2024 Dallas Cowboys Predictions with Odds to Win the Super Bowl

by Ryan Cobbett - 8/21/2024

The Dallas Cowboys started the 2023 season off on an incredible note, going 2-0 with a combined score of 70-10 and went on to finish 12-5 and win the NFC East division. They did struggle on the road, with all five regular season losses coming away from AT&T Stadium. Dallas would finish with a road record of 4-5, with a +26-point differential, while they finished 8-0 at home. Unfortunately for Cowboys fans, their season wound up ending on home turf after being, surprisingly, dominated by the Green Bay Packers, losing by double digits and suffering a first-round exit.

Dak Prescott had an incredible season, as he finished third in the NFL in passing yards with 4,516 yards, while leading the NFL in passing touchdowns with 36. He was the only quarterback to throw for more than 30 touchdowns and less than 10 interceptions last season. Prescott also narrowly beat Brock Purdy to lead starting quarterbacks in CMP% with a solid 69.5% mark. Prescott’s favorite target was CeeDee Lamb, who was targeted 181 times, which was good for 30% of Prescott’s attempts. Lamb would finish with 1,749 receiving yards and 12 touchdowns, both good for second most in the league. He also added 113 rushing yards and two more touchdowns on the ground. Tight end Jake Ferguson finished second on the team with 761 yards, while Brandin Cooks would finish behind Lamb in receiving touchdowns with eight. The Cowboys had eight different players record a receiving touchdown. Despite all the success in the passing game, Tony Pollard had himself a heck of a year on the ground, recording more than 1,000 rushing yards and six touchdowns.

While the offense was incredibly impressive all year, the defense dominated as well. There were only two games last season where their opponent scored more than 30 points, while they held the opposition to less than 14 points seven times. As a unit, the Cowboys ranked fifth in both YPG allowed and PPG allowed. The secondary was the backbone of the defense, as they held opponents to less than 190 YPG in the air. Daron Bland and Stephon Gilmore formed a shutdown duo in Trevon Diggs’ absence, as the two backs combined for 28 pass deflections. Bland not only led the team, but the league, with nine interceptions, five of which he found the end zone. The leader of the defense, Micah Parsons, finished with 14.5 sacks, which led the team and ranked seventh in the league.

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Dallas Cowboys Key Additions/Losses

The Cowboys did have some significant pieces depart this offseason. Cornerback Stephon Gilmore left for Minnesota, while longtime Cowboys tackle Tyron Smith also left for the Jets. Center Tyler Biadasz, and defensive ends Dorance Armstrong and Dante Fowler Jr., followed former DC Dan Quinn to Washington. Defensive tackle Johnathan Hankins also left, leaving the defensive line without much depth. Running back Tony Pollard also left this offseason and signed with Tennessee.

As for the additions, the Cowboys were surprisingly quiet this offseason. They did bring in veteran linebacker Erick Kendricks, who should fit in nicely, while they also brought in defensive Linval Joseph, who is a two-time Pro Bowler.

Dallas Cowboys New Kids on the Block

Dallas wasted no time addressing the depth concerns in the trenches. They spent their first three picks reinforcing the line on either side, and five of their eight picks were linemen. Tyler Guyton was their first-round selection, but the steal of their draft was guard Cooper Beebe out of Kansas State, who they took in the third round. Beebe was an absolute bully during his time with the Wildcats and should provide an immediate boost to the Cowboys run game. Edge rusher Marshawn Kneeland could also be a huge wild card for this draft class, as he finished with 57 tackles and 4.5 sacks at Western Michigan last year.

Dallas Cowboys X-Factors

Depth in the trenches- As mentioned, the Cowboys faced an exodus of departures on the line. And with a new DC in place, the Cowboys defense may not be as dominant as it was a year ago. An injury to Demarcus Lawrence, Micah Parsons, or Mazi Smith, and the defensive line takes a huge step back. As for the offensive side of the ball, losing two starting offensive lineman is tough, and the Cowboys are now relying on Tyler Guyton to step in and fill the hole from Day 1. Guyton will be slotted at right tackle, which will allow last season’s first round pick, Tyler Smith, to shift to the interior.

Dallas Cowboys Notable Odds

Super Bowl Winner: +1800

NFC Champion: +800

NFC East Winner: +175

NFL MVP- Dak Prescott: +2000

NFL MVP- CeeDee Lamb: +15000

Dallas Cowboys Schedule Breakdown

Predicted Win Total: 9.5 Games

After winning 12 games a season ago, it is surprising to see the win total sit at 9.5 for the Cowboys. The Cowboys have a couple of tough stretches in their schedule. There are eight wins, only one certified loss, with eight other games falling into the toss up category. They have a tough four week stretch from Week 8 through Week 11 where they play @ San Francisco, @ Atlanta, Philadelphia, and Houston. The road game against the 49ers is the only loss on the schedule. In regard to the win total, the Cowboys would need to go just 2-6 in the toss up games, assuming they take care of business everywhere else on the schedule. This team may not be as strong as they were a season ago, but they are still the best team in the division, and winning 10 games this season is highly likely.

Dallas Cowboys Predictions

I am on the over on the win total with no sweat. Dallas’ floor seems like a 10-7 record, and I could see them reaching 12 wins again this season. If they can stay healthy, which has been tricky for this team, they have all the pieces in place to be a playoff team capable of a deep run. At +1800 to win the Super Bowl, the Cowboys have tremendous value, and Dak Prescott is more than capable of bringing home the MVP. Having CeeDee Lamb around helps big time. Dallas will win the NFC East and will be put in the same familiar spot where fans are left holding their breath to see what team shows up in the playoffs.

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Start:	November 22, 2024 @ 8:00 PM
Expert:	Raphael Esparza (VSI)
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2024 Dallas Cowboys Predictions with Odds to Win the Super Bowl

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