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2022 Belmont Stakes Long Shots: Expert Advice and Betting Tips for Finding Value

by Cameron McQuade - 6/7/2022

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Belmont Stakes long shots Barber Road

The “Test of the Champions”, the “Run for the Carnations”, or the “Third Jewel of the Triple Crown” takes place this Saturday, on June 11. With excitement growing, everyone is looking at which horse is the favorite to win. As we know, the long shot/underdog can be the horse to take the cake. Rich Strike will be running out of Gate 4, with 7-2 odds. His prior race was at the Kentucky Derby. And for those who don’t know, he was the second biggest underdog in history at 80-1 odds to win the Derby, which he did. Our last long shot article, written on May 18th for the Preakness Stakes, included Creative Minister, who ended up finishing 3rd in the race. Today we are going to look at two “long shot” horses that can have possible Top 3 finish upside, even with the odds against them.

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Barber Road (10-1 Odds): With the third “worst” odds to win the Belmont Stakes, Barber Road is considered a “long shot” amongst the 7 other current competitors. He drew Gate #8 during Tuesday’s afternoon post-position drawing. Gate 8 has had a total of 7 Belmont winners in the history of the race. It isn’t the best position to draw, but Barber Road is a closer who exceeded expectations at the Kentucky Derby, where he finished 6th place, 4 ¾ lengths behind winner Rich Strike. He picked off many tired horses in the final stretch of the Derby, which brings me to believe his stamina will benefit him greatly in the 1 ½-mile marathon come Saturday. He checked in a length behind fifth-place finisher Mo Donegal, who he will face again at the Belmont, too. Mo Donegal comes into the race with 5-2 odds. And for being a very similar horse to Barber Road, the value is immense here at 10-1.

Golden Glider (20-1 odds): Tied with Skippylongstocking for being the biggest underdog in the race, Golden Glider has some long shot likeability. His female family history gives him a solid stamina boost, as he’s also related to 1998 Belmont winner Touch Gold and Canadian Triple Crown winner With Approval, through his third dam (maternal great-grandmother), Passing Mood. Golden Gliders long shot chances are present due to the longer distance of the race. Also, being a “closer” running style horse benefits him greatly. With the pace most likely being more contested and preserved, a top 3 finish isn’t out of the question at all for the Mark Casse horse. Golden Glider will be running out of Gate #7, which has had a total of 14 winners in race history, 4th most of out of the 13 spots ran from at the Belmont. Most recently in 2019, Sir Winston won the Belmont Stakes running out of Gate #7. He coincidently was also a chestnut-colored colt for all you trend bettors.

The final leg of the Triple Crown is shaped up to be a great one. It’s been a riot thus far, and I’m sure Saturday will bring new excitement to the sport as the past two races have been wild.

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