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Betting on the Super Bowl Coin Toss 2025

by Spencer Toth - 2/3/2025

Betting the Super Bowl coin toss Chiefs Eagles

Everyone in the world of sports has been influenced by the explosion in sports betting’s popularity in recent years. Eight years ago, sports betting of any kind was illegal in 49 of the 50 states. Flash forward to 2025, and 38 states have sports betting legalized in some shape or form, with more than half operating both online and in-person. Betting on sports has never been more popular, but one bet rises above the rest. That is the coin toss. Hours of research can go into any player prop, spread, side, total, or even novelty prop. The beauty of the coin toss, and why it gathers millions of dollars of action on a single flip, is the unpredictability combined with the sudden impact it can have on the rest of the game. 

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It doesn’t take a university degree in statistics to work out the advanced probability of the coin toss. Just like every other year, it will be either heads or tails, with a perfect 50% chance of each outcome. The Super Bowl is no ordinary game, as it can attract the attention of non-football fans from around the country. For the diehard football fans like you and me, another meeting between the Chiefs and Eagles is quite stale. However, for casual football fans around the world, these are two teams they have heard of and seen play before. The familiarity that has grown between these two teams will make this year’s Super Bowl even more enjoyable for casual viewers and is a great opportunity to get into sports betting. It can be difficult to get into the daunting world of sports betting, and the Super Bowl coin toss is a great place to start. You don’t have to know what college Patrick Mahomes played at or understand the 2-point safety to bet on the coin toss; just pick a side, sit back, and enjoy. 

The first option is the always reliable “Tails Never Fails”. Last year's Tails did indeed fail, but there is no doubt the avid Tails fans will be better than ever this year. “Tails Never Fails” consistently trends on X during the Super Bowl and can be one of the most reliable picks in sports. Six victories in seven years came to a crashing halt after Tails picked up just one win in the last four years. However, they still hold a narrow 30-28 lead and will look to pull away with a victory this year. 

Heads cannot be forgotten. After several bad streaks ruined Heads impressive Super Bowl record, it is easy to forget how reliable the next generation of coins has been. Heads holds a 10-9 lead since 2005 and is the hotter side of the coin heading into this matchup. The Chiefs are 3-1 on the coin toss and 3-1 straight up in the Super Bowl, which is hardly a coincidence. They have ridden with Heads in three of their four appearances, but it is important to note their only Tails victory was against the Eagles in 2023. 

Selecting which team to support in the Super Bowl will be a heavily scrutinized decision, but selecting which side of the coin to support is even bigger. It is more than likely your Super Bowl party will feature a “Tails Never Fails” fangroup that you will need to navigate around. On the one hand, aligning with the rest of the party can unite your Super Bowl squad. However, we fell into that trap last year after we let our hair down, and there is no chance I will make the same mistake this year. It was difficult to put into words how easy it was for Tails Never Fails to lure me into the dark side, and while it was fun, we are back into the light. Heads is the side of the coin distinguished gentlemen can root for. It has proven to be a reliable choice in year’s past, and it is not time to sway from that trend. The official Super Bowl pick for this year’s coin toss, is Heads. 

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