by Christopher Shepard - 04/13/2006
The following is the second of several 2006 NFL mock drafts from Doc's Sports site. The NFL Draft will begin on April 29 and will be held for the first time at New York City's Radio City Music Hall with the top five prospects; USC's Heisman winners RB Reggie Bush and QB Matt Leinart, NC State DE Mario Williams and Virginia OT D'Brickashaw Ferguson in attendance. Excuse us while we get our Mel Kiper, Jr. on; in a middle aged, balding sort of way.
1. Houston Texans - Reggie Bush, RB, USC.
Incoming Head Coach Gary Kubiak has the blessing and the curse of having the first pick in the 2006 draft, which basically means the team he has inherited was the worst team in the NFL last year. And while there are many needs on both sides of the ball for the Texans -- most notably an offensive line -- nobody picks an offensive lineman ahead of a Heisman winner likes USC RB Reggie Bush. While the last thing the Texans need is another RB, Kubiak comes from the Broncos who made their bones with the best offensive lines in football. How this offensive philosophy translates to Kubiak's new team, we'll have to wait and see. However, how badly does QB Carr need a line that can protect him? It is unlikely the Texans will trade down, or pick Ferguson, or leave Bush to get picked by the next team in line. Bush brings so much talent and ability; from returning punts to playing slot receiver to rushing the ball that it is impossible to see him as anything but the first round pick for the Texans.
2. New Orleans Saints - A.J. Hawk, LB, Ohio State.
New HC Sean Payton is known for his brilliance as an offensive coach, so if the Saints do not trade away their No. 2 pick, and even if they do, the Saints will look to strengthen their defense. While almost everyone has Williams going second in their mock drafts since he is a premier DE, I think the Saints will go another direction since they are already loaded at the DE position. So a LB of Hawk's ilk would upgrade the Saints defense while giving the Saints strength as a weak side LB.
3. Tennessee Titans -Matt Leinart, QB, Texas.
Let the reunions begin as Norm Chow gets his play making, Heisman-winning QB back in the fold. The Titans have a lot of work to do if they hope to return to the championship game any time soon, and while quarterback Vince Young is a possibility, I'm not ready to lay odds against the Matt-Chow connection. If anyone knows Leinart's value it is Norm Chow rather than say a Merril Hoge. Leinart fired his agent, experts say his stock is dropping because he lacks "an NFL caliber arm," and that Leinart hurt his NFL draft potential by returning for his senior year at USC. He just visited Tennessee and there ain't no place he'd rather be.
4. New York Jets - D'Brickashaw Ferguson, OT, Virginia.
The Saints might trade their No. 2 pick to the NY Jets for the Jets' No. 4 and No. 29 overall picks as well as their No. 3 pick in the 2007 draft and hope for the best of both worlds, getting the defensive player they want while upgrading their draft potential over the next two years. While a draft trade will give the Jets the enviable choice of either OT Ferguson or QB Leinart in the end, new Jets HC Eric Mangini, who has the choice of resurrecting ex-Redskin Ramsey or resuscitating Chad Pennington's career on the shoulders of the mountainous Ferguson, will select the big Cavalier tackle. In either case, Ferguson is a must have for the Jets; they'll trade up if they have to, but it might not be necessary.
5. Green Bay Packers - Mario Williams, DE, North Carolina State.
How psyched are the Packers if Williams is still available by the fifth pick? Williams is quite possibly the best defensive end to come out of the draft since Julius Peppers. At 6-7 and 295 pounds, he is twice as fast as he looks and one of the best, if not the most dominant, defensive players available in the draft. From the draft perspective, Favre's decision to return or not should not influence Mike McCarthy's decision to grab Williams. The Packers would like to get Williams, and since the Saints aren't likely to grab another DE, Williams should be there for the Packers. Williams also has the agility to hit the ground running and become an effective NFL linebacker as well as being a necessary run-stopper.
6. San Francisco 49ers - Michael Huff, CB/S, Texas
The one thing San Francisco doesn't need is an overpaid rookie quarterback. In fact, the 49ers big problems are on defense as they were torched through the air last year. As tempting as it is to grab TE Vernon Davis from Maryland for Alex Smith's sophomore year, San Francisco already has a great playmaking TE in Eric Johnson who returns from an injury last season. San Francisco's defense is full of holes and Huff brings big play ability to the porous 49er secondary.
7. Oakland Raiders -Vernon Davis, TE, Maryland.
It is well known that Al Davis loves Walter, and who better to get him going than Vernon "Oh My God" Davis. Davis is a tremendous athlete and will create mismatches just by getting on the field. I feel the Raiders will get better value with this pick by grabbing him here rather than a defensive player at this point. Davis should do for the Raiders what Antonio Gates does for the Chargers.
8. Buffalo Bills - Jay Cutler, QB, Vanderbilt
The Bills struggled at QB last year and with Marv Levy back in the fold, the Bills will be looking to get an intelligent QB that can get the most out of all his players. Cutler fits the bill (sorry) on all accounts. An SEC-hardened pro, whose swansong was beating Tennessee, Cutler has the guts, ability and brains to re-ignite and lead Buffalo's offense.
9. Detroit Lions - Haloti Ngata, DT, Oregon
A quick note to Lions GM Matt Millen; you don't need a WR, but defense! Detroit needs a defensive-minded approach to the draft this year and Haloti Ngata fits the Lions' 2006 draft shopping list. He is an enormous man that stops almost anything up the middle of the defensive line, and has the strength and agility to be nuisance in the backfield as well. The Lions struggled at this position last year. With Kitna is the heir apparent to the Harrington throne; it looks very likely they'll grab the defensive Duck.
10. Arizona Cardinals - Jimmy Williams, CB, Virginia Tech.
The Cardinals picked up Colts RB James during the off-season so they won't be looking to add another RB to their offensive arsenal. However, HC Dennis Green will likely look to solidify a secondary he has been building by pairing Williams with last year's first-round pick, Antrel Rolle. Granted the Cardinals dumped QB McCown this year, but I think they'll wait until later to pick up a back-up QB for Warner.
11. St. Louis Rams - Johnathan Joseph, CB, South Carolina
If the Rams want to compete in the aerial-minded NFC West, the Rams have to stop the passing attacks of Seattle and Arizona. They'd like to grab Williams, but with the safety likely gone by this point, Joseph is another gifted cornerback in the draft and is likely to get grabbed by the Rams if they eschew picking a competent second string QB to back up the oft-injured Marc Bulger.
12. Cleveland Browns - Chad Greenway, LB, Iowa.
While the Browns have some concerns on offense, HC Crennel is known for his defense and he is still building the defense around a 3-4 package. For that he'll need a strong corps of linebackers. He's already strengthened the Browns defense on the off-season and Greenway will go a long way to solidifying this unit.
13. Baltimore Ravens - Vince Young, QB, Texas
After winning the National Championship with Texas, Young's stock rose. However, a low Wonderlic score and awkward throwing motion have cooled his NFL prospects and indeed in January many people would have been surprised to see him fall this far in the draft. HC Brian Billick is a technophile known as much for his comprehensive, complicated playbook as he is for requiring all his players to have laptops. So it seems, if Wonderlic scores are to be believed, Young would be a strange choice. Billick already tried the Brains route and it hasn't worked so perhaps a little brawn is just what the Ravens ordered.
14. Philadelphia Eagles - Chad Jackson, WR, Florida.
The Eagles get RB Buckhalter back this year as he was sidelined all last year due to a leg injury, so they are unlikely to shop for another RB. What the Eagles really need is a game-breaking receiver. While the T.O. experiment ended on a sour note, life without T.O. was even worse. Reid has seen the difference one receiver can make and he misses it. Also rekindle McNabb's confidence in his receivers is something big playmaker Jackson can do. Jackson might just make Reid say, "T.O. who?"
15. Denver Broncos (from Atlanta) - DeAngelo Williams, RB, Memphis.
The Bronco's have earned the right to be called the "Tailback U" of the NFL and having just dealt Mike Anderson and not wanting to rely solely on Tatum Bell, the Bronco's will waste no time selecting the best RB in the draft not named Bush. While they might have once been interested in USC rushing TD record holder LenDale White, the senior appeared soft in the combine and has yet to run a 40 for scouts. This points us toward the phenomenal Williams who won't find it difficult racking up 100+ yard games as a rookie behind the best OL in football.
16. Miami Dolphins - Winston Justice, OT, USC
Now that Saban has spent a year in the NFL, he has probably noticed that he needs someone to protect his newly-acquired QB and resident big man, Dante Culpepper. Meaning Saban will most likely be really happy that Williams fell this far in the draft. Considering the recent troubles of another Williams, Saban will need to rely on his OL even more this year. I see Miami forced to choose the best available OL on the board. Considering his impressive debut at USC's Pro Day last week, it is likely the Dolphins find someone to protect their QB. While the Dolphins could use some help at WR as well, Justice has really impressed scouts and will be hard for Saban to resist.
17. Minnesota Vikings - Laurence Moroney, RB, Minnesota.
Just as long as no Viking goes on a boat on a lake this summer things should be okay, now that the floor of the carpet has been swept. HC Brad Childress does not want to go into the season with questions at running back. And there are plenty of them; Michael Bennett is gone, Onterrio Smith has many issues and cannot be counted on, while Mewelde Moore has very questionable stamina. I think the Vikings would like to have DeAngelo Williams but they'll be happy with the punishing endurance and NFL size that hometown RB Laurence Moroney brings to the field. Moroney will also fit into Childress' West Coast offense quite nicely.
18. Dallas Cowboys - Brodrick Bunkley, DT, Florida State.
With T.O. now in the fold, Holmes from OSU seems like an unlikely pick for Dallas. HC Bill Parcells has a few QBs whom he still likes and a few running backs he likes. Parcells will look to strengthen the Cowboys' Defensive Line. Brunkley brings a load of upside potential for the Cowboys' run defense and should fit in with the new defense that Parcells installed in 2005.
19. San Diego Chargers - Jason Allen, S, Tennessee
Jason Allen, like Leinart, almost entered the draft early but returned to the Volunteers this year with hopes of winning a National Championship this season. Unfortunately Allen dislocated his hip in October and that affected his draft status until the Scouting Combines. Prior to the injury Allen was a definite first round choice and now it seems like his stock has risen once again now that he has proven he's healthy and ready to play. Allen brings his versatile defensive ability to any team that selects him, and the Chargers like the fact he is able to play either cornerback or safety, having started at both positions. The Chargers could also look to deepen their roster at WR, but it doesn't seem likely that they'll let a guy of Allen's obvious talents slip through their hands in the aerial AFC West.
20. Kansas City Chiefs - Tye Hill, Cornerback, Clemson.
The Chiefs made strides at strengthening their DBs last year by adding Dolphin Patrick Surtain, but Eric Warfield is clearly not the answer on the other corner. The first round has a few strong DBs as first-round prospects this year and the Chiefs first pick in the draft should be used to get the cornerback and replace Warfield. I am amazed that Hill is still available at this point and even though the Chiefs could use a game breaking receiver this year isn't a great class for WRs so picking Hill makes a lot of sense in this spot for KC.
21. New England Patriots - Richard Marshall, CB, Fresno State
While most of the NFL viewing public scratched their collective heads at some of the moves the Patriots made this off-season, fans can only hope they draft well. The Patriots have many needs on both sides of the ball, but as they compete in a division that features the ultra-aerial Colts (with a clutch new kicker), they'll need to shore up their defense; specifically in their defensive backfield. Belichick is known to recruit guys that fit the Patriots' system, which is why Fresno State CB makes a lot of sense for the Patriots. Even with the addition of Tebucky Jones to the team. Linebacker and is also a need and the Patriots might go with Kamerion Wimbley and Bobby Carpenter. Also, New England will also look to replace DE Willie McGinest and add a RB as well, but Marshall will be gone by the Patriots next pick so I think Marshall is too good to pass up for a team that needs help at many positions.
22. Denver Broncos - Santonio Holmes, WR, Ohio State.
It's hard to believe that Holmes won't be drafted by the No. 22 pick, but stranger things have happened, and the draft is also about meeting a team's needs, not just picking up a great player with potential to succeed in the NFL. Having picked up a RB to replace Mike Anderson, the Bronco's need a speedy WR or a pass rushing DE so they could go either way, but I think that Shanahan will look to improve (and eventually replace) the aged Rod Smith. Holmes is the best player available to boost the depth of the Bronco's receiving corps and eventually take over as the No. 1/2 option for Plummer.
23. Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Eric Winston, T, Miami
For HC Gruden to get back to the championship game, his offense will need to play as well as his defense. The Buccaneers, though, need a left tackle more than another good defensive prospect. While the Bucs could use their pick on a defensive back, they'll likely look no further than their own state and OT Eric Winston (if Justice is gone).
24. Cincinnati Bengals - Donte Whitner, S, Ohio State.
Whitner looks to be in HC Marvin Lewis' sights as he looks to shore up a secondary that got torched last year. No doubt, Whitner has been relatively low profile, but is worthy of a first round pick for the Bengals. His big play making ability nose for the ball and all around athleticism makes Whitner an excellent fit for the Bengals. 25. New York Giants - Gabe Watson, Defensive Tackle, Michigan. As un-sexy as drafting a lineman is in New York, the Giants are in desperate need of a stopgap defensive tackle, and they'll get that out of the big tackle from Michigan. While other needs include defensive backs, a perhaps an extra WR, I can see Coughlin strengthening his defensive line in the run-oriented NFC East. Watson is an immovable player who controls the line and requires double teams to block him -- even then he isn't always blocked. Watson is very strong and has the ability to collapse the pocket single-handedly.
25. New York Giants - Gabe Watson, Defensive Tackle, Michigan.
As un-sexy as drafting a lineman is in New York, the Giants are in desperate need of a stop-gap defensive tackle-and they'll get that out of the big tackle from Michigan. While other needs include defensive backs, a perhaps an extra wide-out, I can see Coughlin strengthening his defensive line in the run oriented NFC East. Watson is an immovable player who controls the line and requires double teams to block him-even then he isn't always blocked. Watson is very strong and has the ability to collapse the pocket single-handedly.
26. Chicago Bears - Leonard Pope, Tight End, Georgia.
The Bears picked up some speed at WR last year, but are still in need of an offensive weapon to break across the middle of the field and to block when necessary. Pope is excellent at both and he has the hands of a WR. He is 6-7 and almost as speedy as a WR but brings toughness and a lot of potential as an NFL player. The Bears could also decide upon a defensive back rather than go with a TE, but with one of the best defenses in the NFL, it might be more valuable for the Bears to use this pick on either UCLA's Lewis or USC TE Dominique Byrd. Pope is most likely the choice as he averaged 18.1 yards a catch in college and is an intimidating TE to match-up against in a game.
27. Carolina Panthers - Demeco Ryans, LB, Alabama
The Panthers addition of WR Johnson strengthens the deep threat, but does nothing to address the fact that Stephen Davis is gone, Eric Shelton is off an injury and DeShaun Foster can't stay healthy. So getting another running back is a need for the run-oriented Panthers and a guy like LenDale White, despite his apathy at running the 40 for scouts, will interest the Panthers. However, they may opt, as I think, for a linebacker rather than throw the dice in the first round on White. In fact, if Carolina's defense does have a weakness then it is their linebackers. Ryans' stock has dropped a bit after the Scouting Combines, which is why he will still be available for the Panthers. However, his coaches and people around him say he has incredible football instincts and leadership, and can play all three LB positions.
28. Jacksonville Jaguars - Ernie Sims, LB, Florida State
One reason I have Sims falling this low in the draft is because he does not have the size you look for in terms of height and weight for an NFL linebacker. However, the same was said about the Patriots' Tedy Bruschi, so looks don't mean much. The Jaguars have used their first round pick on offense the past two years, so this year I see the Jags gravitating to a LB like Sims. He is an amazing in-state athlete whose speed and strength are belied by his size; but don't let that fool you he is very quick and fast to the ball. He is what the Jags need to bring together an impressive defense.
29. New York Jets - Thomas Howard, LB, UTEP
The Jets need help defensively with all the off-season moves they made; getting rid of Abraham won't be as painful if they can find another player as disruptive as Franchised John Abraham was. This pick is what they received as compensation for Abraham. While the Jets need loads of help, incoming HC and ex-Patriots defensive coordinator will look for players that will fit into his 3-4 defense as soon as possible, which makes Howard a great choice. The Miner is a speedy safety that was converted into one of the best linebacker's in the country playing for UTEP. At the Scouting Combines he scored off the charts and might be exactly what the Jets defense needs, that is if Mangini does not decide to pick up a replacement DE like PSU's Tamba Hall or BC's Mathias Kiwanuka.
30. Indianapolis Colts - Joseph Addai, RB, LSU
The Colts, no longer able to endure the salary cap hit, dumped cap unfriendly RB James and will look to pick up a RB that will pick up where James left off; a multi-purpose threat running and receiving. Thanks in large part to an impressive showing at the Scouting Combine, if Minnesota RB Maroney is gone by the time the Colts chose, Addai might be it. If Addai goes in the first round it will be to the Colts.
31. Seattle Seahawks - Antonio Cromartie, CB, Florida State
The Hawks came close last year to winning the Championship, and indeed played two of four quarters in the final game quite well. By the end of the game, the Hawks' defense got pounded by the Steelers overpowering OL and bruising running backs. While the Bus went to town in Detroit, the Seahawks really lost the game due to their poor coverage and blown defensive assignments, not to mention some very questionable calls by the refs, However, teams draft players not refs and the Hawks will look to ensure their secondary is stronger than last year. Although he blew out his knee and missed the 2005 season, Cromartie's leaving school early and so his potential is practically limitless. However, it is likely that if had he gone back to school he would have been considered a top five pick in the 2007 NFL draft.
32. Pittsburgh Steelers - Sinorice Moss, Wide Receiver, Miami
Having won the Championship last year, the Steelers will not rest on their laurels as they try to win another one next February. However, they'll need to replace Hoosier Antwaan Randle El now that he has flown the coop for a lucrative deal with the Washington Redskins. In 2005, Cedrick Wilson did a great job after Burress left for the Giants, but replacing Randle El opposite Hines Ward is a lot to ask. While 2006 won't go down in history as a great WR draft, one of the few remaining potential NFL premier wide-outs is this Miami product and I expect the Steelers to waste no time grabbing Moss.