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2020 Hot Dog Eating Contest Odds and Expert Betting Predictions


by Alan Harris - 3/18/2020

Competitive eater Joey Chestnut

Let's face it, America is in shambles right now. The coronavirus has brought the country to a screeching halt. Governors from the west to the east coast have mandated all but non-essential businesses to shut their doors. People are self-quarantining themselves in fear of catching the virus, and the case numbers of people who have it are increasing every day. Across the country, casinos and their sportsbooks have been ordered to shut their doors, and the number of things that are left to wager on are few and far between at this point. One of the things that is still left to bet is an American tradition. One of the things still left to bet is something that we can all look forward to, something that can help the country heal in these trying times. That's right folks, we're talking about the Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest, scheduled to take place July 4 on Coney Island in Brooklyn. We're going to take a look at the odds here here and give you our picks and predictions.

Will Joey Chestnut win the men's contest?

Yes: -1000      

No: +550

Will the men's contest go to an Eat Off (Overtime)? 

Yes: +800       

No: -2500

Men's winner hot dogs eaten

Over: 71.5 -140           

Under: 71.5 +100

Will Miki Sudo win the women's contest?

Yes: -600        

No: +350

Women's winner hot dogs eaten

Over: 37.5 +100          

Under: 37.5 -140

The Pick:

Take Men's Hot Dog Contest Winner OVER 71.5 Hot Dogs Eaten -140

The number of hot hogs eaten in the men's competition increased each year for five straight years from 2014-2018. Last year, we saw a drop-off back down to 71 for the winner (Chestnut) after he set the record of 74 in 2018. In the last four years, all won by Chestnut, the numbers have been 70, 72, 74 and 71, so this 71.5 number set for 2020 would seem about right. What the oddsmakers haven't factored in is the fact that Chestnut was legitimately upset last year when he didn't break his own record set the year before. Throw in the fact that Joseph Christian Chestnut is an American sports icon, an American sports legend. Also throw in the fact that this could possibly be one of the first events to take place as things in the sports world get back to a sense of normalcy, and we're taking the over as we think Chestnut shows up and wins one for America, breaking his world record in the process. USA, USA, USA!!

 

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