Final Four Props with Best Bets, Odds and Predictions

by Jeremy Block - 4/4/2025

Final Four props best bets Emanuel Sharp Houston Cougars

We’ve been riding the March Madness rollercoaster for over two weeks now. And if you’re still not betting on some props, what are you even doing? The Final Four is here, and this is where things get real. We’ve seen our fair share of buzzer-beaters, bracket heartbreaks, and epic upsets, but now it’s time to focus on the game and player props that are going to make or break your bets.

Forget about just picking winners -- let’s talk about the key moments, the players stepping up, and those sneaky prop bets that could bring in some serious cash. So, buckle up, because we’re diving into some of my top prop picks for the big weekend.

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Florida vs. Auburn: F Johni Broome 10+ Rebounds (-157)

While Florida might look like the superior rebounding team on paper, I’m still going with Auburn’s Johni Broome to come up big on the glass and grab 10+ rebounds. Why? Well, Florida loves to shoot, and you better believe they’ll be launching from deep, especially with Walter Clayton Jr. leading the charge. That’s where Broome comes in -- cleaning up the long rebounds.

Plus, Florida’s leading rebounder, Alex Condon, is pulling down only about 7 boards per game, which means Broome is going to bully him on the glass and remind everyone who the real rebounding big man is. Don’t let Florida’s stats fool you. The senior big man has grabbed 11+ rebounds in four straight tournament games. And while he may not extend his streak, you can bank on Broome grabbing 10+ rebounds again.

Duke vs. Houston Under 137 Points (-110)

Heading into the Duke-Houston matchup, both teams have scorers -- Cooper Flagg has been doing his thing, and LJ Cryer’s no slouch -- but don’t let that fool you. This game’s not shaping up to be a shootout. I’m backing the under here, expecting it to land well below the 137 mark.

Houston’s been the most suffocating defense in the country all season, and that hasn’t changed in March. They’re still sitting at No. 1 in the nation, holding opponents to just 58.3 points per game. That’s not just good -- that’s “good luck trying to breathe” level defense.

And Duke? They’re not exactly a welcome mat, either. The Blue Devils are ranked seventh in scoring defense, giving up just 62.6 points per game. Both teams can clamp down when it counts. And in a high-stakes Final Four matchup, don’t expect either side to loosen up. This won’t be one of those flashy, up-and-down Duke games you’re used to. This game is going to be slow, physical, and tight. Take the under.

Florida vs Auburn: PG Walter Clayton Jr. 3+ Three Pointers (-136)

I’m riding with Florida G Walter Clayton Jr. to knock down at least three triples against Auburn. The Tigers aren’t exactly Houston-level on defense, but they’re no pushovers, either, giving up just 69 points per game. Still, this Gators offense has been a nightmare for defenses all tournament long, and that’s mostly thanks to Clayton Jr.

Clayton Jr. is coming off a 30-point game against Texas Tech in the Elite Eight, where he hit 3-of-8 from deep -- and that was against a legit defensive team. Having that said, Auburn can pressure him all they want, but he’s going to get his looks. Will the percentage be pretty? Probably not. But that’s not the point. He’s going to let it fly, and I like the volume. Give me Clayton Jr. to cash in at least three 3-pointers from downtown again.

Duke vs. Houston: G Emanuel Sharp 15+ Points (+134)

Heading back over to the Duke-Houston matchup, I’m not just expecting a low-scoring slugfest -- I’m zoning in on Houston F Emmanuel Sharp to finish with 15+ points. While Sharp may not be the captain of this ship (that’s L.J. Cryer’s role), the veteran wing has stepped up big lately. With Duke’s defense likely locking in on Cryer from the jump, that opens the door for Sharp to take on a bigger scoring role, especially if the Cougars want to punch first and force Duke to play from behind.

Sure, Sharp’s season average of 12.7 points per game isn’t anything to gloat about, but recent form tells the real story. He’s coming off back-to-back 16+ point games, and the most recent was against a Tennessee squad that plays better defense than Duke. If he could torch the Vols, there’s no reason he can’t do the same against the Blue Devils. The volume’s been there and the confidence is clearly up. And with all eyes on Cryer, this feels like another sneaky good spot for Sharp to cash this prop.

Dark Horses

Duke vs. Houston: Cooper Flagg Under 19.5 Points (-134)

This might not scream “dark horse” to some of you, but there's a reason this isn't one of my top plays -- just hear me out. Cooper Flagg, Duke’s golden boy and leading scorer, is coming off a just a 16-point outing against Alabama in the Elite Eight. So sure, the public’s probably itching to bet on a bounce-back game, expecting him to remind everyone why he’s the next big thing. But let’s slow that hype train down for a second, because he’s about to go toe-to-toe with the best defense in the entire country. And believe me, the Houston Cougars will be glued to him like from the moment he even looks at the ball.

Look, we know Flagg is talented -- but getting 20 points? Not likely. Houston's defense leads the nation, allowing just 58.3 points per game, and they don't let primary scorers get open looks for the most part. Expect double teams, traps, pressure -- maybe even a few bumps and bruises. This Cougars team is built to make stars disappear, and I’m betting they keep Flagg in check.

Duke vs. Houston: L.J. Cryer 19+ Points (+170)

Keeping it right here in the Duke vs. Houston matchup, I’m rolling with my other dark horse -- L.J. Cryer to score 19+ points. Cryer’s been top dog for a reason, and there’s a strong case to be made that he comes out swinging early to put Duke on their heels and silence the hype.

Now, Cryer may not be a three-level, do-it-all, scorer like Cooper Flagg, but that doesn’t mean he’s not just as dangerous. He’s been a certified bucket this entire tournament. And when Houston needs a shot, he’s the one they call.

Keep in mind, Cryer is coming off a 17-point game against a Tennessee defense that’s tougher than Duke’s, so don’t act surprised if he follows that up with another scoring burst. If Houston plans on winning this thing, they’ll need Cryer to do what he does best -- put the ball in the hoop.

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Start:	April 25, 2025 @ 9:30 PM
Expert:	Scott Spreitzer
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