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2024 Green Bay Packers Predictions with Odds to Win the Super Bowl

by Ryan Cobbett - 8/2/2024

Green Bay Packers predictions Jordan Love

The Packers broke into the playoff scene last season after a 9-8 regular season and went into Dallas and stunned the Cowboys by knocking off the NFC East Champion, 48-32. They would eventually fall in the next round to the NFC representative San Francisco 49ers. However, this Packers team is one of the youngest in the NFL. And now they have some playoff experience under their belt. They were able to rebound from a slow start and went on a key 6-2 stretch over the back half of their season to earn their spot in the postseason.

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The offense struggled through their first nine games, averaging just 19.9 PPG, but Jordan Love and company found their stride in the later parts of the season and averaged 27.3 PPG, including their two postseason games. Love finished seventh in the league in passing yards with 4,159, while his 32 touchdowns were second to only Dak Prescott. Green Bay had 10 players record 125 receiving yards or more last season. Jayden Reed was Love’s favorite target, as he led the team with 793 yards and was tied for the team lead in touchdowns with eight. He was tied with Romeo Doubs, who finished just behind Reed in yards with 674. The run game was not as significant to this offense, but the tandem of Aaron Jones and AJ Dillon was solid as the two backs both recorded over 600 yards on the ground, another 200 yards receiving, and combined for five touchdowns. Love did add another four touchdowns on the ground.

As for the defense, they were an average group last season. They ranked in the lower half of the league in YPG allowed but ranked in the upper half in PPG and in passing yards allowed. Linebacker Quay Walked led the team with 118 tackles, while also recording seven TFLs. Safety Rudy Ford led the team with two interceptions, while big Kenny Clark led the way with 7.5 sacks and nine TFLs. Lukas Van Ness, Rashan Gary, Kingsley Enagbare, and Karl Brooks also each recorded six or more TFLs last season. Green Bay’s seven interceptions ranked 31st in the league.

Green Bay Packers Key Additions/Losses

The Packers did lose some key pieces this offseason. Longtime running back Aaron Jones left for Minnesota, while the offensive line got weaker with Jon Runyan and Yosh Nijman leaving as well. On defense, linebacker De’Vondre Campbell and safeties Darnell Savage and Jonathan Owens all found new homes, giving this defense some questionable depth. That’s 210 tackles the defense now must replace on an already underwhelming group.

The Packers replaced Jones with Josh Jacobs and will once again have a dominant duo out of the backfield. They also added safety Xavier McKinney and kicker Greg Joseph. McKinney should soften the blow of the Savage and Owens departures, as he recorded 105 tackles and three interceptions last season with the Giants.

Green Bay Packers New Kids on the Block

Green Bay, already one of the youngest groups in the league, got younger, as they had 11 selections in this year’s NFL Draft. They deepened the secondary, as they drafted three safeties, Javon Bullard, Evan Williams, and Kitan Oladapo, as well as cornerback Kalen King. The Packers also used this draft to add depth in the trenches, as they drafted offensive tackles Jordan Morgan and Travis Glover while also adding center Jacob Monk. Green Bay took two linebackers in Edgerrin Cooper and Ty’Ron Hopper, while also adding running back Marshawn Lloyd and quarterback Michael Pratt.

Green Bay Packers X-Factors

Jordan Love- Love just got his big contract. Green Bay has committed to Love and now depends on him to transform into their franchise guy. However, Love only has last year to go off of. Last season was his first chance to be the everyday guy. And while he did not fail to impress, he has yet to show if he can repeat it. The Packers drafted well to reinforce Love’s weapons and protection. However, if he can’t repeat, this may be a disappointing season for the cheeseheads.

Green Bay Packers Notable Odds

Super Bowl Winner: +1800

NFC Champion: +800

NFC North Winner: +200

NFL MVP- Jordan Love: +1400

AP Defensive Player of the Year- Rashan Gary: +4000

Green Bay Packers Schedule Breakdown

Predicted Win Total: 9.5 Games

Their road trip to Detroit is the only certified loss on their schedule, and their first six weeks are not very difficult. Outside of their first two games against Philadelphia and Indianapolis, the next four games should be wins. It is the middle of the schedule that could wear down this young Packers team. From Week 7 to Week 9 they host Houston and Detroit and travel to Jacksonville. They could go 0-3 in those games, though 1-2 is more likely. After Week 9, they have a Bye before another tough stretch that features road games to Chicago, Detroit, and Seattle, while they play host to San Francisco and Miami. This is a tough schedule as the year goes on, so a hot start is crucial to their chance of improving on last year’s record, and reaching the over on their win total.

Green Bay Packers Predictions

Thanks to the difficult schedule, the unproven quarterback, and the unknowns of the secondary, I am going to take the south side of the projected win total for the Packers and say they are likely in for another 9-8 season. They may be a better team than what 9-8 record suggests. However, to have a home schedule that features, Philadelphia, Indianapolis, Houston, Detroit, San Francisco, Miami, and Chicago, is tough. There is little room for error with a schedule like this. And while I am high on Love, he still has a lot more to do in order to show he can handle this schedule.

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