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2024 Houston Texans Predictions with Odds to Win the Super Bowl

by Ryan Cobbett - 9/3/2024

Houston Texans predictions Stefon Diggs

Last season, the Texans were one of the best surprise stories as they made their way to the playoffs thanks to QB C.J. Stroud. After a slow 3-4 start, the Texans finished the season going 7-4, won the AFC South, and made it to the second round of the playoffs. They completely destroyed the Cleveland Browns in the first round of the playoffs, winning by a score of 45-14, but then fell to the Baltimore Ravens 34-10 in the Divisional Round.

Stroud finished eighth in the NFL with 4,108 passing yards, and he totaled 23 touchdowns and just five interceptions. He added another three touchdowns on the ground with just two fumbles. Devin Singletary led the Texans rushing attack with 898 yards and four touchdowns, while backup running mate Dameon Pierce finished with 416 yards and two touchdowns. Wide Receiver Nico Collins was Stroud’s favorite target, as the wideout finished with 1,297 yards and eight touchdowns. Collins finished eighth in the league in receiving yards. Rookie receiver Tank Dell finished second on the team with 709 yards and seven touchdowns, while tight end Dalton Schultz finished with five receiving touchdowns and 635 yards.

On defense, the Texans had two linebackers eclipse the 100 tackles mark, with Blake Cashman leading the way with 106 tackles and Christian Harris right behind him with 101 tackles. Safety Jalen Pitre filled up the stat sheet as well, finishing third on the team with 84 tackles while also recording six tackles for loss and five pass deflections. Cornerback Steven Nelson led the Texans with 12 pass deflections and four interceptions, while also recording 63 tackles. Linebacker Jonathan Greenard led Houston with 12.5 sacks, while rookie defensive end Will Anderson finished second on the team in sacks with seven.

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Houston Texans Key Additions/Losses

The Texans lost a lot of production from a season ago on both sides of the ball. Leading running back Devin Singletary is gone, while the offense also lost offensive tackle George Fant. On defense, the Texans are losing their leading tackler while also losing their leader in sacks in interceptions as Blake Cashman, Steven Nelson, and Jonathan Greenard are all gone. In addition to those three, the defense also lost defensive tackles Maliek Collins and Sheldon Rankins, edge rusher Jerry Hughes, and linebacker Denzel Perryman.

The Texans added defensive linemen Danielle Hunter, Denico Autry, Mario Edwards, Foley Fatukasi along with cornerbacks Jeff Okudah and C.J. Henderson. The offense also got a boost by adding wide receiver Stefon Diggs and running back Joe Mixon.

Houston Texans New Kids on the Block

The draft class that Houston brought in was weaker than most. Kamari Lassiter out of Georgia should be an immediate boost in the Texans secondary. Lassiter finished the season with 37 tackles, 0.5 sacks, 3.5 tackles for loss, and eight pass deflections. They also boosted the offensive line by adding offensive tackle Blake Fisher from Notre Dame.

Houston Texans X-Factors

Stroud’s Sophomore Season- Stroud put up incredible numbers in his rookie season. And because of that, the Texans were able to take tremendous steps forward and be ahead of schedule. This offseason they did a really good job adding a lot of talent around Stroud. Mixon not only boosts the run game, but he is also a great option in the pass game, one that now includes Diggs who will compliment Collins and Dell nicely. Stroud has even more weapons; he will just need to repeat his success and prove he can be a consistent threat in the NFL.

Houston Texans Notable Odds

Super Bowl Winner: +1500

AFC Champion: +800

AFC South Winner: +100

NFL MVP- C.J. Stroud: +1200

AP Offensive Player of the Year- Stefon Diggs +7500

Houston Texans Schedule Breakdown

Predicted Win Total: 9.5 Games

The Texan’s division is going to be more competitive than last year, but they should still run the table in the AFC South. There are eight wins on the schedule with just one loss. Their eight toss up games consist of road games at Indianapolis, Green Bay, New York (Jets), Jacksonville, and Kansas City, as well as home games against Indianapolis, Detroit, and Miami. With a win total set at 9.5, the Texans would need to go just 2-6 in this stretch to reach the over. Their lone loss on the schedule is Week 11 @ Dallas. I really like the over here for the Texans.

Houston Texans Predictions

With the win total at just 9.5, I think this Texans over is a great pick considering they would need to go just 2-6 in their toss up games. Their offense is going to be one of the best units in the league if Stroud can repeat his success from his rookie year and this Houston defense is getting more game experience and talent. Look for Houston to control the division race, hit the over on the win total. And at +800 to win the AFC, there is some positive and reasonable value. I also love Stroud at +1200 as a potential MVP winner this season with the revamped offense featuring Diggs and Mixon.

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