Bryan Hudson finished with a 1.73 ERA across 62.1 innings, while Jared Koening, Elvis Peguero, and Trevor Megill all finished with sub-3.00 ERAs while pitching more than 46 innings each.

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Milwaukee Brewers Key Additions/Losses

The Brewers losses this offseason may be minimal in number, but they lost a lot of production. They saw Joe Ross, Gary Sanchez, Wade Miley, Bryse Wilson, Frankie Montas, Colin Rea, and Adames hit the free agent market. In addition to watching Adames leave, the Brewers also traded top tier closer Devin Williams to the New York Yankees.

In the return for Williams, the Brewers received Nestor Cortes and a prospect. Their remaining moves were minimal, as they took fliers on Bruce Zimmerman, Jorge Alfaro, Tyler Alexander, Manuel Margot, Mark Canha, and Jose Quintana to plug some holes in the roster.

Milwaukee Brewers Prospect Outlook

The Brewers have the eighth ranked farm system in the league, with four prospects ranked inside MLB’s Top 100 Prospects rankings. Catcher Jeferson Quero is the top ranked prospect in the Brewers system and is the 47th prospect overall. Shortstops Jesus Made and Cooper Pratt follow as the 55th and 56th prospect overall, and right-handed pitcher Jacob Misiorowski rounds out the list as the 99th ranked prospect in the league. Misiorowski has an elite arsenal of pitches, but he needs to work on his control. If he can, he could become a shutdown closer at the big-league level. Quero is big league ready and could be used as trade bait with Contreras locked in as the backstop of the future.

Milwaukee Brewers X-Factors

Front Office- The Brewers are one of the few teams that are in the middle of deciding to be buyers or sellers. The top half of their lineup is solid, with Turang, Chourio, Christian Yelich, and Contreras, but the bottom half is highly questionable, with Hoskins being past his prime. As for their rotation, Peralta and Cortes are consistent, and they will get Brandon Woodruff back during the season, giving them a decent top three. However, Aaron Civale, Aaron Ashby, and Tobias Myers will fill the bottom of the rotation and, like the lineup, are not entirely proven or reliable. The farm system is strong, and they could add another top pitcher and bat to contend with the Cubs in the division.

Jackson Chourio/Christian Yelich- While Chourio had a solid rookie season, he has just the one season and is still to be considered proven. If he regresses in any way, the lineup could go from average to well below average. Yelich is injury-prone and has not been able to return to his MVP caliber of play. If he misses extended time, the Brewers lineup could fall from average to well below average. If Chourio regresses and Yelich is hurt, this lineup will be a disaster. If they live up to expectations, then the Brewers will need just one more bat at the deadline.

Milwaukee Brewers Expectations

The internal expectations and the external expectations may defer. The Brewers saw two of their best players leave, but they still remain as a wild card contender. Externally, the Brewers may be seen as a team who needs help to reach the playoffs. Milwaukee would need another bat and starter to make a run, and the farm-system is strong enough to make some significant moves. However, they could punt and trade Yelich, Hoskins, Woodruff, and other veteran pieces to gain some more future capital and wait out a small rebuild. However, the universal expectation for the Brewers is wait and see how the first half goes before they decide on what direction to go on the season.

Milwaukee Brewers Notable Odds:

Win Total: 82.5

World Series Champions- +4100

Pennant Winners- +2400

Division Winners- +290

NL MVP- Jackson Chourio +3500

NL MVP- William Contreras +6500

NL MVP- Christian Yelich +10000

NL Cy Young- Brandon Woodruff +4000

NL Cy Young- Freddy Peralta +5000

2025 Milwaukee Brewers Predictions

The NL Central is one of the easiest divisions in the league. And while the Cubs are the clear top team in the division, the Brewers could make a few moves to be competitive with the Cubs, and at +290, they have some juice there. However, you would have to be confident in them buying, and I don’t expect that the Brewers will be looking to add at the deadline. Paired with the uncertainty of the team’s direction, none of their players are serious contenders for the leagues MVP or Cy Young awards. As for the win total, I think the Brewers will end up as sellers and will fall to .500 or less. Take the under on the projected win total and stay away from the rest of the Brewers futures, as Milwaukee is teetering on what direction to send the franchise.

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