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2024 Kansas City Chiefs Predictions with Odds to Win the Super Bowl

by Ryan Cobbett - 9/3/2024

Kansas City Chiefs predictions Chris Jones

Last season could not have gone any better for the Kansas City Chiefs as they went on to win the Super Bowl in overtime, over the San Francisco 49ers, beating them 25-22. The start to the regular season is what propelled Kansas City into the playoffs as they started the year 6-1. The back half of their regular season schedule wasn’t kind to them as they went just 5-5. However, thanks to their start, they reached the playoffs and swept their way to being named the Champions of the NFL.

Patrick Mahomes, the always reliable quarterback, finished the year with 4,183 passing yards (6th best in the league) with 27 touchdowns and 14 interceptions. He was also second on the team in rushing yards, picking up another 389 yards on the ground. Isiah Pacheco led the ground game with 935 yards and seven touchdowns, with backups Clyde Edwards-Helaire and Jerick McKinnon each picking up a rushing touchdown as well. Tight end Travis Kelce led the Chiefs with 984 receiving yards, while wide receiver Rashee Rice led the team with seven touchdowns and finished right behind Kelce with 938 yards receiving.

On defense, safety Justin Reid led the team with 95 tackles while also recording five TFLs, three sacks, seven pass deflections and recorded an interception. Cornerback L’Jarius Sneed was the team leader in interceptions with two while also recording 78 tackles and five tackles for loss. Defensive end George Karlaftis and defensive tackle Chris Jones led the Chiefs with 10.5 sacks each, while Karlaftis added another seven tackles for loss and had three pass deflections while Jones added 13 more tackles for loss and four pass deflections. Charles Omenihu finished behind Karlaftis and Jones with seven sacks, while Mike Danna was right behind Omenihu with 6.5 sacks.

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Kansas City Chiefs Key Additions/Losses

The Chiefs lost some key role players this offseason on both sides of the ball. Sneed, safety Mike Edwards, and linebacker Willie Gay departed on the defensive side of the ball, while center Nick Allegretti and wide receivers Marquez Valdes-Scantling and Mecole Hardman also moved on this offseason.

Kansas City brought in Marquise “Hollywood” Brown to replace Hardman and MVS while also adding tight end Irv Smith and quarterback Carson Wentz to add some offensive depth. The defense is noticeably weaker without doing much this offseason to improve.

Kansas City Chiefs New Kids on the Block

The Chiefs had seven draft picks and used five of those to further boost the offense. They drafted offensive tackle Kingsley Suamataia out of BYU along with fellow offensive linemen Hunter Nourzad out of Penn St and C.J. Hanson out of Holy Cross. Kansas City drafted wide receiver Xavier Worthy out of Texas, and he could be one of the next big name wide receivers in the league. Tight end Jared Wiley was drafted out of TCU, while the Chiefs boosted the secondary by drafting cornerbacks Jaden Hicks and Kamal Hadden.

Kansas City Chiefs X-Factors

Aging Chiefs- This Chiefs team isn’t getting any younger. Travis Kelce, Harrison Butker, Joe Thuney, and Chris Jones are all key pieces to this Chiefs team. While the experiment has worked, with multiple titles to account for, the dynasty may be closer to its end with the aging stars. When age plays a factor, the likelihood of an injury increases along with a step down in their numbers. With an unproven run game and depth issues in the trenches, the Chiefs need their aging stars to stay healthy and produce.

Kansas City Chiefs Notable Odds

Super Bowl Winner: +550

AFC Champion: +350

AFC West Winner: -270

NFL MVP- Patrick Mahomes: +450

AP Offensive Rookie of the Year- Xavier Worthy: +1900

Kansas City Chiefs Schedule Breakdown

Predicted Win Total: 11.5 Games

The Chiefs are the beneficiaries of playing in the weakest division in the AFC and maybe the league, and as a result have one of the easiest schedules in the NFL. Their win total sits at 11.5 wins, and I like the over in a big way. At first glance, I see 11 wins, just one loss, and five games in the toss up category. In order for the Chiefs to hit the over on the win total, they would need to go just 1-4 against the following opponents, Baltimore, @ Atlanta, @ Buffalo, @ Cleveland, and Houston. I like them against the Falcons and the Bills, but I do think playing on the road could keep this game closer than it would be on paper. With multiple mulligans and 11 certified wins, the over on this win total is a highly favorable pick.

Kansas City Chiefs Predictions

I really like the over on the win total thanks to the easy schedule, but I am a big fan of Xavier Worthy and think he has incredible value at +1900 to be the Offensive Rookie of the Year. He should slot in across from Hollywood Brown. And with Travis Kelce involved as well, Worthy should be able to get open often and get chances early in the season. It is hard to say anything negative on this team. Cleveland, Houston, Miami, and Baltimore are real threats to usurp the defending champions in the AFC, but I believe the path to the Super Bowl runs through Kansas City. Look for Mahomes to have a huge year as well adding two big weapons in the wide receiver room (if Brown can stay healthy). And if this defense can be average, the Chiefs may win yet another ring.

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