NFL Handicapping Articles

Top 10 NFL Quarterbacks in 2014
by T.O. Whenham - 10/15/2009

There are an amazing number of good young quarterbacks in the league right now. Joe Flacco and Matt Ryan made a name for themselves last year. Mark Sanchez is off to a fast start this year, and Chad Henne showed him up last week. There are still a few veteran QBs at the top of the heap in the league, but they are being chased by the new guys. Since we still have a couple of days left until the next set of NFL games, I thought that it would be fun to look ahead a bit. Way ahead.

Free NFL Prop Predictions – Week 6
by Jay Horne - 10/15/2009

The New York Jets newly acquired Braylon Edwards kept us out of the “green” last week in our prop bet selections. Edwards had a fair opening night, catching five passes for 64 yards, which was just over what we expected. Our props went 1-2 for Week 5, knocking us back to even on the season. However, rest assured we will get back in the profit column again this week.

NFL Handicapping: Steam Pick of the Week
by Josh Nagel - 10/15/2009

Steam moves in sports betting happen when large amounts of money come in on one side of a game, moving the line for that game collectively at sports books around the world. In this weekly feature we will examine an NFL game where a steam move took place and then give reasons to fade, or go against, the steam move.

NFL Handicapping: What Makes the Bad Teams Bad
by Robert Ferringo - 10/14/2009

Each week it’s kind of amazing to watch football in this country sink to new depths and stumble to new lows. And if you’re not sure what I’m talking about you haven’t watched the Oakland Raiders, St. Louis Rams, or several other teams take the field this year.

The Ferringo NFL Report
by Robert Ferringo - 10/13/2009

Week 5 is in the books and I just want to echo what was the clear Story of the Week: congrats to Cincinnati defensive coordinator Mike Zimmer on the victory on Sunday and my sincere condolences for the loss of his wife. I had no idea on Thursday when I released my wager on Baltimore (as part of a teaser) that it had occurred.

Monday Night Football Preview - Jets at Dolphins
by Matt Severance - 10/12/2009

Indeed, the Jets’ Mark Sanchez, the early leading candidate for Rookie of the Year, and the Dolphins’ Chad Henne, a second-round pick last year, have combined for just five starts total. So tonight’s game could have some rough spots in the passing game and be rather low scoring. The Jets are three-point favorites on Bodog with the total at just 37.

NFL Futures That Hold Value Through First Quarter
by Larry Fiske - 10/9/2009

In the early fall of 1980 the Oakland Raiders were deader than Gary Coleman's acting career. The team that figured to contend for a Super Bowl berth had lost at home to Kansas City, its record dropping to 2-3, and starting quarterback Dan Pastorini was lost for the season when he suffered a broken leg in that game. Worse still, backup Jim Plunkett had come on for Pastorini and thrown five interceptions, opening the door to KC's 31-17 triumph.

Free NFL Props Predictions - Week 5
by Jay Horne - 10/9/2009

Brett Farve had a big Monday night performance that kept us from sweeping on our weekly prop selections. However, we were still good enough to get back in the green for the season and look forward to some more action heading into week 5. There have been some big storylines during the week including Braylon Edwards trade to the New York Jets along with the signing of Michael Crabtree is San Francisco.

Denver Broncos Betting: Is Team Real Contender?
by Nicholas Tolomeo - 10/9/2009

They’ve been called the worst 4-0 team ever. They have been underdogs twice out of the first four games. They are underdogs again this week, at home. Oddsmakers put the season win total over/under at seven games.

Best and Worst ATS NFL Teams
by T.O. Whenham - 10/9/2009

To successfully handicap the NFL it is important to be constantly re-evaluating teams to understand how they are actually playing, and how they are performing from a betting perspective. If you don't do that then you can be betting based on how a team was performing, not how it is. That can be costly.

NFL Handicapping: Undefeated Teams
by T.O. Whenham - 10/9/2009

Through four weeks of the regular season in the NFL there are still five undefeated teams remaining. The potential for a team to the run the table has always been compelling, and even New England's undefeated season two years ago hasn't dimmed that - especially because the Patriots stumbled in the Super Bowl that year. Football fans want to see another undefeated team badly. So, is there going to be another one this year? It's obviously not very likely, but let's take a look at the chances each squad has:

Disappointing NFL Teams Against the Spread
by T.O. Whenham - 10/9/2009

Coming into each new NFL season I find it very valuable to look at the rosters, the schedules, and the intangibles to estimate how each team is going to play during the season. That gives you a baseline to start with to help you handicap the early season games. When you're right - like I was this year with San Francisco - then you have a jump on the betting public and you can make some real money.

NFL Handicapping: Steam Pick of the Week
by Josh Nagel - 10/8/2009

Steam moves in sports betting happen when large amounts of money come in on one side of a game, moving the line for that game collectively at sports books around the world. In this weekly feature we will examine an NFL game where a steam move took place and then give reasons to fade, or go against, the steam move.

UFL Preview – United Football League Betting
by T.O. Whenham - 10/7/2009

Tired of trying to handicap football games with almost unlimited information available? Looking to really gamble? Well, then betting on the United Football League might be just what you are looking for. The UFL's inaugural season starts on Thursday with shockingly little fanfare. Maybe people are just skeptical about new football leagues after the debacle of the XFL.

Monday Night Football - Packers at Vikings Preview
by Matt Severance - 10/5/2009

You may not have heard this, but there’s a current Viking playing in a super-hyped game tonight against his former Packer team. I, of course, speak of Minnesota kicker Ryan Longwell. Supposedly there’s some Favre guy who might see action tonight as well, with the Vikings five-point favorites on Bodog – as of this writing, approximately 64 percent of the betting public is leaning toward Minnesota, and that line has moved as much as two points at some books toward the Vikings since its open.

Free NFL Props Predictions - Week 4
by Jay Horne - 10/2/2009

There were a lot of exciting headlines from last week, like Brett Farve the “magic man” clutch play against the 49ers and Detroit ending their 19 game winless streak to carry us forward. We have some exciting side action including Brett Farve’s anticipated match-up with his former Green Bay Packers along with other profitable bets to consider heading into Week 4 of the NFL

Football Betting: Early Week Line Movements
by Robert Ferringo - 9/29/2009

And a very definitive theme is starting to develop in this space. The early college football movements once again got creamed last week, going just 1-5 against the spread. The NFL, however, softened the blow while posting a perfect 3-0 mark. For the season, the college early line movements are just 8-18 ATS while the NFL moves are a solid 6-2 ATS. Overall, the early big movers are just 14-20 ATS. Here is this week’s action:

NFL Handicapping: Can Winless Teams Rebound?
by T.O. Whenham - 9/25/2009

Some of these teams are going to continue their losing ways, but others are going to turn things around - the Chargers lost their first two last year and still won their division. This is how I would rank the nine winless teams in order of their likelihood of salvaging their season, and of presenting some real value for bettors as they do so:

NFL Betting: Saints Soaring And Scoring
by T.O. Whenham - 9/24/2009

You don't have to dig very hard to find impressive statistics to show the strength of the New Orleans offense. The team has become the first since 2001 to open the season with 40 or more points in their first two games. No team has scored more than the 93 they have tallied in their first two games since 1968. It goes on and on.

NFL Betting: Five Potential Turnaround Teams
by T.O. Whenham - 9/24/2009

Jumping to conclusions can be even more dangerous after two weeks because the public assumes that they are seeing trends, and that the teams really are what they have seen so far. Here's a look at five teams that can be quite reasonably assumed to be better than they have appeared so far this year. Because of the starts they have had the public should start to turn against them - at least relative to the support they normally get. That can create real opportunities for value seekers with a long term view.