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2024-25 Edmonton Oilers Predictions and Odds to Win Stanley Cup Finals

by Ryan Cobbett - 9/30/2024

Edmonton Oilers predictions Connor McDavid

Last season was a wild ride for the Edmonton Oilers and their fans. They started the season 1-9-1 before moving on from their head coach and goalie. After the changes, the team proceeded to go 27-6 over their next 33 games. Edmonton finished the year second in the Pacific Division with 104 points and a division leading +57 goal differential. They cruised through the first round of the playoffs, as they took down the Kings in five games. The Oilers then beat out the Canucks in seven games, before knocking out the Stars in six as they earned their spot in the Stanley Cup Finals. Unfortunately, the Oilers magical season ran out as they failed to erase a 3-0 deficit, losing the series to the Panthers in Game 7.

The strength of the Oilers is their deep offensive attack. They ranked fourth in the NHL averaging 3.59 GF/G as well as fourth with a 26.3% PP%. Connor McDavid finished third in the league with 132 points, while finishing in a first-place tie with Nikita Kucherov with 100 assists. McDavid finished third on his team in goals with 32, as Zach Hyman’s 54 goals led the team and Leon Draisaitl finished with 41 goals. Draisaitl finished with 106 points, which put him inside the Top 10 in the league with McDavid. They also saw production from their blueline as Evan Bouchard finished with 82 points and a +34 +/- rating, while his counterpart Mattias Ekholm finished with 45 points and a team leading +44 +/- rating.

Despite early struggles between the pipes, the Oilers finished the season 10th in the NHL in GA/G, allowing an average of 2.88 GA/G. Jack Campbell appeared in five games (early), where he went 1-4, allowing 4.50 GA/G on a .873 SV%. However, Stuart Skinner stepped up last season, going 36-16-5 in his 59 appearances, allowing 2.62 GA/G on a .905 SV%. Calvin Pickard allowed 2.45 GA/G in his 23 appearances as the backup.

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Seasons come and go, so now it’s time to take a look at what we can expect from the Edmonton Oilers in 2024-25:

Edmonton Oilers Key Additions/Losses

The Oilers are bringing back most players who were a part of their incredible season from a year ago. They made a flurry of trades this offseason, as they navigated little financial flexibility. Edmonton sent Ryan McLeod (30 points) to Buffalo and Cody Ceci (25 points) to San Jose. Vincent Desharnais (11 points) and Warren Foegele (41 points) also found new homes during free agency.

The Oilers did a good job replacing the production they lost with some key veteran players. They brought in Viktor Arvidsson to a two-year deal. He appeared in only 18 games last season because of an injury, but he should provide some depth for the Oilers if he can stay healthy. They also signed blueliner Josh Brown (10 points) and forward Jeff Skinner (46 points), while re-signing Adam Henrique (51 points) to a two-year deal.

Edmonton Oilers X-Factors

Consistency- The Oilers had a lot of up and downs in throughout their season. Though not as exaggerated as the beginning of their season, the Oilers still dug themselves some holes in the playoffs. They saw early deficits in their series with Dallas and again against Florida. If they can avoid playing from behind this season, Edmonton could very easily bring home a cup and finish with one of the best records in the league. There is plenty of production up and down the roster, they just need to be consistent from start to finish.

The New 2nd Line- As if they needed it, the Oilers second line projects to be incredibly strong if they can stay healthy. Behind the Ryan Nugent-Hopkins, McDavid, Hyman line is now Skinner, Draisaitl, and Arvidsson. If they can stay healthy, their second line features three guys with 30+ goal potential.

Edmonton Oilers Goalie Outlook

There is no Jack Campbell this season as Stuart Skinner and Calvin Pickard are slated to be the goalies for Edmonton this season. Skinner has allowed an average of 2.69 GA/G in his two years as the starting goaltender, while Pickard is hoping to repeat success that he hasn’t seen since his days in Colorado. If Pickard can repeat, and Skinner can continue to see consistent improvement, the Oilers are set in the crease. It takes a lot of pressure off of Skinner and Pickard when you have McDavid and company sending pucks at the other net.

Grade: B-

Edmonton Oilers Key Schedule Stretch

January 21st- February 1st- This is a short 10 days where the Oilers remain on home ice for a bit as the All-Star Break approaches. They have six games, all on home ice, and even have a three-day break in between two of the contests. The opposition isn’t overly challenging, and the Oilers should come out of this homestand on a positive note. The stand begins with Washington with games coming against Vancouver, Buffalo, Seattle, Detroit, and it ends with Toronto. Look for the Oilers to take advantage of the home stretch, boost themselves in the standings, and begin to look at some deadline additions.

Edmonton Oilers Notable Odds

Stanley Cup Champions: +850

Conference Winner: +390

Division Winner: +120

Hart Trophy- Connor McDavid: +150

Hart Trophy- Leon Draisaitl: +2000

Vezina Trophy- Stuart Skinner: +4500

Edmonton Oilers Predictions

With a team like this, there are a lot of future picks to look at. With the additions of Jeff Skinner and Viktor Arvidsson, the offensive depth and potential may be better than it was a year ago, while Skinner should continue to see improvement from year to year. McDavid has already won three Hart Trophies and is still in his prime, so he always deserves a look to be this year’s winner. Edmonton will improve on their point total from last season, hit the over on the Team Total mark this season (105.5), and they will be in contention for the Presidents Trophy. As for the playoffs, its all but certain Edmonton will make it and will be an incredibly tough out for whoever they play at any round. A lot to like with this year’s Edmonton squad.

Over 105.5 Team Total Points

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