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2025 Baltimore Orioles Predictions with World Series Odds and Season Win Total Picks

by Ryan Cobbett - 2/10/2025

Baltimore Orioles predictions Corbin Burnes

The 2024 season ended earlier than Orioles fans would have liked or expected after they were swept in the Wild-Card Series against Kansas City. After producing one of the best lineups in the regular season, the Orioles could not figure out the Royals pitching staff as they were held to just one run in the series. Baltimore finished the regular season with a 91-71 record, which is one game better than their expected record. And they finished three games behind the New York Yankees in the division standings

Gunnar Henderson was incredible last season for Baltimore. The young star finished fourth in the MLB in WAR (9.1) and he ranked in the Top 12 in homeruns (37), hits (177), runs (118), and OPS (.893) while also stealing 21 bases. Henderson was far from the only producer in this lineup that ranked fourth in the league in runs and OPS while also finishing second in homeruns. Anthony Santander clubbed a team leading 44 homeruns, and he also was the team leader in RBIs (102). There was production up and down the lineup, as guys like Adley Rutschman, Colton Cowser, and Jordan Westburg all recorded more than 15 homeruns and 60 RBIs. And you can’t forget about a do it all player like Cedric Mullins, who led the team with 32 stolen bases while also tallying 18 homeruns and 54 RBIs on his way to a 2.6 WAR.

The pitching staff was not as deep as their lineup, but they did their job. Corbin Burnes defined durability as he made 32 starts last season and led the rotation in innings pitched (194.1), ERA (2.92), WHIP (1.10), and strikeouts (181). Zach Eflin came over in the middle of the season and proved to be a difference-maker down the stretch as he recorded a 2.60 ERA over his nine regular season starts with Baltimore. The Orioles ranked 14th in ERA, 11th in WHIP, and their bullpen struggles were highlighted in their 4.22 ERA which ranked 23rd in the MLB.

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Baltimore Orioles Key Additions/Losses

The Orioles’ losses are quite significant, though they remain in the playoff picture heading into the new season. First and foremost, they lost Burnes as he signed with the Arizona Diamondbacks. In addition to Burnes, the Orioles also saw their homerun leader in Santander join their division rival Toronto Blue Jays. That’s their ace and their best power hitter gone. Baltimore also lost some depth pieces as John Means, James McCann, and Austin Slater all hit the free agent market. They also declined the team option on Eloy Jiminez and the team also non-tendered reliever Jacob Webb.

Despite the losses, the Orioles made moves to plug the holes. Though it is hard to replace a guy like Burnes, the Orioles signed Charlie Morton and Tomoyuki Sugano to give the rotation some depth while Kyle Bradish and Tyler Well remain on the IL. The Orioles also brought in Daz Cameron via trade to give the outfield some depth while also electing Tyler O’Neil to fill the hole left by Santander. Baltimore also signed reliever Andrew Kittredge, catcher Gary Sanchez, and outfielders Dyland Carlson and Ramon Laureno.

Baltimore Orioles Prospect Outlook

After having the league’s best farm system for three straight years, they now rank 14th as much of those headline prospects have graduated to the MLB roster. The Orioles still have two of the top prospects in baseball in Samuel Basallo (C/1B) and Coby Mayo (3B/1B), who rank 13th and 14th respectively in the MLB Top 100 Prospects rankings. They have a load of outfield prospects waiting in the wings with five of their Top 10 team prospects all playing in the outfield. This group is led by their first-round pick from last year in Vance Honeycutt who was drafted 22nd overall out of North Carolina.

Baltimore Orioles X-Factors

Pitching Rotation- Bradish and Wells are out until at the deep summer days of the season. That means Baltimore will be heavily reliant on Eflin, Grayson Rodriguez and Charlie Morton to keep them relevant until their return. Morton is now 41 years old, while Rodriguez has yet to live up to his expectations. All this doesn’t help when you consider their lineup also got worse after losing Santander.

Division Improvements- Despite losing Juan Soto, the Yankees will head into the season as heavy favorites to win the AL East. However, Boston and Toronto have been working on improving their rosters in order to compete this season. Baltimore will likely be in the best position to make a run at the Yankees, but that is far from a guarantee after failing to make a big move this offseason to replace their two departed stars.

Baltimore Orioles Expectations

The expectations for Baltimore are that they will remain relevant and in the playoff picture. However, I think they could really push the Yankees for the top spot in the division, especially if the Yankees have a slow start to the season. Baltimore will still have one of the best lineups in baseball if guys like Westburg and Cowser can replicate or improve on their production from last season. O’Neil is a solid replacement for Santander, and Rutschman should also see an improvement in his production at the plate after a down year last season. This offense will score a lot of runs and should bail out their weaker starting rotation. The return of Bradish could be huge for Baltimore and make them real contenders for the AL East crown if he can return to form as he would boost the rotation to another level. Regardless, Baltimore will make the playoffs once again this season.

Baltimore Orioles Notable Odds:

Win Total: 88.5

World Series Champions- +1400

Pennant Winners- +600

Division Winners- +240

AL MVP- Gunnar Henderson +700

AL MVP- Adley Rutschman +5500

AL Cy Young- Grayson Rodriguez +3000

AL Rookie of the Year- Coby Mayo +1100

Baltimore Orioles Predictions

How could you not like the Orioles at +240 to win the division? That is great value for a team who has been playing just as well as the Yankees over the past couple of seasons. Not only that, but the Yankees lineup, despite having Aaron Judge, is not scaring anyone and could really hold them back this season. Henderson for MVP is also a solid choice. At +700, the youngster has the third best odds to win the award, and he finished fourth in the MVP voting last season. Baltimore is providing great value future picks here. In addition to those two picks, it is hard to imagine this Baltimore team not reaching the 90-win mark.

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