Docs Website

53 Years Strong! A Trusted Leader In Sports Picks, Best Bets and Predictions Since 1971.

Main Menu

2024 Milwaukee Brewers Predictions with World Series Odds and Season Win Total Picks

by Ryan Cobbett - 3/27/2024

Milwaukee Brewers predictions Freddy Peralta

Summary of Last Season

The Milwaukee Brewers had an impressive season in 2023, as they won the NL Central with ease and went on to a 92-70 record. They were 29-18 in one-run games while also going 10-5 in extra innings. Unfortunately, the Brewers would be swept in the Wild Card Series by the eventual NL Pennant winning Arizona Diamondbacks.

The offense was serviceable last season for the Brew Crew but lacked pop. Newbie William Contreras led the team with a 3.7 WAR, as he slashed .291/.369/.459 and had 17 homeruns and 78 RBIs. Christian Yelich finished right behind him in WAR with a 3.6 mark, while hitting 19 homeruns and tallying 76 RBIs with 28 stolen bases. Shortstop Willy Adames led Milwaukee in homeruns with 24 and RBIs with 80. As a team, the Brewers ranked 17th in runs scored, 24th in homeruns, 11th in stolen bases, and 23rd in OPS.

As for the pitching staff, they fared much better and led the team to the 90+ win season. Corbin Burnes put together another stellar season, as his 3.6 WAR led all pitchers. Burnes would record 19 quality starts across 193.2 innings and would record a 3.39 ERA. His 200 strikeouts were second on the team behind Freddy Peralta’s 210. Peralta pitched 165.2 innings and finished with a 3.86 ERA. Colin Rea, Wade Miley, and Adrian Houser all recorded more than 111 innings and combined for a 4.1 WAR. Devin Williams has turned into one of the league’s best closers, as he recorded 36 saves last season and had a 1.53 ERA out of the bullpen. The Brewers pitching staff led the MLB in ERA, finished second in WHIP, and 11th in walks allowed.

Doc’s Sports offers MLB expert picks for every game on our baseball predictions page.

Milwaukee Brewers Key Additions/Losses

The offseason was busy for a team that just won 92 games. The front office may have flipped the script, as the Brewers may be headed for a rebuild. Jesse Winker, Andrew Chafin, Carlos Santana, Darin Ruf, Victor Caratini, and Justin Wilson all became free agents, with Wade Miley declining his option. As if that wasn’t enough departing talent, the Brewers shipped off Corbin Burnes to Baltimore. They also traded Adrian Houser and Tyrone Taylor to the Mets.

Wade Miley would eventually return on a one-year deal, and the Brewers did make a few more additions. They traded for Mark Canha, Jake Bauers, and Joe Ross. Their offseason additions were highlighted by signing Rhys Hoskins to a two-year deal.

Milwaukee Brewers Prospect Outlook

Top prospect Jackson Chourio signed a long-term deal without even recording an MLB AB but is expected to be an everyday presence in the outfield this season. Utilityman Joey Ortiz (5th) is also another top prospect in the Brewers system who will see regular playing time this season as he projects to start at the hot corner. Outside of those two, there doesn’t seem to be any immediate help.

Milwaukee Brewers X-Factors

The Rotation- Weakened after trading Corbin Burnes to Baltimore and losing Brandon Woodruff to an injury, the rotation looks a lot weaker. Freddy Peralta will be the ace this season, but behind him are a lot of question marks. Wade Miley is going to miss some time to open the season, which means Colin Rea, Joe Ross, Jakob Junis, and DL Hall will trail Peralta. Not a good starting five.

Front Office- The Brewers seem to be standing by the small market team cycle. They have some veteran players and will try and start the season competitively. However, there is a good chance they look to the next few years and trade some of the veterans for MLB ready prospects. It will be interesting to see how they handle Rhys Hoskins, Christian Yelich, and some of the aged arms in the pitching staff.

Milwaukee Brewers Expectations

They are going to be an ok team. The Brewers are going to finish around 15 games worse than they did last season. The pitching staff is not good, and the lineup isn’t scaring anyone. I believe by June the Brewers will be selling and look forward to 2025 and 2026. The good news is their division is not the strongest, so the ability to compete in the near future looks promising. In 2024, expect Milwaukee to trade some of their better players for future capital and kick the can down the road. The Brewers will still be better than the Pirates, but the Cubs, Cardinals, and Reds will all finish ahead of the reigning NL Central winner.

Milwaukee Brewers Notable Odds:

World Series Champions- +9000

Pennant Winners- +4500

Division Winners- +700

NL MVP- Christian Yelich- +8000

Milwaukee Brewers Predictions

A complete fall from grace. After winning 92 games and the division a season ago, I expect the Brew Crew to finish fourth in the division and fail to win 80 games this season. Right now, their season win total is projected at 77.5, and the under seems to be a good play. They do play in a weaker division, but the rotation is awful. If the youngsters can play better than expected, then the Brewers may add at the deadline. However, with a less than impressive farm system, I expect them to sell and finish below the win total.

Get MLB picks on every single game, or if you want our very best bet premium picks by the experts, sign up for your free $60 account with a guarantee.

 

Most Recent Baseball Handicapping

One E-mail A Week Is All You Need!
Our weekly newsletter is loaded with exclusive free picks,insight and advice from our expert handicappers