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2024 Miami Dolphins Predictions with Odds to Win the Super Bowl

by Ryan Cobbett - 8/28/2024

Miami Dolphins predictions Tyreek Hill

Last season, the Miami Dolphins finished 11-6 and second in the AFC East after the Bills held the tiebreaker over their division opponents. Miami had a +105-point differential, which was the fifth most in the league a year ago, and their 496 points scored was the second most in the NFL. They did lose their momentum as the season went on, finishing the regular season 2-3, including a key loss to the Bills in Week 18, and then fell 26-7 to Kansas City in the first round of the playoffs.

Tua Tagovailoa was the league leader in passing yards last season, finishing with 4,624 yards while also recording 29 pass touchdowns. He did have his issues with turnovers from a season ago, as he threw 14 interceptions and fumbled the ball 13 times. His WR1, Tyreek Hill, led the league in receiving yards with 1,799 yards, and his 13 touchdowns were tied with Mike Evans for the first in the league. Opposite Hill was Jaylen Waddle, who recorded 1,014 receiving yards and four touchdowns. Wide receiver Cedrick Wilson Jr., along with running backs De’Von Achane and Raheem Mostert, all recorded three receiving touchdowns each. As for the ground game, Mostert and Achane formed quite the duo out of the backfield. Mostert led the way with 1,012 yards and 18 touchdowns on 209 carries, while Achane finished with 800 yards on 103 carries for a 7.8 YPC mark and eight touchdowns.

Their defense was not on the same level as the offense but still performed well. Linebacker David Long Jr recorded a team leading 113 tackles while also recording nine TFLs and a sack. Bradley Chubb led the Dolphins with 11 sacks, while Zach Sieler had 10 and Christian Wilkins had nine. Jaleny Ramsey had a team leading three interceptions while Xavien Howard led Miami with 12 pass deflections. Jaelan Phillips only played in eight games but recorded 43 tackles and 6.5 sacks in those games.

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Miami Dolphins Key Additions/Losses

The defense took a big hit when the offseason came around. Defensive linemen Christian Wilkins, Raekwon Davis, Andrew Van Ginkel, Melvin Gordon, and Emmanuel Ogbah, along with linebacker Jerome Baker, cornerback Xavien Howard, and safety Brandon Jones, all departed. Offensive guard Robert Hunt was also a significant loss during the course of the offseason.

They immediately replaced Hunt with center Aaron Brewer, while they added to the offense by adding tight end Johnu Smith. As for the defense, they added linebackers Jordyn Brooks and Anthony Walker, cornerback Kendall Fuller, safety Jordan Poyer, and edge Shaquil Barrett.

Miami Dolphins New Kids on the Block

The Dolphins had seven picks in this last draft, and they used their first pick on edge rusher Chop Robinson, which will give the Dolphins one of the strongest defensive lines in the league, if they can all stay healthy. They also added edge rusher Mohamed Kamara out of Colorado State as a depth piece. They also added offensive depth by drafting offensive tackle Patrick Paul out of Houston, Jaylen Wright out of Tennessee, and Malik Washington out of Virginia. Wright adds value to an already tremendous wide receiver room for Miami.

Miami Dolphins X-Factors

Tua’ s Turnovers- Tagovailoa will need to check his turnovers. He had a total of 27 turnovers last season, and the Dolphins still managed to have one of the best offenses in the NFL. If he cuts this number in half, the Dolphins could have one of the best offenses in history. Tua is lucky to have so many weapons. If he can take care of the ball more, he could win the MVP

The Division- Now is the time for the Dolphins to make a run in the AFC East. The Patriots are going to be one of the worst teams in the league, while the Bills have taken a huge step back because of budget issues. The Dolphins and Jets are the two powerhouses in this league, and Miami’s offense is much better than their division counterparts. Miami needs to take advantage of the down year within the division.

Miami Dolphins Notable Odds

Super Bowl Winner: +2200

AFC Champion: +1000

AFC East Winner: +210

NFL MVP- Tua Tagovailoa: +2000

NFL MVP- Tyreek Hill: +10000

Miami Dolphins Schedule Breakdown

Predicted Win Total: 9.5 Games

I am high on Miami and think they are the best team in the AFC East. However, their schedule is tough. They have only one loss on the schedule, which is at Houston, but there are only five wins. That would leave 11 games falling into the toss up category. They could limp by with a 5-6 record in those toss up games and still hit the over on their win total. Their road schedule, in addition to the Houston game, includes Buffalo, the Jets, the Rams, Indianapolis, Green Bay, and Cleveland, while they also play host to the Jets, 49ers, and Jacksonville. I like the offense to be better with Tua cutting out all the fumbles, and the defense did not regress that much and if Phillips comes back healthy, they should be able to get after quarterbacks’ week in and week out. Give me the over 9.5 wins.

Miami Dolphins Predictions

I love the Miami over on their win total. Their schedule is tough, but they have the best offense in the league and their defensive line ranks amongst the best in the league. I think they have great value at +210 to win the East, while Tua as a +2000 sleeper to win the MVP is a great look, of course he would need to really limit the turnovers. I don’t think the Dolphins are the best team in the AFC, but their offense is good enough to take them on a deep playoff run. Miami at +210 to win the AFC East is a great pick.

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