Big Problems to Profits: How One Bettor Found the Cheat Code to Beat the Sportsbooks
When I first met August Young, he was just a kid trying to make his way in the sports betting world. Standing in the MGM sportsbook back in 2013, this 22 year old caught my attention in more ways than one.
Sitting at one of the tables near the betting counter, he had his laptop out in front of him surrounded by papers full of statistics, a pen and pad and a lockbox by his side.
He would be up at the counter more times than I can remember getting down on different NHL sides, totals and props. He had a peculiar and unassuming demeanor, wearing basketball shorts and a pullover hoodie while talking to the teller in a British accent about what he wanted to wager on next. Once he decided on the bet, he would open up the lockbox, pull out the cash needed for the wager and hand it over in exchange for his next ticket.
It was almost like watching an accountant of sorts, running a business. He didn't seem like your usual sports bettor.
After a few hours, he packed up his stuff and headed toward the exit, at which point I decided to shout out "Good luck with those Hockey wagers!"
"Thanks, I need it!" he responded apprehensively.
From this point, we got talking and he explained to me how he moved to Vegas from the UK to pursue a career in sports betting. What I came to learn from August was the vast differences from sports betting here in Las Vegas compared to across the pond. He was well spoken, articulate and had a clear knack for numbers - but something wasn't working out for him here.
In the UK, he was a (self proclaimed) hockey betting expert and decided he could access more markets and maximize his profit by moving stateside -- but the reality of the situation was much different. Back home, he had access to lines that were much softer than what is offered here in the sports capital of the world. He was able to use simple and traditional handicapping methods to take full advantage of what was offered.
Here in Vegas, he was getting roasted and was realizing his edge wasn't what he thought it was.
"I'll figure it out," he said.
We hit it off as we continued to chat longer about a wide variety of topics, exchanged numbers and went our separate ways.
Fast forward to 2019, where I was once again at the MGM, and I couldn't believe what I saw.
August was sitting up at a table (in basketball shorts and a hoodie once again), odds screen on an iPad to the left of him, and a (much nicer) laptop out in front of him. This time though - no papers, and no lockbox. He was clearly busy so I didn't intrude but I noticed he was making phone calls and sending text messages for the most part without once heading up to the betting counter.
He packed up his things and moved over to the bar. At this point I headed over and caught up with him.
"No bets today man, what's going on?" I said inquisitively.
He then smirked, and confidently responded with "quite the opposite -- a lot has changed".
As we got talking, he was spinning quite the tale about how he lost a huge portion of his bankroll due to his outdated methods, but has since teamed up with data scientists and some of the sharpest sports bettors around the world. He said he now runs what he called a "predictive model".
"It changed everything for me," he said.
Naturally, I was intrigued.
As we continued to talk, we were often interrupted by phone calls to August from his "clients" and "private investors". That's what he called them, anyway.
He would be back and forth with them talking about which teams to take at what specific numbers, and how much they should be betting. It was like watching a trader on Wall Street pushing buy-orders out to his clients.
What I didn't know about August when I first met him back in 2013, was that he was an avid investor and knew the stock and financial markets well. He had a talent for understanding value and how markets tend to move. It's how he created his bankroll and ability to bet in the first place.
Without boring you with all the little details, August spent some more time in Europe over the years (as well as here in Vegas) and met some of the very best in our industry. From originators that utilize predictive models, to news handicappers that got the inside scoop before the majority of the market.
August was clearly now in a different position than before, and very, very well connected. He developed a clear advantage for reading the markets and handicapping these games from a different angle. He combined his knowledge of the markets in a unique way with data analysis and predictive probability modelling.
However, there was something on my mind which I had to ask...
"But why aren't you betting what you just told your client to bet?"
"Limits and restrictions!" August responded while rolling his eyes.
August had essentially "hacked" the sports betting code, for a lack of a better word. He had now become one of the sharpest and most feared NHL bettors in the world.
"Traditional handicapping methods weren't working for me over here," as he explained the efficiency of the NHL market and how he couldn't beat it like he did back in the UK.
"Turning to market analysis and utilizing data science has turned my problems to profit"
"I don't buy it," I said in a playful manner.
"Let me show you" he chuckled back.
August pulled up a well known online book and attempted to make the wager he recently advised one of his clients to make. He put in the bet size, which was $1,000 at the time, and clicked submit.
The submission wheel kept spinning and spinning before I saw the dreaded message:
BET PENDING - REQUIRES AUTHORIZATION. PLEASE WAIT.
I had never seen this kind of message before. What happened next blew my mind.
"Your bet was rejected for the current amount entered. Would you like to resubmit for the new approved amount of $3.78"
That's right...
THREE DOLLARS and frickin SEVENTY EIGHT CENTS!
Of course, August declined the wager. Now I was starting to understand what was going on.
His NHL bets had been so successful for so long with the new connections and predictive model, that some of the most well respected sportsbooks in the world were completely rejecting his bets and the amounts he wanted to get down. Many of the sportsbooks, quite literally, closed his account.
He was also facing the same problem here in town. And even if he was allowed to get his bets down, it was for a far reduced amount below the house limits.
This is when August explained to me that he now had to utilize private clients and investors who were flying under the radar to work with him in a profit share system. He was betting on these games - Just not in the traditional sense.
He proceeded to tell me how he was facing these issues in all sports and said something to me I'll never forget.
"Winning is the easy part - it's being able to place the bet I want to make, at the number I want, which is the real challenge".
Let me tell you now, in the years since then, I've seen first hand, time and time again, how getting his bets down -- especially in the NHL, UFC and MLB -- is becoming almost impossible for him.
Moving forward to 2021 - things were getting tougher and tougher for August. His winning percentages and ROI was way up. Higher than you could imagine, but he was suffering with getting the amount down he needed to.
It was at this point I decided to put him in touch with a few contacts I had in the industry that may be able to utilize his specific skills set while making his life a little easier, one of them being Wade at Doc's Sports.
This is where I make my exit in the story - the rest is history.
(The writer of this story has opted to remain anonymous due to their position in the sports betting Industry)
Now, a word from Wade at Doc's Sports:
What's up! This is Wade,
The narrator of this story put me in touch with August, but I had already heard some things about him around some circles. I knew he was a respected sharp bettor that had been limited from multiple sportsbooks and had been doing damage for years.
It was time to discuss business, so I offered him a spot on the Doc's Sports roster. I was more than open to have someone with his credentials on our team.
One thing which was rather impressive was his clear dedication and concerns to take care of our clients like they were one of his own private investors. He wanted to ensure he was giving them the best selections he possibly could, straight from his predictive model, for an affordable price, so our clients could enjoy the long-term profits he promised to provide.
Let me tell you - he has not disappointed one bit.
Since joining us here at Doc's Sports, August has managed to deliver a record-breaking +12,455 in total NHL profit (based on a $100 bettor) while hitting at an absurd 70% on the season. (As of this writing on 3/25/2022) You can see all of those plays here.
No wonder his NHL model was so feared that the books refused his action! We mentioned UFC and MLB earlier too. Well, his UFC in 2022 alone is up +5,705, and MLB is just around the corner where he utilizes many of the same methodology that has given him so much success in the NHL markets.
The consistency has been astounding. And you want to know the scary part of all of this? His model historically performs better toward the end of the season through the playoffs!
If you are interested in a custom built picks package from August Young for several of his sports, feel free to call our office and ask for me personally. If I’m not available leave your name and number and I will get back to you. 1-866-238-6696. Best of luck – Wade at Doc’s Sports.
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