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2024 March Madness Prop Bets with Expert Predictions

by Matt Zitt - 3/19/2024

March Madness prop bets predictions Jeremy Roach Duke Blue Devils

March Madness annually serves as one of the greatest stretches in the sports calendar year. Over the next three weeks, fans and bettors get to enjoy the rollercoaster of 67 single-elimination games, all leading to one team cutting down the nets and calling themselves champions. Bettors have the opportunity to add even more mayhem and fun to the NCAA Tournament with March Madness props. These markets have been gaining more and more popularity over the years and provide some extra fun if you are suffering from a busted bracket. Doc’s Sports will break down some of the best March Madness props below for the 2024 NCAA Tournament.

Doc’s Sports offers college basketball expert picks for every game on our NCAA basketball predictions page.

Will a 2 seed win the 2024 NCAA Tournament +350

The trend is not looking good for 2-seeds, but I see value with the way the bracket is set up for Arizona and Tennessee. A No. 2 seed has reached the championship game just once in the past 10 tournaments, and that was Villanova, who won the whole thing in 2016 over the North Carolina Tar Heels. The current six-tournament drought without a title game appearance for a 2-seed is the longest ever. Based strictly on the eye test, Arizona and Tennessee should have easier paths based on competition within their region than Iowa State and Marquette. Arizona is a solid choice to win the entire thing.

Will a 15 Seed Win a Game in the Round of 64? YES +370

Number 15 seeds are a combined 11-141 in first-round games, and nine of those 11 winners finished in the top two in their conference standings. The past three tournaments have seen a 15 seed take down a 2 seed, and in these last three instances they have advanced to the Sweet 16. Saint Peters advanced to the Elite Eight in 2022. In 2024, the only 15-seed to finish in the top two in its conference is South Dakota State with a 22-12 record. Iowa State is a solid squad, but they are definitely capable of laying a dud. Look for a 15-seed to win for a fourth consecutive tournament.

Any Buzzer Beater in the NCAA Tournament -110

This is one of the more fun props to root for because there is nothing more magical and exhilarating than a team winning a huge game on a buzzer-beater to send players and fans into a frenzy. We will define a buzzer-beater as a game-winning shot that goes through the hoop as time expires and there is no time on the clock for the opposing team to inbound. According to College Basketball-Reference, there have been 46 buzzer-beaters in 84 NCAA tournaments since the first tourney in 1939. There were only five buzzer-beaters in the first 36 tournaments, and 41 buzzer-beaters in the last 48 tourneys. This is a fun prop to make some money that can provide a ton of excitement.

Wins by Big East Teams in 2024 Men’s NCAA Tournament OVER 7.5 wins +120

This total at plus money is too low, in my opinion, when UConn, Marquette, and Creighton can all go on deep March runs. The Huskies have been the best team in the country. And if they are able to get to the championship game, or even repeat, that is five to six wins right there. Creighton boasts one of the best trios in the entire nation. Marquette plays a mediocre Western Kentucky in the first round and then a potential matchup with either Florida or a play-in-game winner. I am taking this total at plus money.

Wins by Big Ten Teams in 2024 Men’s NCAA Tournament OVER 8.5 wins +105

This time of year has not been kind to the Big Ten. The conference got six teams into this year’s edition of the Big Dance, and the last Big Ten school to cut down the nets was Michigan State in 2000. At plus money to get to nine victories, I am willing to take a leap of faith this year. Purdue will be playing with a chip on its shoulder after last season’s embarrassing loss to a 16-seed. They look to have one of the easiest paths to the Final Four. Illinois received a No. 3 seed after winning the Big Ten Championship Game, Michigan State snuck into the tourney. Nebraska, Northwestern, and Wisconsin are also in the field. It will take a deep run by the Boilermakers to clear this total, and that is what I am banking on.

Purdue Total Tournament Wins OVER 3.5 +165

Heading back to the well on this one. The Boilermakers need to make the Final Four for this bet to cash, but I believe Purdue can pull off a Virginia-style run deep into this tourney. Zach Edey has been superb and should win back-to-back Wooden Awards. Even with potential matchups with TCU, Creighton, or Tennessee, the Boilermakers have one of the easier paths on paper to the Final Four.

Duke Total Tournament Wins OVER 1.5 -110

Despite a two-game losing streak to end the season, the Blue Devils have the talent to go to the Sweet 16. Kyle Filipowski, Jeremy Roach, Jared McCain, and Mark Mitchell will take care of business against a 28-6 Vermont squad. That would lead to a Round 2 matchup with either Wisconsin or James Madison. Jon Scheyer will have this roster ready to play and look for them to advance to the second weekend of the tourney.

Team to Reach the Elite Eight – Creighton +205

Boasting one of the best trios in the entire country in Baylor Scheierman, Trey Alexander, and Ryan Kalkbrenner, the Creighton Bluejays have what it takes to grind it out into the Elite Eight. Defeating UConn by 19-points should give this squad all the confidence it needs. They should be able to take care of business against Akron and then a second-round matchup with either South Carolina or Oregon. That could potentially set up a Sweet 16 matchup vs. Tennessee. Creighton’s my pick to face Purdue in the Elite Eight.

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